SCP-4727 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-4727
Expected annual
$1.3M
One-time setup
$2.0M
Annual recurring
$1.3M
Personnel
8
First-year (one-time) setup costs are large due to contingency/reserve funds, legal/cover-story setup, vault/upgrades and specialized lab/equipment; steady-state annual operating costs are driven by staff wages, research projects, legal/PR retainers, and overhead.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $2.0M
Catastrophic Contingency Reserve $1.0M
[#30] Low-probability catastrophic contingency reserve for large-scale covert operations, compensation, and PR/legal campaigns.
Declassification Legal Fund $250K
[#29] One-time reserve for potential declassification/legal defense and litigation preparation.
Contingency Fund Theft Recapture $200K
[#20] One-time contingency reserve for theft/recapture operations and rapid-response funds.
Legal And Cover Setup $150K
[#17] Front-company / cover-story establishment, initial legal retainer and setup.
Liability Reserve $150K
[#10] One-time liability/reserve fund for subject harm and indemnity.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $80K
[#7, #13] Sleep-lab and polysomnography setup plus bench/forensics equipment ($60k + $20k).
Facilities $60K
[#2, #14] Room-level secure storage upgrades and vault/secure-storage one-time upgrades ($40k + $20k).
Vetting And Clearance Initial $25K
[#5] Initial background checks, polygraphs, and clearance processing reserve.
Equipment $22K
[#1, #3, #15] Evidence/ballistic locker, CCTV/setup, and separate briefcase evidence locker ($10k + $6k + $6k).
Materials And Destructive Testing $20K
[#16] Setup for forced-opening mitigation/destructive testing protocols and specialized tools.
Documentation Setup $15K
[#23] Secure databases, archival system setup, and evidence management tooling.
Pistol Destruction $3K
[#19] Secure destruction/disposition processing for the pistol after use.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $1.3M/yr
Staff Wages $400K/yr
[#4, #6] Security and research staff wages (armed guards and PI/technicians).
Research And Monitoring $290K/yr
[#7, #9, #10, #11, #13, #14, #16, #28] Sleep-lab maintenance, psychiatric screening/follow-up, subject compensation allocation, ethics committee admin, per-test imaging/forensics, hazard screening, periodic destructive-testing attempts, and multi-year mechanism research funding.
Personnel Overhead $140K/yr
[#24] Benefits, HR, facility overhead allocation (pro-rated).
Cover Story And Legal $120K/yr
[#17] Annual legal retainers, counsel, and cover-story maintenance costs.
Media Pr And Counterintelligence $100K/yr
[#18] Media containment, PR management, and counterintelligence operations budget.
Medical And Emergency Coverage $80K/yr
[#8] On-call / partial permanent medical coverage costs (ER physician/anesthesiology standby or contract retainer).
Insurance And Indemnity $40K/yr
[#21] Property/liability/employee insurance adjusted for high-risk activities.
Logistics And Transport $30K/yr
[#12] Controlled/armored transport and secure movement protocols for off-site tests or relocations.
Facilities Maintenance $20K/yr
[#3, #14, #23] Site utilities, CCTV maintenance/backups, and vault/locker upkeep.
Subject Relocation And Witness Protection $10K/yr
[#26] Budgeted reserve for occasional relocation/protection actions.
Containment Audits $10K/yr
[#27] Periodic external containment audits and redundancy reviews.
Supplies And Consumables $8K/yr
[#13, #25] Per-test consumables, PPE, and small forensic consumables.
Documentation Maintenance $5K/yr
[#23] Ongoing maintenance and secure archival costs for records and chain-of-custody logs.
Vetting And Clearance Ongoing $3K/yr
[#5] Ongoing background checks and clearance processing for new hires.
Training Refresher $3K/yr
[#22] Annual firearms safety and anomalous-handling refresher training per staff.
Cctv Storage And Logging $1K/yr
[#3] Off-site/backed-up CCTV storage and secure audit logging costs.
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $1.3M/yr
93.8% probability / year
Normal year with scheduled testing, maintenance, and no security incidents.
no breaches routine testing regular audits
🚨 Minor Incident $1.3M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$50K vs baseline
Detected unauthorized access attempt or small-scale theft attempt requiring response, repair, and legal actions.
attempted break-in tamper alarm response small legal claim
🚨 Major Breach $1.8M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$500K vs baseline
Successful theft, unauthorized off-site use, or a containment breach requiring recapture, major legal/PR response, and compensation.
successful theft publicized violent incident large-scale recovery ops
🚨 Catastrophic Public Exposure $4.3M/yr
0.2% probability / year +$3.0M vs baseline
Severe public incident or fatality with international implications requiring major covert operations, multi-million legal defense, long-term PR, and settlements.
mass publicity fatal misuse foreign actor involvement
👥 Personnel 8 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 3 [#4] Armed guard coverage (minimum 3 full-time personnel to provide shifts).
Research Scientist 1 [#6] Principal investigator overseeing testing and reporting.
Technician 2 [#6, #7, #13] Technicians for sleep-lab ops, forensic imaging, and sample handling.
Medical Officer 1 [#8] On-call / part-time medical specialist for tests and emergency response.
Administrative Staff 1 [#11, #23] Ethics committee coordination, documentation, and admin support.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates combine several well-described items (security, lab setup) with large discretionary reserves and contingency funds; uncertainty arises from test frequency, incident probability, and organization risk tolerance.
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