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SCP-4738 Unknown ~ medium confidence
SCP-4738
Expected annual
$31.7M
One-time setup
$141.6M
Annual recurring
$31.3M
Personnel
90
Initial one-time capital and program setup is large (~$141.6M) driven primarily by Site-3 construction/retrofit and a funded contingency reserve. Recurring annual costs are substantial (~$31.3M/yr) driven mainly by D-class maintenance, security/MTF/HUMINT staffing, and ongoing research/monitoring.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $141.6M
Facilities $75.0M
[#1] Capital cost to build/retrofit Site-3 around Maddison Manor (BSL‑4 capable containment wing, reinforced subterranean cells, blast doors, EMP/antimemetic shielding, historical-preservation to maintain cover). Working mid-range estimate used.
Contingency Fund $50.0M
[#18] Liquid contingency response fund held in reserve for rapid containment surge, mass amnestics, catastrophic remediation.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $8.0M
[#10] Initial medical research and diagnostics equipment/lab buildout (fMRI, EEG, pathology, imaging and wet-lab equipment).
Equipment $4.7M
[#3, #5, #22] Dedicated containment cells (~$3,000,000 for 3 bespoke cells) + redundant generator purchase (~$500,000) + specialized sensory/antifield chamber hardware (~$1,200,000) = $4,700,000.
Amnestic Stockpile $3.0M
[#9] Development and stockpile of amnestic/memetic countermeasures (initial development/manufacture).
Training Program Setup $350K
[#6] Level‑4 officiant training program initial setup (curriculum, accreditation, simulation facilities).
Legal Setup $200K
[#17] One-time legal/cover operations setup and emergency legal agreements.
Archive Setup $200K
[#20] Secure archive/documentation one-time setup (physical/digital classified archival systems).
Covert Monitoring Setup $125K
[#14] One-time setup costs for covert monitoring & liaison program (initial relationship-building, legal/cover groundwork).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $31.3M/yr
Staff Wages $9.3M/yr
[#12, #13, #15] Salaries and benefits: site security staff (~$1.8M/yr), MTF Yodh-30 operational budget (~$4.5M/yr), HUMINT/cult infiltration personnel (~$3.0M/yr).
D Class Maintenance $8.0M/yr
[#7] D‑Class recruitment/maintenance costs for a pool of ~200 practitioners (medical care, housing, custody) ~ $8.0M/yr.
Research And Monitoring $6.2M/yr
[#10, #16, #24, #23] Ongoing medical research & diagnostics personnel/supplies ~$2.0M/yr, surveillance/signals & analysts ~$1.0M/yr, memetic/metaphysical research program ~$3.0M/yr, and protocol review exercises included.
Administrative Overhead $3.0M/yr
[#25] Administrative overhead, procurement, HR, compliance and hidden program costs estimated at ~$3.0M/yr (10–20% of recurring budget estimate).
Facilities Maintenance $1.4M/yr
[#2, #5, #22] Site-3 utilities and operations (HVAC/BSL air handling, water/waste, grounds) ~$1.2M/yr plus redundant power fuel/UPS maintenance ~$100k/yr and specialized equipment maintenance ~$150k/yr.
Cover Story And Legal $1.3M/yr
[#17, #21, #20] Recurring legal/cover operations and PR reserve ~$1.0M/yr, public-facing cover facility costs (Maddison Manor plausibility) ~$250k/yr, archive recurring curation ~$75k/yr = $1,325,000/yr.
Supplies And Consumables $754K/yr
[#4, #8, #11] Biohazard consumables and PPE ~$150k/yr, per-ritual consumables (assumed weekly @ $2,000/ritual ≈ $104k/yr), long-term care nutrient/supplies for masses ~$500k/yr = $754k/yr.
Covert Liaison Program $600K/yr
[#14] Recurring covert monitoring & global liaison program costs (liaison officers, discretionary relationship funding).
Amnestic Replacement And Admin $350K/yr
[#9] Replacement and administration costs for amnestic and memetic countermeasure stockpile (~$200–500k/yr; mid used).
Training And Psychological Care $300K/yr
[#6, #19] Ongoing Level‑4 refresher training and personnel psychological care/clergy consultants (~$250k/yr training + ~$300k/yr psych care; consolidated figure used for psych care line).
Logistics And Transport $0/yr
[]
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $31.3M/yr
91.0% probability / year
Normal operational year with no major containment incidents; routine rituals and monitoring continue.
routine_rituals scheduled_research ongoing_surveillance
🚨 Minor Incident $32.4M/yr
8.0% probability / year +$1.1M vs baseline
Localized exposure or ritual mishap requiring targeted amnestic deployment, overtime, small MTF deployment and PR/legal response.
local_exposure unauthorized_ritual_mishap small_breach_of_procedure
🚨 Major Breach $56.3M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$25.0M vs baseline
Significant containment failure or widespread unauthorized Veri Ritual leading to large-scale containment surge, mass amnestic operations and contingency expenditures.
large_scale_breach LK-class_escalation mass_public_exposure
👥 Personnel 90 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / Guard 20 [#12] 24/7 site security staffing (20 guards as in analyst note; salary+benefits included in staff_wages).
MTF Operator / Agent 30 [#13] MTF Yodh-30 operational complement (~30 operators; included in staff_wages).
HUMINT / Embedded Agent 40 [#15] Embedded HUMINT/infiltration agents and handlers (~40 agents assumed; costs included in staff_wages).
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide many explicit line-item ranges and chosen midpoints, giving a reasonable basis for estimates; uncertainty remains over ritual frequency, breach probabilities, required D‑class pool size and the unpredictable nature of anomalous events, so confidence is medium.
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