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SCP-4758 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-4758
Expected annual
$13.4M
One-time setup
$49.5M
Annual recurring
$12.9M
Personnel
52
Estimated upfront capital ~ $49.55M driven largely by BSL-3 retrofit, MRI suite purchase, and an internal cure/R&D program; annual operating costs ~ $12.95M/yr driven by MTF and security wages, research operations, and contingency/reserve funds.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $49.5M
Facilities $20.5M
[#1, #9] Cryogenic storage vault purchase/installation and BSL-3+ retrofit (vault-grade physical security, LN2-rated integration; BSL-3 containment retrofit chosen as baseline).
Long Term Cure Program $20.0M
[#23] Multi-year dedicated R&D program for cure/vaccine/drug development (conservative baseline estimate over several years).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $6.8M
[#6, #7, #17, #21, #25] MRI suite purchase/installation, EHR setup, forensic conservation & digitization, training curriculum/materials, and records system setup.
Equipment $2.2M
[#3, #4, #8, #11, #13, #14, #16, #18] Generator/UPS and installation, physical access control hardware, PPE startup stock, MTF field equipment & vehicles, optional onsite incinerator, mobile cryo/vehicle retrofit, sensor/drone purchase, and IT security hardware.
Cover Story Setup $100K
[#19] One-time legal/cover-up setup budget (record doctored templates, initial retainer, setup for covert document handling).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $12.9M/yr
Research And Monitoring $5.2M/yr
[#6, #9, #10, #7, #17] MRI maintenance and per-scan operations (~$1.01M), BSL-3 operational costs (~$2.0M/yr), research staff consumables and sequencing (~$2.15M), EHR/IT maintenance (~$30k), ongoing forensic/cataloging (~$10k).
Staff Wages $4.9M/yr
[#5, #7, #10, #11, #20] Ongoing salaries/benefits: security guards (6 × $70k), medical surveillance staff (~3–4 FTE), research staff (10 FTE @ $150k), MTF Omega-15 salaries (30 × $80k), clinical psychologists/social workers (2 FTE).
Contingency Emergency Fund $1.2M/yr
[#22] Recommended contingency reserve (~20% of operations) for multi-site events, emergency R&D, large settlements and scale-ups.
Logistics And Transport $340K/yr
[#11, #14] MTF travel/consumables and vehicle/transport fuel & maintenance for mobile cryo units.
Cover Story And Legal $200K/yr
[#19] Annual legal retainer, PR/cover expenses and incident response fund for exposures.
Per Incident Termination Costs $200K/yr
[#12] Budgeted average per-burrow termination/excavation cost treated as an annual contingency (baseline assumes ~1 incident/year).
Environmental Remediation Per Incident $200K/yr
[#15] Average remediation/repair/compensation per burrow incident budgeted as an annual contingency (~$200k/incident).
Facilities Maintenance $170K/yr
[#3, #4, #16] Generator fuel/maintenance and security hardware maintenance, sensor/network monitoring contracts.
It Security $150K/yr
[#18] Ongoing maintenance, audits and monitoring for air-gapped systems, memetic filters, and secure backups.
Supplies And Consumables $130K/yr
[#8, #13] PPE replacement/consumables and contract hazardous disposal baseline costs.
Psychological Support $100K/yr
[#20] Therapy/treatment budget and counseling program consumables (staff salaries for clinicians are in staff_wages).
Training Exercises $80K/yr
[#21] Recurring training, SOP refreshers, PPE drills and field exercises.
Cryogen Consumables $50K/yr
[#2] LN2/LN vapor refills, sensor calibration service contracts and emergency refill costs.
Mortuary And Pathology $25K/yr
[#24] Budgeted recurring costs for autopsies/pathology on SCP-4758-1 remains (average annual allocation).
Records And Audits $25K/yr
[#25] Annual audits, chain-of-custody admin and secure archival maintenance.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $12.9M/yr
69.5% probability / year
Normal operational year with routine monitoring, one-time contingencies funded from reserves; no major breach or multi-site incidents beyond planned response.
routine containment scheduled research and scanning single expected field response
🚨 Minor Incident $13.4M/yr
25.0% probability / year +$500K vs baseline
Year with above-average field activity (multiple burrows/terminations) requiring extra MTF deployments and disposal/remediation beyond baseline.
2+ burrow discoveries increased field deployments additional disposal/remediation
🚨 Major Breach $17.9M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$5.0M vs baseline
Significant containment event requiring large-scale emergency response, extended MTF deployments, temporary surge in research and public-relations/legal costs.
localized containment breach multiple simultaneous SCP-4758-1 emergences extended remediation & legal exposure
🚨 Catastrophic Breach $38.0M/yr
0.5% probability / year +$25.0M vs baseline
Wide-scale multi-site emergent events or public exposure forcing full emergency mobilization, large legal settlements, and accelerated cure R&D.
mass emergences across jurisdictions public exposure / media/legal cascade accelerated multi-year R&D required
👥 Personnel 52 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / Guard 6 [#5] On-site guards for 24/7 vault custody (6 guards to cover shifts).
MTF Agent / Field Operative 30 [#11] MTF Omega-15 rapid-response team staffing for field terminations and seizures.
Research Scientist / Lab Technician 10 [#10] Molecular biologists, pathologists, histology techs and lab techs assigned to SCP-4758 research.
Medical Officer / MRI Tech / Radiologist 4 [#6, #7] Occupational medicine physicians, MRI techs and radiologists supporting monthly scans and medical surveillance.
Clinical Psychologist / Social Worker 2 [#20] Psychological support staff for exposed personnel and field teams.
📋 Confidence Notes
Notes are detailed for equipment, staffing and recurring operations, but several large items have ranges (BSL-3 vs BSL-4; in-house MRI vs outsourcing; frequency of field incidents) and some contingency assumptions (1 incident/year baseline) drive totals; these introduce moderate uncertainty.
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