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SCP-4760 Unknown ~ medium confidence
SCP-4760
Expected annual
$17.3M
One-time setup
$10.2M
Annual recurring
$16.7M
Personnel
37
Estimated one-time capital of $10.21M for site buildout, power, sensors and initial research equipment; ongoing annual costs of about $16.59M driven primarily by an intensive R&D program, security/staffing, and legal/cover obligations.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $10.2M
Facilities $4.5M
[#1] Hardened coastal compound construction, corrosion-resistant materials, foundations, helipad/boat landing, access roads, perimeter fences, signage, storage, generator shelter and small on-site lab/operations building.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $3.0M
[#13] One-time capital for specialized research gear and laboratory buildout for materials analysis, remote manipulators, GPR/drilling support and heavy-test instrumentation.
Legal Initial $1.5M
[#18] Initial legal/diplomatic/land lease/compensation and cover arrangement startup costs, initial payments to local/First Nations authorities and legal setup for long-term concealment.
Equipment $710K
[#2, #6, #12] Microgrid initial install (generator/solar/batteries/transfer switch), canary-detection hardware (marine-grade cages, mounts, bells, wiring), remote-sensing / comms initial install (hardened radios, satellite uplink, consoles).
Site Incinerator Expansion $500K
[#24] One-time expansion or modular upgrade to Site-64 incineration/storage capacity if required by periodic mass disposals or increased research material throughput.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $16.7M/yr
Research And Monitoring $7.7M/yr
[#13, #12, #15, #16, #17, #21] Ongoing R&D program (research team salaries, instrument rentals, heavy-lift test campaigns), remote-sensing airtime/maintenance, materials analysis, electromagnetic/thaumaturgical shielding R&D, environmental monitoring, and records/archival analysis at Site-64.
Program Management Overhead $2.4M/yr
[#25] Program management and central overhead (estimated at ~20% of direct program operating costs).
Contingency Reserve $2.2M/yr
[#20] Contingency / accident fund (estimated ~15% of operating costs including overhead to cover unexpected losses, legal claims, evacuations and escalations).
Security Wages $1.0M/yr
[#4] Armed security and perimeter guarding (rotational guards, supervisor, vehicles, training, equipment).
Staff Wages $900K/yr
[#3] Salaries and benefits for on-site salaried staff (site manager, technicians, maintenance, administrative staff).
Cover Story And Legal $650K/yr
[#18, #22] Ongoing legal/diplomatic payments, land lease/compensation, PR/cover-story maintenance and communications management, plus continued payments to local authorities as needed.
Qrf Contract $500K/yr
[#5] On-call Quick Reaction Force costs (helicopter/fast-boat standby or contracted crews, pilots, fuel, and response team retainers).
D Class Acquisition $340K/yr
[#8] Procurement/processing/replacement costs for D-Class subjects (covert acquisition or procurement, travel, processing, accommodation and associated cover-up/logistics).
Heavy Equipment Mobilization $300K/yr
[#14] Expected annualized cost for occasional heavy-equipment mobilizations (cranes, drill rigs, ROV support) averaged across years.
Logistics And Transport $275K/yr
[#11] Regular staff rotations, resupply, leased utility boat, periodic helicopter flights, and routine shipping to/from the island (baseline operations).
Activation Damage Replacement $150K/yr
[#23] Annual budget for replacing/repairing equipment and materials damaged by activation cycles (fences, sensors, hardened materials replacement).
Medical Support $125K/yr
[#19] On-site medical supplies, trauma kits, periodic health screening, and medevac coordination (separate from QRF).
Facilities Maintenance $100K/yr
[#2] Ongoing microgrid fuel, generator maintenance and routine facility upkeep in a corrosive coastal environment.
D Class Remains Handling $40K/yr
[#9] Forensic exam, packaging, transport to Site-64, autopsy/forensics and incineration costs for D-Class remains (~8 events/yr).
Canary And Biohazard $24K/yr
[#6, #7, #10] Recurring costs for canary replacement/purchase, feed and care, cage maintenance/parts and biohazard collection/transport/incineration for bird remains and incidental fauna.
Supplies And Consumables $0/yr
[]
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $16.7M/yr
80.0% probability / year
Normal operational year with no major incidents; routine R&D, security, canary cycles and cover operations continue as planned.
routine activations scheduled research campaigns normal personnel rotation
🚨 Minor Incident $17.3M/yr
12.0% probability / year +$600K vs baseline
Unplanned equipment failures or an activation damages sensors/facilities requiring emergency heavy-lift mobilization and repairs.
sensor/equipment failure small-scale activation damage single heavy-lift mobilization
🚨 Major Breach $21.6M/yr
3.0% probability / year +$4.9M vs baseline
Public discovery or diplomatic incident forces large legal payouts, emergency relocation, expanded cover operations and extended remediation.
public exposure legal/diplomatic escalation forced compensation/relocation
🚨 Catastrophic Research Escalation $24.6M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$7.9M vs baseline
Large-scale excavation/move attempt or multi-event mobilization for aggressive R&D leads to massive heavy-equipment mobilizations, emergencies and damage-control costs.
full-scale removal/excavation attempt multiple heavy-lift campaigns research escalation causing emergencies
👥 Personnel 37 total
Role Count Notes
Site Manager / Executive Staff 1 [#3] On-site manager overseeing operations and liaison duties.
Technician / Lab Technician 3 [#3] On-site technical staff for routine instrumentation, cages and facility systems.
Engineer / Maintenance 2 [#3, #13] Facilities and heavy-system maintenance staff; also supports field research equipment.
Administrative Staff 1 [#3] Administrative and logistics coordination.
Research Scientist 8 [#13, #15, #16] Scientific and engineering researchers (materials, thaumaturgy, shielding R&D) who rotate between Site-64 and the island.
Security Officer / MTF Agent 13 [#4] Armed perimeter guards (12 rotating + supervisor) responsible for continuous security posture.
Medical Officer 1 [#19] On-site medical support and occupational health oversight.
Logistics / Boat Crew 2 [#11] Crew operating the leased utility boat and supporting rotations/resupply.
Quick Reaction Force (contracted) 6 [#5] On-call QRF personnel (helicopter/boat crew and response team) maintained via contract/standby.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates are order-of-magnitude and mostly based on analyst-provided ranges. Many large items (R&D, heavy lifts, legal exposure) have high variance and thaumaturgical unknowns, so confidence is medium rather than high.
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