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SCP-4768 Unknown ~ medium confidence
SCP-4768
Expected annual
$8.6M
One-time setup
$11.9M
Annual recurring
$8.1M
Personnel
41
One-time setup and infrastructure purchases are estimated at about $11.9M, driven by containment/communications/camera/vehicle/visor procurement and a contingency reserve; recurring operations are roughly $8.08M/yr, dominated by MTF staffing, archival/research staffing, and ongoing surveillance/communications costs.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $11.9M
Equipment $4.5M
[#2, #3, #4, #5, #8, #16] Procurement of specialized visors and integration (~$1.4M), initial field vehicle fleet (~$600k), remote camera/sensor node deployment (~$1.5M), secure evidence servers/hardware (~$0.5M), portable digital-forensics kits (~$85k), and communications backbone hardware/satellite uplink equipment (~$0.4M).
Facilities $3.4M
[#5, #9, #10, #17, #20] Containment suite construction, Site-51 archive/vault fit-out, amnestic clinic buildout, generator & fuel-reserve setup, and decommissioning/legacy facility modifications (aggregated estimates: containment ~$1.5M; archive/vault fit-out ~$0.5M; clinic ~$0.35M; generator/setup ~$0.2M; decommissioning reserve ~$0.85M).
Contingency Reserve $3.0M
[#19] Contingency reserve allocation for escalatory capture operations, mass amnestic campaigns, or regional operations (set aside; drawn as needed).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $900K
[#11] Dedicated research lab setup for anomalous-property testing (EEG/eye-tracking/hyperspectral/high-speed imaging and associated instrumentation and fit-out).
Training Curriculum $100K
[#12] One-time development of training curriculum, simulation hardware integration, and doctrine documents for field agent identification/use-of-visors and media-handling.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $8.1M/yr
Staff Wages $5.3M/yr
[#1, #5, #6, #11, #10, #12, #13, #18] MTF Kappa-12 rotational payroll (24 operatives & leaders/medic/comms/drivers, fully loaded) and ongoing personnel costs for historians/archivists, research scientists & technicians, sysadmin support for archives, containment/operations staffing, training instructors, liaison officers, and psychologists/counselors (aggregated salaries and benefits).
Facilities Maintenance $790K/yr
[#4, #5, #10, #16] Ongoing maintenance and connectivity for remote camera/sensor network, secure-archive operations (non-personnel storage/air-gapping costs), containment suite utilities & maintenance, and communications hardware upkeep/bandwidth-related operating expenses.
Supplies And Consumables $512K/yr
[#2, #8, #9, #12] Consumables and maintenance: visor firmware/security audits, spare-unit replacements and calibration; forensic software licenses/training and peripheral replacements; per-treatment amnestic drug costs and disposal/monitoring consumables; training exercise consumables and simulation expenses.
Logistics And Transport $430K/yr
[#3, #14] Vehicle fuel and routine vehicle maintenance for deployment fleet, travel/lodging/per-diem for investigators and emergency relocations; rental/transportation costs for field operations.
Cover Story And Legal $400K/yr
[#7, #15] Baseline legal/cover-up budget (platform takedowns, counsel, settlements/buyouts, PR/false narratives) and flexible covert civilian-influence expenditures to secure cooperation or misattribution.
Research And Monitoring $300K/yr
[#11] Ongoing research study costs (consumables, specialized instrumentation maintenance, subject testing costs, travel for controlled trials and long-term monitoring programs).
Liaison Coordination $250K/yr
[#13] Interagency liaison budgets, travel, classified briefings, and small cooperative payments to local jurisdictions/GOC contacts.
Energy Costs $125K/yr
[#17] Ongoing electricity/fuel usage for cameras, servers, visor charging, backup generators' fuel replenishment and associated utility increases.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $8.1M/yr
79.0% probability / year
Normal year with routine surveillance, MTF readiness, archival work, and occasional low-level incidents handled within baseline budgets.
routine_sightings small_incident_responses standard_research_activity
🚨 Minor Incident $8.6M/yr
15.0% probability / year +$500K vs baseline
Localized public incident requiring expanded takedowns, extra deployments, and elevated amnestic usage.
public_media_exposure multiple witness events targeted takedowns
🚨 Major Capture $13.7M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$5.6M vs baseline
Sustained multi-site operations culminating in capture and requirement to construct/activate a bespoke containment suite and undertake large legal/PR actions.
successful_capture large-scale_operation containment_construction
🚨 Catastrophic Regional Outbreak $23.1M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$15.0M vs baseline
Widespread activity necessitating mass amnestic campaigns, regional quarantines, extended contingency operations and large-scale asset deployment.
rapid_spread_of_sightings media_saturation failure_of_local_containment
👥 Personnel 41 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 24 [#1] Two rotating 12-person teams (active + reserve) to maintain 24/7 readiness across the Southern U.S.; fully loaded salaries included in staff_wages.
Historian / Archivist 5 [#6] Historical Analyses Division staffing for documentation, corroboration and expungement work (digitization and travel budgets accounted separately).
Research Scientist 3 [#11] Scientists and technicians assigned to anomalous-property testing and long-term studies; salaries included in staff_wages.
Sysadmin 1 [#5] Dedicated sysadmin for secure evidence servers and Site-51 archive operations; salary portion included in staff_wages.
Medical Officer 2 [#9] Medical staff for amnestic administration and follow-up monitoring; per-treatment costs and clinic buildout accounted separately.
Engineer / Maintenance 2 [#10, #17] Facility and containment suite maintenance, generator upkeep, and technical support for cameras/communications.
Administrative Staff 2 [#5, #12] Administrative and program management support for Site-51 archive, training scheduling, and interagency coordination.
Psychologist / Counselor 1 [#18] Counseling and cognitive monitoring for repeatedly-exposed agents; salary included in staff_wages.
Liaison Officer / Coordinator 1 [#13] Point-of-contact for GOC and local authorities; liaison-related travel/briefing budgets are recurring costs.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line items and ranges, enabling a reasoned estimate, but many key costs (frequency of incidents, capture likelihood, and contingency draw amounts) are highly uncertain due to anomalous behaviour and historical ambiguity, so confidence is medium.
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