SCP-4786 Unknown ~ medium confidence
SCP-4786
Expected annual
$2.2M
One-time setup
$8.2M
Annual recurring
$2.1M
Personnel
15.5
One-time capital and fit-out costs are approximately $8.23M (driven primarily by contingency/reserve funds and initial facility/equipment buildout); ongoing annual operations are roughly $2.12M/yr driven by staff wages (security, medical, research), maintenance, and recurring research/consumables.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $8.2M
Anomalous Waste Reserve $5.0M
[#19] Recommended contingency fund for large-volume/unknown anomalous organic matter removal/quarantine/neutralization (chosen mid-range reserve).
Facilities $925K
[#1, #17] Construction/modification of three Class-III humanoid containment cells ($900,000) and garden recreational area fit-out ($25,000).
Equipment $875K
[#2, #3, #4, #5, #11, #12, #13, #14, #21, #22, #23] One-time hardware and installed systems: redundant HVAC ($200,000) [#2], dedicated power backup/UPS ($75,000) [#3], surveillance suite ($90,000) [#4], wrist-locking devices ($5,000) [#5], cryogenic/sample freezers ($40,000) [#11], autoclave & room fit-out ($75,000) [#12], on-site incinerator option ($200,000) [#13], emergency containment/euthanasia kit ($30,000) [#14], IT infrastructure ($50,000) [#21], initial PPE kit ($10,000) [#22], and one-time advanced assay packages ($100,000) [#23].
Emergency Response Reserve $500K
[#18] Contingency reserve for real MTF deployment / major containment response (recommended one-time reserve $500,000).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $400K
[#10, #29] Lab fit-out for secured wet-lab space ($200,000) and experimental probe prototyping ($200,000).
Coverup Incident Reserve $250K
[#20] One-time contingency for legal/diplomatic/cover-up incident response ($250,000).
Containment Insurance Reserve $250K
[#26] Containment-specific insurance / risk reserve (recommended $250,000).
Spare Parts Stockpile $25K
[#27] Miscellaneous spare parts stockpile (cameras, locks, HVAC parts, lab consumables) one-time stockpile ($25,000).
Nutrient Production Equipment $8K
[#6] Clinical-grade nutrient paste production equipment and validation ($8,000).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $2.1M/yr
Staff Wages $1.5M/yr
[#7, #8, #10, #15] Ongoing salaries & benefits: handlers/technicians (2 FTE incl. benefits $137,500) [#7], medical staff (physician 0.5 FTE + 2 nurses incl. benefits ~$360,000) [#8], research staff (2 researchers + 1 tech salaries ~$330,000) [#10], security staffing (8 officers incl. benefits ~$650,000) [#15].
Research And Monitoring $311K/yr
[#9, #10, #23, #29] Ongoing research/monitoring: imaging and diagnostics (MRI × quarterly × 3 subjects $24,000 plus bloodwork $12,000 = $36,000) [#9], lab consumables & basic research budget ($75,000) [#10], histology/genomics baseline ($50,000) [#23], continued probe R&D ($150,000) [#29].
Cover Story And Legal $90K/yr
[#20, #28, #30] Legal/cover-story/archival and oversight costs: baseline cover-up/legal budget ($50,000) [#20], long-term archival & provenance administration ($15,000) [#28], jurisdictional/ethical review & oversight ($25,000) [#30].
Supplies And Consumables $77K/yr
[#6, #11, #12, #14, #22, #25, #27, #4] Recurring consumables: nutrient ingredients/QC ($7,300) [#6], LN2/refills ($8,000) [#11], biohazard disposables/operations ($12,000) [#12], euthanasia kit replenishment ($5,000) [#14], PPE replacements ($12,000) [#22], routine cell cleaning/consumables ($15,000) [#25], spare parts replenishment ($10,000) [#27], surveillance storage & maintenance ($8,000) [#4].
Containment Drills And Readiness $50K/yr
[#18] Regular containment-breach drills, simulated training and readiness consumables (~$50,000/yr).
Facilities Maintenance $42K/yr
[#2, #3, #13, #17] Annual maintenance: HVAC/filters/validation ($10,000) [#2], power backup testing/maintenance ($5,000) [#3], incinerator operating (on-site) ($25,000) [#13], garden maintenance ($2,000) [#17].
Logistics And Transport $30K/yr
[#16] Incremental escort/transport overtime and equipment for weekly movements and contingencies (~$30,000/yr).
Psychological Care $20K/yr
[#24] Psychological care and staff resilience program ($20,000/yr).
It Maintenance $15K/yr
[#21] IT maintenance, secure logging, encrypted storage & backups ($15,000/yr).
Ppe Training $10K/yr
[#22] Ongoing PPE and Sarkic-artifact training materials and training sessions ($10,000/yr).
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $2.1M/yr
85.0% probability / year
Normal year of operations with standard monitoring, maintenance, and no major containment incidents.
normal_operations no_incidents scheduled_research_and_maintenance
🚨 Minor Incident $2.2M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$100K vs baseline
Localized medical emergency, small containment breach or targeted remediation requiring overtime, extra diagnostics, and limited cleanup.
minor_breach medical_emergency localized_decontamination
🚨 Major Breach $2.9M/yr
3.0% probability / year +$750K vs baseline
Significant containment failure or extraction event requiring MTF deployment, major repairs, extended remediation, and legal/diplomatic response.
major_breach MTF_deployment facility_repairs
🚨 Catastrophic Breach $6.1M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$4.0M vs baseline
Removal or discovery of unexpectedly large volumes of anomalous organic matter from pocket-dimensional organs, requiring large-scale quarantine, transport, neutralization or environmental remediation.
large_volume_extraction anomalous_waste_overflow cross-jurisdictional_remediation
👥 Personnel 15.5 total
Role Count Notes
Handler / Technician 2 [#7] Two full-time technicians responsible for feeding, handling, monitoring (2 FTE).
Research Scientist 2 [#10] Two FTE researchers (biologist/biochemist + Sarkic/occult pathology specialist).
Laboratory Technician 1 [#10] One lab technician supporting research and sample prep.
Physician / Medical Officer 0.5 [#8] Half-time physician (0.5 FTE) for ongoing health checks.
Nurse 2 [#8] Two nurses for routine care and on-call coverage.
Security Officer / MTF Agent 8 [#15] Eight full-time security officers to provide 24/7 coverage for the containment wing.
📋 Confidence Notes
Most line items are directly estimated in analyst notes (facility builds, staff salaries, equipment), giving moderate confidence. Large uncertainty remains around the scale/cost of anomalous-volume waste events and the chosen contingency reserve size, lowering overall confidence.
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