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SCP-4798 Unknown ~ medium confidence
SCP-4798
Expected annual
$26.8M
One-time setup
$247.6M
Annual recurring
$24.6M
Personnel
121
[#30] Routine annual operations ~ $24.4M/yr with major drivers: perimeter/security staffing, aviation charters, leased satellite monitoring, and contingency/legal/easement payments; one-time capital (vehicles, suits, site upgrades) plus optional land buyout and large contingency reserves drive upfront costs (~$247.6M one-time in this estimate).
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $247.6M
Land Buyout $115.0M
[#16] One-time land buyout (230k acres @ ~$500/acre midpoint) per analyst note as one option to remove easements.
Contingency Reserve $100.0M
[#25] Recommended contingency reserve for major expansion/remediation (25–50% of operating budget or explicit large reserve; midpoint used).
Perimeter Fencing Full $12.0M
[#21] Optional full perimeter fencing (108 km @ midpoint ~$12M).
Facilities $8.8M
[#7, #8, #15, #21] Towers, site upgrades, generators and checkpoint/gate hardening: towers ~$1.2M, site upgrades ~$5.5M (midpoint), generators ~$0.6M, hardened gates/checkpoints ~$1.5M.
Equipment $6.0M
[#3, #4, #9, #22, #20, #14] One-time purchases: BCS Mk. V suits ~$2.4M, patrol vehicles/ATVs/armored vans ~$1.6M, mobile sterilization rigs ~$850k, heavy equipment fleet ~$750k, armored transfer vehicle ~$250k, comms terminal ~$150k.
Initial Legal Fees $3.0M
[#16] Initial legal/tribal negotiation and settlement fees (estimated midpoint $1–5M).
Environmental Remediation Reserve $2.0M
[#18] Initial reserve for environmental permitting/mitigation contingency (small reserve; large events scale higher).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $450K
[#12, #13, #28] DX-64 servers/licensing and secure lab setup, PCR/sequencing and initial reagents and secure vaults for sample/data storage (~$450k total).
Cover Story Setup $375K
[#17] Initial cover-story/PR legal setup and creative development (~$250–500k).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $24.6M/yr
Staff Wages $8.8M/yr
[#1, #2, #11, #12, #13] Salaries/benefits: perimeter guards (80 @ $60k ≈ $4.8M), specialized containment team (24 @ $90k ≈ $2.16M), medical clinic staffing and services (~$300k equivalent), DX-64 computational staff (~$600k), and field research wages included here.
Logistics And Transport $3.6M/yr
[#4, #5, #9, #20, #22, #10] Transport and vehicle ops: helicopter charters (~$2.9M/yr baseline), vehicle fuel/maintenance (~$400k/yr), armored/secure transfer standby (~$300k/yr), plus logistics for mobile sterilization/heavy-equipment ops; hazardous-waste transport per-event costs handled separately.
Hazard Pay Insurance $2.5M/yr
[#23] Additional hazard pay, insurance and benefit premiums for high-risk staff (~20–30% on top of base salaries; midpoint used).
Research And Monitoring $2.3M/yr
[#6, #12, #13] Continuous monitoring and research: commercial satellite/SAR tasking and analysis (~$2.0M/yr baseline), DX-64 server maintenance (~$40k/yr), routine biological surveys and analysis (~$225k/yr).
Cover Story And Legal $2.2M/yr
[#17, #27] Ongoing PR/cover-story, outreach, legal retainers and litigation defense (~$1.25M PR + ~$1.0M legal retainer baseline).
Community Compensation $2.0M/yr
[#16, #26] Annual easement/compensation and opportunity-cost payments to local economy (~$1–5M/yr; midpoint used here).
Facilities Maintenance $795K/yr
[#7, #8, #15, #21] Ongoing site utilities and upkeep: tower maintenance/comm costs (~$120k), site utilities/maintenance (~$450k midpoint), generator/fuel upkeep (~$225k).
Training And Exercises $600K/yr
[#2, #19] Specialized team and general drills/certifications: training/exercises and certification refreshers (~$300k for rapid-response team + ~$300k for general drills).
Supplies And Consumables $445K/yr
[#3, #9, #13] Consumables: hazmat suit consumables/repair (~$200k/yr), lab consumables/reagents and sequencing runs (~$225k/yr), incidental sterilization consumables baseline.
Classified Audits $425K/yr
[#24] Classified data storage, audits and internal oversight costs (~$250–600k/yr midpoint).
Environmental Monitoring $200K/yr
[#18] Ongoing ecological monitoring and permitting baseline (~$100–300k/yr midpoint).
Public Notification $200K/yr
[#29] Arrangements for emergency notification / local agency coordination and per-event mobilization readiness (~$100–300k/yr midpoint).
Communications And Bandwidth $175K/yr
[#14] Bandwidth/satellite leases and encrypted comms maintenance (~$100–250k/yr midpoint).
Secure Storage And Mothballing $150K/yr
[#28] Ongoing storage/mothballing costs for samples/data/assets (~$100–200k/yr midpoint).
Hazardous Waste Disposal $56K/yr
[#10] Baseline hazardous waste disposal (~10–50 tons/yr @ midpoint ≈ $56k/yr); large events scale to millions.
Heavy Equipment Rental $50K/yr
[#22] Baseline annual rental/reserve for heavy-equipment support (~$50–250k/event; small standby budget included).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $24.6M/yr
83.5% probability / year
Normal uneventful year with routine monitoring, patrols, and maintenance only.
no breaches standard patrols leased monitoring
🚨 Minor Incident $24.7M/yr
12.0% probability / year +$125K vs baseline
Localized breach / small sterilization event requiring limited mobilization and consumables.
small SCP-4798-C spread localized sterilization limited medical cases
🚨 Major Breach $34.4M/yr
3.0% probability / year +$9.8M vs baseline
Wider breach requiring multi-day sterilization operations, significant waste disposal, helicopter/airlift and temporary surge staff.
widespread SCP-4798-C expansion multiple injured/exposed personnel multi-day ground/air operations
🚨 Catastrophic Breach $174.4M/yr
0.5% probability / year +$149.8M vs baseline
Large-scale, fast expansion requiring national-level response, forced evacuations, long-term remediation and ecological mitigation.
rapid SCP-4798-C expansion mass casualties or environmental destruction multi-regional response required
🚨 Land Buyout $142.4M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$117.8M vs baseline
One-off political/strategic decision to purchase/compensate all affected land (buyout) and settle rights, removing easements.
strategic buyout decision failed easement negotiations O5-level directive
👥 Personnel 121 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 80 [#1] Perimeter patrols and checkpoint staff (three shifts, supervisors) at ~80 personnel.
Specialized Containment Team 24 [#2] Rapid-reaction/sterilization team (on-call), high-skill personnel.
Research Scientist / Field Team 6 [#13] Field survey teams and lab analysts for routine biological monitoring.
DX-64 Computational Staff 3 [#12] Computational scientists/administrators maintaining DX-64 and monitoring outputs.
Medical Officer 4 [#11] Clinical screening, quarantine and psychiatric follow-up staffing.
Administrative Staff 4 [#17, #24] Site administration, PR coordination, classified records management and legal liaisons.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates are order-of-magnitude based on analyst line items; many items (land buyout, contingency reserve, catastrophic remediation) are optional or scenario-dependent and several costs are highly uncertain, so medium confidence is appropriate.
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