SCP-480 — SCP-480 | Cost Breakdown

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SCP-480 Safe ~ medium confidence

SCP-480

Expected annual

$5.5M

One-time setup

$3.4M

Annual recurring

$5.4M

Personnel

Estimated one-time startup costs are approximately $3.4M driven by fleet purchase, reserves, and software development; ongoing annual operations are roughly $5.44M/yr driven by staff wages, incident reimbursements, and legal/PR/monitoring costs.

🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $3.4M

Insurance Reserve $1.0M

[#18] One-time insurance/legal contingency reserve (midpoint of suggested range).

Emergency Contingency $1.0M

[#21] Emergency contingency line for high-profile escalations/responses.

Equipment $500K

[#3, #16, #6] Fleet purchase/outfitting ($430k), communications hardware ($50k), field kit purchases ($20k).

Initial Research And Lab Setup $475K

[#5, #14] Amnestic production/setup ($100k) and small research/capture program equipment + temporary holding cell (~$375k).

Software Development $350K

[#1] Monitoring & anomaly-detection software development and deployment (one-time).

Training Setup $50K

[#15] Initial training/curriculum and one-time certification costs for agents (~$50k).

Facilities $25K

[#13] Secure physical storage room setup for evidence/archives.

🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $5.4M/yr

Staff Wages $1.8M/yr

[#4] MTF personnel salaries & benefits: 20agents × $60k (+30% benefits/overtime) ≈ $1.56M plus supervisory positions ≈ $200k.

Incident Medical Costs $1.0M/yr

[#8] Medical/emergency cost absorption for secondary-accident victims (approx. $1M/yr based on 50 significant cases).

Research And Monitoring $660K/yr

[#1, #2, #19, #14] Software cloud/maintenance (~$60k/yr), traffic-camera/API fees (~$150k/yr), data analysis team (~$300k/yr), recurring research staffing/experiments (~$150k/yr).

Property Damage Compensation $600K/yr

[#9] Vehicle/property damage payouts (approx. $600k/yr for 200 incidents at $3k each).

Administrative Overhead $350K/yr

[#20] Administrative & HQ overhead allocation (~10–15% of direct recurring ops; midpoint used).

Cover Story And Legal $300K/yr

[#10, #11] Public relations/cover operations (~$150k/yr) and baseline legal & liaison expenses (~$150k/yr).

Logistics And Transport $200K/yr

[#3, #17] Fleet upkeep/fuel/inspections (~$50k/yr) and travel & deployment costs (~$150k/yr).

Legal Contingency Fund $200K/yr

[#11] Recurring contribution to a legal/liaison contingency fund for high-risk incidents (~$200k/yr).

Clinical Retainer $120K/yr

[#7] On-call clinical oversight & anesthesiology consultants (retainer; midpoint selected).

Cleanup Services $100K/yr

[#12] Roadway cleanup & biohazard removal (~$100k/yr at $500 avg per incident).

Supplies And Consumables $95K/yr

[#5, #6] Amnestic dose consumption (~$90k/yr for 3,000 doses) and field kit replenishment/consumables (~$5k/yr).

Training Recurring $20K/yr

[#15] Ongoing recurrent training & recertification (~$20k/yr).

Communications Service Plans $20K/yr

[#16] Data plans, SIM rotation, device replacement (~$10–30k/yr; midpoint used).

Evidence Archives Digital Physical $15K/yr

[#13] Digital secure archives (~$10k/yr) and physical long-term storage (~$5k/yr).

Facilities Maintenance $0/yr

[]

Scaling Note $0/yr

[#22] Program scaling multiplier note (no direct baseline recurring cost; indicates 5–20× for global saturation).

⚡ Cost Scenarios

📊 Baseline (baseline) $5.4M/yr

85.0% probability / year

Normal year with routine monitoring, responses, and no major escalations.

routine_manifestations standard_responses no major public scrutiny

🚨 Minor Incident $5.6M/yr

12.0% probability / year +$200K vs baseline

One or a few higher-profile incidents requiring extra PR/legal responses and limited emergency payouts.

single high-profile crash heightened local media attention

🚨 Major Escalation $6.9M/yr

2.0% probability / year +$1.5M vs baseline

Capture attempt or containment failure leading to major additional legal/response costs and large payouts.

failed capture attempt widespread evidence leak large casualty/payout event

🚨 Political Exposure $10.4M/yr

1.0% probability / year +$5.0M vs baseline

Government investigation or high-level political scrutiny requiring major payouts, legal defense, and international logistics.

government inquiry international media storm failed cover-ups

👥 Personnel 22 total

Role	Count	Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent	20	[#4] Frontline agents (20) referenced in staff wage estimates.
MTF Supervisor	2	[#4] Supervisory positions included in the additional ~$200k/yr supervisory budget.

📋 Confidence Notes

Estimates are built from analyst-provided ranges and midpoints; many recurring costs (incident frequency, payouts, retainer levels, contingency sizing, scaling multiplier) are variable and scenario-dependent, so precision is limited.

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