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SCP-4808 Canine ~ medium confidence
SCP-4808
Expected annual
$26.1M
One-time setup
$27.1M
Annual recurring
$25.4M
Personnel
164
Initial setup requires significant one-time investments (notably a pre-authorized mass-event contingency fund), while annual costs are dominated by field personnel, morgue partnership stipends, and legal/cover-up expenses. One-time setup ~$27.12M; recurring operations ~ $25.36M/year, driven primarily by staff wages and morgue payments.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $27.1M
Contingency Mass Event $20.0M
[#21] Pre-authorized contingency for mass-event escalation (lower-bound policy fund).
Morgue Liaison Program $2.5M
[#2] One-time rollout/training/legal templates for ~5,000 morgues.
Equipment $1.9M
[#3, #5, #11, #15] Reporting infrastructure, vehicle purchases, initial field/kennel kit, and data/security hardware.
Facilities $1.2M
[#1, #6] Command/operations center setup and short-term quarantine/kennel fitouts.
Training Initial $750K
[#17] Initial specialized training for ~150 field agents.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $300K
[#14] Research program initial equipment and lab setup.
Legal Structuring $250K
[#12] One-time legal structuring and forensic counsel setup for family settlement/cover processes.
Model Development $150K
[#20] Initial development of AI/analytics hotspot model.
Biohazard Contract Setup $50K
[#16] Initial contract setup for decon/mortuary sanitization contingency.
International Setup $50K
[#18] One-time international legal/liaison templates and contacts setup.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $25.4M/yr
Staff Wages $13.3M/yr
[#1, #4, #14] Salaries for command center staff (~8–10), ~150 field operatives (150 × $80k), and research scientist salaries.
Morgue Liaison Program $5.0M/yr
[#2] Annual stipends, refresher training, and partnership program costs for ~5,000 enrolled morgues.
Cover Story And Legal $4.0M/yr
[#12, #13] Family settlements and forensic/legal retainers plus pattern obfuscation / PR monitoring capacity.
Logistics And Transport $1.5M/yr
[#5, #9, #18, #16] Vehicle fuel/maintenance/insurance, transport/turnover fees to shelters, international logistics retainer, and biohazard response per-incident contingency.
Research And Monitoring $360K/yr
[#7, #14, #20] Per-incident veterinary lab verification, research travel/reagents, and analytics operations.
Misc Overhead $300K/yr
[#22] Finance, HR, administrative overhead and small unexpected items.
Facilities Maintenance $295K/yr
[#3, #6, #15] Reporting infrastructure maintenance, kennel upkeep/utilities, and cybersec/storage operations.
Insurance And Liability $250K/yr
[#19] Insurance, worker compensation, vehicle and liability policies.
Supplies And Consumables $225K/yr
[#8, #10, #11] Temporary kenneling/feeding, vaccinations/spay-neuter/microchipping, and consumables (crates, PPE, cleaning supplies).
Training And Certification $100K/yr
[#17] Ongoing recertification and exercise costs for field staff.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $25.4M/yr
89.0% probability / year
Normal year with ongoing monitoring and routine incident handling at nominal rates (≈500 incidents/year).
steady ~500 incidents/year no major media exposure no mass events
🚨 Minor Incident $27.4M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$2.0M vs baseline
Localized spike / cluster requiring regional surge response, overtime, emergency contracts and additional settlements.
localized cluster surge several simultaneous morgue incidents
🚨 Mass Event Escalation $75.4M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$50.0M vs baseline
Widespread manifestations or mass-mortuary events requiring large-scale emergency response, media blackouts, and extensive legal/settlement payouts.
widespread manifestations mass mortuary events major public/media exposure
👥 Personnel 164 total
Role Count Notes
Field Operative / Animal Control Agent 150 [#4] 150 active field operatives (teams of 2), fully burdened ~$80k/yr each.
Administrative Staff / Dispatch & IT 9 [#1] Command/coordination hub staff (8–10) for dispatch, management and IT operations.
Research Scientist 5 [#14] Small research team (4–6) to study origins, data analysis and site visits.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates are detailed and grounded in explicit assumptions (500 incidents/year, 5,000 morgues), but key uncertainties remain: true manifestation frequency, political/legal exposure risk, and scale of potential mass events. Legal/cover costs and contingency sizing introduce significant tail risk.
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