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SCP-4819 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-4819
Expected annual
$273K
One-time setup
$2.0M
Annual recurring
$269K
Personnel
3
One-time setup (land purchase, hydrological hardening, and initial contingency) dominates costs (~$2.0M). Annual operations are modest but nontrivial (~$269k/yr) driven by staff wages, legal/cover operations, contingency reserves, and incident-response readiness.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $2.0M
Facilities $1.9M
[#1, #2, #19] Land purchase (one-off buyout) plus hydrological construction/redirect works and environmental assessment.
Contingency Reserve One Time $100K
[#23] Upfront contingency/reserve for unforeseen anomalous behaviors or emergency mitigation (one-time seed).
One Time Local Payments $20K
[#24] One-time indemnities/payments to local landowners/authorities for rights or cooperation.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $15K
[#14, #15] Initial research instrumentation, ruggedized notebooks/recorders, and lab setup to begin subject follow-up studies.
Permits And Legal One Time $15K
[#11] One-off complex legal work and permit negotiation/legal cover setup.
Equipment $9K
[#6] Surveillance, sensors, and installation (initial purchase and mounting).
Initial Uniforms And Props $2K
[#9] Initial purchase of uniforms, props, and cover-story materials for staff.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $269K/yr
Staff Wages $70K/yr
[#4, #14, #22] Ongoing wages (contract/on-call security coverage, part-time research support, administrative/training costs to manage hiring/rotation).
Contingency Reserve Annual $50K/yr
[#23] Ongoing annual contingency reserve for anomalous events, buyouts, or escalatory containment actions.
Cover Story And Legal $46K/yr
[#11, #12, #18, #24, #25] Annual municipal coordination/legal retainer, PR/media management, forensic record preparation, indemnities/local payments, and oversight/ethical review costs.
Incident Response Reserve $30K/yr
[#17] Reserve for incident deployments, investigations, legal mitigation, and larger response team mobilizations.
Autopsy And Biohazard Handling $20K/yr
[#16] Autopsy, pathology, biohazard transport/decontamination, and secure disposal contingency funding per-year.
Logistics And Transport $15K/yr
[#10] Vehicle lease/operation/amortized fleet costs for staff transport and equipment movement.
Research And Monitoring $12K/yr
[#6, #7, #14, #15, #19] Surveillance/data-plan maintenance, remote storage/retention, per-subject lab/follow-up testing budgets, documentation supplies, and environmental monitoring.
Medical Emergency Contingency $10K/yr
[#13] Annual contingency reserve for emergency medical response, ambulance/ER usage, and urgent medical evaluation of returned subjects.
Facilities Maintenance $7K/yr
[#2, #21, #20] Annual hydrology inspections/maintenance, site/landscaping upkeep, and utilities/power for pumps and equipment.
Supplies And Consumables $5K/yr
[#5, #9, #15, #13] Temporary fencing/signage rentals and setup, uniform refreshes, documentation materials, and basic first-aid supplies.
Annual Cordon Operations $3K/yr
[#3] One-day annual cordon operation wages, supervisor/backup overtime, per-diem and on-site logistics.
Background Checks $2K/yr
[#8] Initial vetting and annual re-checks for temporary/cover staff to enforce non-activation criteria.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $269K/yr
94.0% probability / year
Lean, uneventful year with no major incidents; annual cordon performed, routine monitoring and maintenance only.
scheduled annual cordon routine monitoring and maintenance
🚨 Minor Incident $309K/yr
5.0% probability / year +$40K vs baseline
Unauthorized activation or minor public incident requiring limited incident response, medical care, and localized legal/PR work.
unauthorized activation local medical/PR response
🚨 Major Breach $419K/yr
1.0% probability / year +$150K vs baseline
Significant containment failure or adversarial exploitation (e.g., returned individual escapes with device / large public investigation) requiring major response, legal costs, and potential buyouts.
containment breach high-profile legal/political exposure
👥 Personnel 3 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 1 [#4] One on-site/contract security resource or equivalent on-call coverage included in staff wages.
Research Scientist (part-time) 1 [#14] Part-time research support for subject testing, follow-up, and analysis included in staff wages.
Administrative Staff / Site Supervisor 1 [#3, #22] Supervisor/administrative role to run annual cordon, municipal coordination, and manage personnel rotation/training.
📋 Confidence Notes
Costs are built from analyst-provided ranges and local-market assumptions (Austin waterfront land is highly variable). Operational tempo and posture (purchase vs lease, full-time security vs contract) drive major variance, so confidence is medium.
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