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SCP-4821 Keter ? low confidence
SCP-4821
Expected annual
$6.9M
One-time setup
$6.8M
Annual recurring
$6.8M
Personnel
20
One-time startup costs of roughly $6.8M for vehicles, secure holding buildout, IT and emergency reserve; recurring annual costs ~ $6.63M driven primarily by personnel wages, legal/cover operations, research and per-case amnestic/forensic consumption (baseline assumes ~500 cases/yr).
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $6.8M
Emergency Reserve Fund $3.0M
[#27] Containment breach contingency & emergency response reserve fund (one-time set-aside).
Facilities $1.2M
[#5] Secure holding cells / short-term containment wing construction (small wing 3–6 cells).
Equipment $1.2M
[#3, #4, #11, #13, #14, #25] Unmarked vehicle purchases & conversions, mobile unit outfitting, case-management system development, surveillance equipment kits, drone fleet purchase, secure comms hardware (one-time infrastructure).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $1.0M
[#22] Initial research lab buildout and equipment for SCP-4821 research team.
Amnestic Stockpile $125K
[#6] Initial procurement and secure storage setup for amnestic pharmaceuticals and administration supplies.
Public Relations Campaign $100K
[#18] Single major cover/PR campaign startup (misdirection, initial media coordination).
Monitoring Setup $75K
[#12] Initial cyber/social-media monitoring software and tip intake setup.
Amnestic Training Setup $40K
[#9] Initial amnestic training & certification program setup for physicians, agents, and interviewers.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $6.8M/yr
Staff Wages $2.0M/yr
[#1, #2, #7, #8] Field operations agents (8 @ $120k), transport drivers (4 @ $50k), medical personnel (2 physicians + 3 med-techs combined), psychologists/forensic interviewers (3 @ $90k).
Administrative Overhead $1.2M/yr
[#29] Program management, HR, procurement, accounting and insurance overhead (~17.5% of total program costs).
Research And Monitoring $822K/yr
[#11, #12, #14, #22, #25] Research operations (staff and lab ops), secure database hosting/cybersecurity, monitoring staff/license fees, drone licensing/maintenance.
Cover Story And Legal $790K/yr
[#17, #18, #26] Legal team (containment counsel, retainers), ongoing PR/cover campaigns, records falsification/administrative cover processes.
Supplies And Consumables $412K/yr
[#6, #10, #16, #30] Amnestic consumption for ~500 cases ($400/case -> $200k), per-case forensic processing (~$375/case -> $187,500), biohazard disposal and misc consumables.
Facilities Maintenance $265K/yr
[#5, #28] Holding wing maintenance and utilities/security (HVAC, generators, CCTV, monitoring).
Contingency Replenishment $250K/yr
[#27] Annual replenishment of emergency reserve as incidents consume funds.
Witness Relocation $200K/yr
[#20] Temporary relocation / guardianship costs and housing set-aside for high-sensitivity cases.
Compensation Cover Payments $200K/yr
[#21] Civilian reimbursements, participation stipends, and small settlement/cover payments.
Logistics And Transport $195K/yr
[#15] Fuel, travel/lodging for medium throughput (500 cases; ~$300/case average travel assumed) and fleet maintenance.
Liaison Cooperation $125K/yr
[#19] Reimbursements/coordination costs for local law enforcement cooperation and informal payments.
Personnel Care $125K/yr
[#24] Employee assistance programs, counseling, PTSD care and per-session counseling for exposed staff.
Lab Operations $100K/yr
[#10] Baseline laboratory operation costs beyond per-case forensic consumables (equipment calibration, tech time).
Follow Up Visits $60K/yr
[#23] Long-term monitoring and follow-up visits (assumes ~20% of 500 cases require 2 follow-ups).
Comms Maintenance $30K/yr
[#13] Maintenance and replacement for body cams, audio recorders, covert cameras, and related comms hardware.
Training And Certification $20K/yr
[#9] Ongoing refresher courses and certification maintenance for personnel.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $6.8M/yr
85.0% probability / year
Normal year at medium throughput (~500 cases/yr) with no major incidents.
steady 500-case annual throughput no large-scale breaches or litigation
🚨 Minor Incident $7.1M/yr
12.0% probability / year +$375K vs baseline
Localized adverse event: increased litigation/settlements, temporary surge staffing, and partial reserve replenishment.
sensitive case leads to lawsuit/settlement small public exposure requiring media buyout
🚨 Major Breach $11.6M/yr
3.0% probability / year +$4.9M vs baseline
Significant containment failure or mass manifestation leading to emergency response, large legal exposure, mass amnestic administrations and reserve drawdown.
memetic outbreak or mass manifestations major public incident requiring emergency airlift and mass amnestics
👥 Personnel 20 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 8 [#1] Field operations agents for 24/7 coverage; $120k/yr each (included in staff_wages).
Transport Driver / Vehicle Operator 4 [#2] Unmarked vehicle drivers and technical operators; $50k/yr each (included in staff_wages).
Medical Officer 2 [#7] Physicians for amnestic administration and adverse reaction treatment; $180k/yr each (included in staff_wages).
Med-Tech 3 [#7] Med-techs to assist with administration and medical processing; $70k/yr each (included in staff_wages).
Psychologist / Forensic Interviewer 3 [#8] Interviewers/psychologists for pre-amnestic interviews and counseling; $90k/yr each (included in staff_wages).
📋 Confidence Notes
Costs are based on many assumptions: unknown true manifestation rate, uncertain amnestic dosage/frequency, possibility that physical containment becomes necessary, and legal exposure magnitude. The SCP's anomalous mechanics and potential for scale make precise costing uncertain.
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