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SCP-4849 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-4849
Expected annual
$49K
One-time setup
$400K
Annual recurring
$43K
Personnel
1
One-time setup and research costs are modest-to-moderate (~$400k) driven by forensic/genomic analysis and optional testing rigs; annual recurring operations are low (~$42k/yr) driven by part-time technician wages, consumables (lard, PPE) and site overhead.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $400K
Contingency Reserve $200K
[#14] Reserved contingency for containment upgrade or reclassification (chosen conservative mid-low value in $100k–1M range).
Ballistic Testing Setup $50K
[#9] Instrumented range/high-speed camera/ballistic gel setup (mid-range estimate from $25k–100k).
Forensic Pathology $40K
[#11] Autopsy, toxicology, histology and investigation of recovered corpse (mid-range $20k–75k).
Genomic Analysis $30K
[#13] DNA/RNA sequencing, proteomics and specialist assays (mid-range $10k–50k).
Digital Forensics $20K
[#12] Secure ingest and analysis of ~12 TB of recovered data (mid-range $10k–50k).
Legal Retainer $20K
[#19] One-time retainer for counsel/records management (mid-range $10k–30k).
Ultra Low Freezer $12K
[#24] −80°C freezer capital purchase (mid-range $10k–15k).
Test Dummies $10K
[#23] Instrumented mannequins and anti-adhesive suits for safe testing (mid-range $5k–15k).
Decon Equipment $6K
[#22] Autoclave access or small unit purchase (mid-range $3k–10k).
Sop Development $6K
[#15] SOP drafting and initial training/drills (mid-range $3k–10k).
It Hardware $4K
[#18] Secure NAS/hardware for recovered data (mid-range $3k–6k).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $200
[#4] $200 one-time purchase of reusable sterile containers; replacement stock handled as recurring.
Facilities $0
[]
Equipment $0
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🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $43K/yr
Staff Wages $15K/yr
[#6] Dedicated containment technician time (0.1–0.2 FTE) budgeted at ~$15,000/yr (salary + benefits, part-time allocation).
Cover Story And Legal $5K/yr
[#19] Ongoing legal/records management retainer/cover-story costs estimated ~$5k/yr if maintained.
Security Detail $5K/yr
[#7] Marginal security cost absorbed by site (~$5k/yr). Alternative dedicated 2-guard model would be ~$80k/yr (not baseline).
Personnel Health Surveillance $3K/yr
[#25] Occupational health screenings and counseling for handlers (~$2k–5k/yr; mid-range used).
Facilities Maintenance $3K/yr
[#1, #2] Low-priority locker allocation/site overhead ~$2,500/yr plus incremental climate/electricity ~$300/yr.
Supplies And Consumables $2K/yr
[#3, #4, #5] Weekly lard budget ~$1,000/yr, PPE ~$1,000/yr, and container replacement ~$100/yr.
Logistics And Transport $2K/yr
[#20] Secure transfer / courier for occasional moves; baseline assumed ~1 move/yr at ~$2k (range $1k–5k).
Archival Storage $2K/yr
[#26] Secure archival storage and redaction costs ~$1k–3k/yr (mid-range).
Miscellaneous Fund $2K/yr
[#27] Petty operating fund for incidentals and small purchases ~$2,000/yr.
Training And Drills $1K/yr
[#16] Annual refresher training and drills ~$1,000/yr.
Ultra Low Freezer Maintenance $1K/yr
[#24] If freezer purchased, electricity/maintenance ~$1,000/yr (not included in one-time capital).
It Maintenance $800/yr
[#18] Recurring cloud/backup and maintenance for stored data (~$500–1,200/yr).
Biohazard Disposal $500/yr
[#10] Routine biohazard waste handling estimated ~$200–1,000/yr; mid-range ~$500/yr.
Decon Supplies $500/yr
[#22] Chemical/consumable disinfectants and neutralizers ~$500/yr.
Research And Monitoring $0/yr
[#8] Medical support for human trials is per-trial ($5k–25k) and is budgeted into scenarios rather than baseline recurring.
Imaging Budget $0/yr
[#17] Imaging/diagnostic session costs are per-session ($500–5,000) and are budgeted into trial scenarios rather than baseline recurring.
Medical Support $0/yr
[#8] Per-trial medical standby costs ($5k–25k) handled in scenarios; baseline assumes no scheduled human trials.
Physiological Test Consumables $0/yr
[#21] Per-trial consumables ($500–5,000) reserved for trial scenarios; baseline assumes none.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $43K/yr
86.0% probability / year
Normal, uneventful year: routine storage, weekly sustenance, part-time technician, and standard site overhead with no major testing.
routine_storage weekly_maintenance no_human_trials
🚨 Minor Testing $62K/yr
12.0% probability / year +$19K vs baseline
An approved single human trial or comparable intensive test occurs (one-off in-year trial costs).
approved_human_trial imaging_and_medical_standby
🚨 Major Investigation $242K/yr
2.0% probability / year +$199K vs baseline
An intensive investigation/testing year (forensic autopsy, full digital forensics, genomic/proteomic studies, ballistic testing and associated equipment purchases).
incident_requiring_full_investigation decision_to_fund_large-scale_testing
👥 Personnel 1 total
Role Count Notes
Containment Technician 1 [#6] 0.1–0.2 FTE allocated for weekly feeding, checks and logs; budgeted as one part-time technician (~$15k/yr).
📋 Confidence Notes
Recurring operational costs are well-scoped (Safe class, weekly sustenance, part-time tech) so those estimates are reasonably reliable; research/testing and contingency line items have wide ranges and depend on program decisions, so overall confidence is medium.
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