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SCP-4852 Unknown ~ medium confidence
SCP-4852
Expected annual
$4.1M
One-time setup
$14.9M
Annual recurring
$3.5M
Personnel
30
One-time response and reconstruction costs are estimated at roughly $14.9M driven primarily by wing reconstruction, containment construction, replacement of research assets and contingency reserves; recurring yearly costs ~ $3.5M driven by security staffing, research staffing, monitoring and maintenance.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $14.9M
Facilities $8.0M
[#4, #6, #13] Reconstruction/demolition of Research Wing A, construction/design of reinforced containment cell and site-wide retrofit/security anchor upgrades. Estimate aggregates mid-range reconstruction (wing rebuild), containment cell structural work and per-site retrofit costs.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $2.0M
[#5, #8, #9] Replacement of lost laboratory equipment and initial research/lab setup costs, plus purchase/installation of specialized instrumentation for forensic/structural analysis.
Lost Research Opportunity $1.0M
[#23] Compensation or remediation for lost experiments, grants and contract buyouts due to destruction/loss of Research Wing A.
Contingency Reserve $750K
[#20] Contingency / opportunity-cost reserve (recommended 10–30% of projected incident costs) held as one-time buffer for unpredictable ancillary costs.
Rnd Initial $500K
[#25] Initial containment R&D program startup (anchoring systems, memetic countermeasure prototyping) as a one-time program expense.
Casualty Compensation $300K
[#12] One-time emergency medical bills, compensation and initial settlements/funerals if applicable.
Recruitment And Training Initial $300K
[#24] Initial recruitment, onboarding and training costs required to replace specialised staff lost/resigned as a one-time expense.
Heavy Recovery Transport $200K
[#3] Heavy lifting, crane rental and specialized flatbed transport/route surveys for recovery of large severed wing or anomalous component.
Amnestic Treatment Initial $200K
[#11] Initial amnestic administration and medical stabilization costs for affected witnesses and staff (one-time immediate treatment for a cohort).
Long Distance Transport $200K
[#19] Specialized trailers, covert long-distance transfer logistics and route preparation for moving a wing/component to remote containment.
Community Repairs $200K
[#27] Repairs to public infrastructure and property damage caused along the wing's path (one-time municipal repairs coordination).
Neutralization Capability $200K
[#29] Planning, equipment and specialist contracting to enable contingent neutralization/demolition capability.
Cover Story Campaign One Time $200K
[#14] One-time media management / cover-story campaign expenses, planted items and initial bribes/covert payments.
Emergency Mtf Response $150K
[#1] Rapid-response MTF deployment (transport, per-diem, armament, overtime) for a single incident response day(s).
Aerial Recon Initial $150K
[#2] One-time aerial operation costs / initial drone fleet purchase or major helicopter operation for initial tracking and recovery support.
It Setup $150K
[#18] Secure data acquisition/storage systems, air-gapped backups and telemetry ingest systems (initial setup and hardened infrastructure).
Generator Installation $125K
[#17] Backup generator and UPS installation for redundant power supply to specialized containment systems (one-time hardware/install).
Forensic Cleanup $50K
[#16] Forensic decontamination and hazardous-material remediation of path, labs and affected areas.
Psych Ops Initial $50K
[#28] Initial psychological operations and witness-management campaign (non-amnestic alternatives) for immediate incident handling.
Admin Overhead One Time $50K
[#30] Miscellaneous administrative one-time overhead (accounting, emergency petty cash, travel set-up).
Legal One Time $50K
[#15] One-time legal counsel fees and permit liaison related to the immediate incident response.
Evidence Storage Setup $30K
[#10] Secure evidence locker/vault setup and required environmental control for Incident 4852.7 evidence.
Archive Setup $30K
[#26] One-time secure archival and redaction tooling, transcription and documentation processing setup.
Equipment $0
[]
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $3.5M/yr
Staff Wages $2.3M/yr
[#7, #8, #24] 24/7 armed guard coverage and recurring salaries for research scientists, technicians, medical and administrative staff; includes overtime, benefits and training refreshers.
Research And Monitoring $360K/yr
[#9, #21, #25, #26] Long-term containment monitoring, scheduled inspections, sensor replacement, ongoing R&D program operations and archival maintenance.
Cover Story And Legal $150K/yr
[#14, #15, #22] Ongoing PR, liaison with civil authorities, legal retainers and periodic internal audits/compliance funding.
Facilities Maintenance $100K/yr
[#4, #13] Ongoing structural maintenance, anchor/sensor upkeep and periodic retrofit maintenance across Site-19 wings.
Insurance And Audits $100K/yr
[#22] Recurring internal risk audits, covert insurance-equivalent funding increases and liability-control activities.
Contingency Reserve Per Year $100K/yr
[#20] Annual reserve to cover unpredictable ancillary costs and extended investigations.
Supplies And Consumables $75K/yr
[#8, #9] Laboratory consumables, per-test assay supplies and consumables for diagnostics and forensic testing.
Logistics And Transport $75K/yr
[#1, #2, #19] Recurring transport, vehicle fuel, drone leasing days, covert logistics and occasional relocation operations.
Aerial Recon Leasing $50K/yr
[#2] Recurring leasing/day-rates for drones or helicopter hours for periodic monitoring and tracking operations.
Medical Followup And Amnestics $50K/yr
[#11] Ongoing medical monitoring, psychiatric follow-up and periodic amnestic administration where required.
It Maintenance $50K/yr
[#18] Annual maintenance, secure backups, software/hardware patching and telemetry costs for data acquisition systems.
Energy And Utilities $25K/yr
[#17] Incremental utilities and fuel costs for specialized containment systems, HVAC and refrigeration.
Psych Ops Maintenance $25K/yr
[#28] Ongoing witness management, support services and misinformation maintenance costs.
Admin Overhead Yearly $20K/yr
[#30] Recurring administrative overhead, documentation and travel costs.
Evidence Storage Maintenance $10K/yr
[#10] Annual climate control, inventory management and restricted-access auditing for evidence storage.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $3.5M/yr
80.0% probability / year
Normal year with no major incidents; containment maintained, routine monitoring and staff operations only.
no_major_incident routine_inspections scheduled_rnd_activity
🚨 Minor Incident $4.0M/yr
15.0% probability / year +$500K vs baseline
Single additional field deployment and limited recovery/reconstruction work (one-off MTF deployment, aerial ops, limited forensic cleanup and amnestic treatment).
single_deployment limited_damage evidence_recovery
🚨 Major Reconstruction $13.5M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$10.0M vs baseline
Year with a major event requiring full reconstruction/replacement, large settlements, bespoke containment construction and expanded R&D.
full_wing_rebuild major_compensation bespoke_containment
👥 Personnel 30 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 14 [#7] 24/7 armed guard rotation; count chosen to provide continuous coverage with shifts and leave; fully-loaded labor costs account for a large portion of staff_wages.
Research Scientist 6 [#8, #25] Scientists assigned to containment research, forensic analysis and R&D programs.
Research Technician 5 [#8, #9] Technicians supporting lab operations, instrumentation and sample processing.
Engineer / Maintenance 1 [#13, #21] On-call engineer for structural/sensor maintenance and retrofits.
IT Specialist / Administrator 1 [#18, #26] IT and data custodianship for secure acquisition and archival systems.
Medical Officer 1 [#11, #12] Medical support for amnestic administration and casualty care.
Administrative Staff 2 [#15, #30] Administrative and legal liaison support for permits, cover stories and incident accounting.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates compiled from broad ranges in analyst notes; many one-time items have wide uncertainty (reconstruction scale, containment complexity, legal settlements) so totals use mid-range assumptions. Staffing and recurring monitoring costs are better-defined from stated guard/research salary ranges, giving moderate confidence.
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