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SCP-4865 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-4865
Expected annual
$224K
One-time setup
$280K
Annual recurring
$221K
Personnel
1.12
One-time setup is approximately $279,700 driven by research startup, diagnostic instruments, and multiple contingency/incident reserves. Annual recurring costs are approximately $220,700, driven mainly by a full-time Level-3 researcher, ongoing research/forensics, legal/insurance retainers, and monitoring/maintenance.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $280K
Initial Research And Lab Setup $60K
[#8, #22] Documentation system development/configuration (~$10,000) and research program startup funds for controlled experiments (~$50,000).
Equipment $57K
[#2, #3, #4, #9, #11, #17] One-time purchases: inert placement pad (~$200), CCTV/cameras/NVR and tamper sensors (~$2,500), badge reader/access hardware (~$1,500), chain-of-custody printer & initial supplies (~$1,000), hazard/quarantine kit (~$3,000), and small instrument triage package (handheld XRF/FTIR/Geiger/etc. ~ $50,000).
Legal Incident Contingency $50K
[#15] Incident contingency fund for ad-hoc legal fees / incident response (~$50,000 one-time contingency).
Unauthorized Use Contingency $50K
[#23] Contingency reserve for unauthorized use / theft response (mid-range of $30k–100k).
Pr Cover Contingency $25K
[#24] Public relations / cover-story contingency (~$25,000 one-time set-aside).
Armored Vehicle Purchase $25K
[#21] One-time purchase option for a dedicated secure/armored transfer vehicle if required (~$25,000).
Facilities $10K
[#1, #18] Secure storage locker purchase and installation (~$4.5k) and additional evidence-rack capacity (~$5k).
Sop Development And Initial Training $3K
[#19] Initial SOP development and associated one-time training material development (~$3,000).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $221K/yr
Staff Wages $90K/yr
[#5] Fully loaded salary for one Level-3 technician/researcher (1.0 FTE assumed, mid-range ~$90,000/yr).
Research And Monitoring $78K/yr
[#7, #10, #13, #14, #22, #19] Ongoing research experiments & personnel (~$40,000/yr), baseline forensic analyses (~$10,000/yr), test-subject program overhead (~$10,000/yr), medical/psych screenings and emergency coverage (~$15,000/yr), hazardous-item disposal baseline (~$2,000/yr), and annual refresher training (~$1,000/yr).
Cover Story And Legal $33K/yr
[#8, #15, #16, #26] Legal counsel & compliance retainer (~$20,000/yr), insurance/risk reserve (~$10,000/yr), documentation hosting/backups (~$2,000/yr), and record retention/off-site backup costs (~$1,000/yr).
Facilities Maintenance $9K/yr
[#3, #4, #18, #19, #20, #25, #27] CCTV/system monitoring & maintenance (~$1,500/yr), access-control admin & audits (~$1,000/yr), climate/maintenance for added racks (~$500/yr), refresher training allocation (~$1,000/yr), quarterly internal audits (~$5,000/yr), utilities allocation (~$350/yr), and minor repairs/misc supplies (~$1,000/yr).
Security Wages $6K/yr
[#6] Marginal/security overtime cost for escorting during tests and occasional dedicated guard time (~$6,000/yr equivalent).
Supplies And Consumables $2K/yr
[#2, #9, #11, #12] Consumables: sacrificial pad replacements (~$100/yr), chain-of-custody consumables (~$500/yr), hazard kit consumables (~$1,000/yr), PPE & disposable handling supplies (~$750/yr).
Logistics And Transport $2K/yr
[#21] Onsite/offsite secure transport and transfer costs (fuel, vehicle time, escorts) (~$2,000/yr baseline).
Forensic Analysis Incident Buffer $0/yr
[]
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $221K/yr
94.0% probability / year
Normal year with routine testing and no major incidents; ongoing research, forensics, monitoring, and legal retainer only.
routine_testing scheduled_research no_unauthorized_use
🚨 Minor Incident $241K/yr
5.0% probability / year +$20K vs baseline
Small-scale misuse or a hazardous/illegal item requiring extra forensic testing, disposal, short-term legal consults and temporary security upgrades.
contraband_generation additional_forensics hazardous_disposal
🚨 Major Incident $421K/yr
1.0% probability / year +$200K vs baseline
Significant unauthorized exploitation, theft, or hazardous contamination requiring large legal response, incident investigation, containment upgrades, and specialised disposal.
theft_or_uncontrolled_exploitation law_enforcement_involvement major_hazardous_disposal
👥 Personnel 1.12 total
Role Count Notes
Research Scientist / Level-3 Technician 1.0 [#5] One dedicated Level-3 technician/researcher FTE (fully loaded salary included in staff_wages).
Security Officer / MTF Agent 0.12 [#6] Partial FTE equivalent representing overtime/escort coverage paid as marginal security costs (~$6k/yr).
📋 Confidence Notes
Line-item cost estimates are drawn directly from analyst notes where available (ranges were midpointed); contingency items and incident probabilities remain uncertain due to anomalous behavior and incident variability, so overall confidence is medium.
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