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SCP-4875 Keter ? low confidence
SCP-4875
Expected annual
$39.9M
One-time setup
$70.8M
Annual recurring
$35.2M
Personnel
76
Initial capital expenditures are dominated by containment retrofits, research buildouts, and a large expedition contingency; recurring annual costs are driven by personnel (MTF and analysts), continuous ESTIBEN monitoring/compute, field mission logistics, media takedown operations, and legal/cover-up budgets, producing an expected annual program cost of roughly $40.3M.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $70.8M
Expedition Reserve $55.0M
[#28] Reserve allocated for a possible high-risk expedition into SCP-4875-1 (midpoint of $10M–$100M contingency range).
Facilities $6.4M
[#9, #15, #19] Facility-57 containment wing retrofit ($4,000,000 midpoint), initial regional field-office/safehouse setup ($900,000 midpoint), Atacama-region sensor network & field camp capital install ($1,500,000 midpoint).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $5.8M
[#1, #11, #22] ESTIBEN.aic development/ML prototype ($2,250,000 midpoint), forensic lab & evidence quarantine buildout ($1,000,000 midpoint), neuroscience research program capital/setup ($2,500,000 midpoint).
Equipment $2.4M
[#7, #12, #25] Tactical & restraint equipment initial procurement ($650,000 midpoint) + memetic-filtering/PPE & related memetic infrastructure hardware ($1,300,000 midpoint) + cybersecurity hardware/encryption hardware ($400,000 midpoint).
Emergency Mass Reserve $1.2M
[#26] Build reserve for mass-incident surge capacity (stockpiles, emergency immobilization kits) estimated midpoint.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $35.2M/yr
Staff Wages $8.8M/yr
[#4, #5, #10, #29] Salaries/benefits for 24/7 analyst verification team (#4), MTF Ni-13 standing force salaries/retention (#5), Facility-57 ongoing care & custodial staffing for immobilized subjects (#10), and program managers/overhead apportioned to personnel (#29).
Expedition Contingency Reserve $5.0M/yr
[#28] Annual budgeted contingency set-aside to fund potential high-cost expedition options or crisis-level responses (programmatic reserve).
Mtf Field Missions $4.5M/yr
[#6] Aggregate annual MTF deployment costs (flights, helicopters, vehicles, per-mission logistics) based on dozens–hundreds of missions/year.
Cover Story And Legal $2.8M/yr
[#23] Public relations, compensation to families, false narratives, and hush payments contingency budget.
Drone Robot Testing $2.6M/yr
[#20] Consumable/disposable drone & robotic experiment budgets and replacement losses (midpoint aggressiveness).
Local Humint $1.6M/yr
[#14] Covert operatives, informants, local contractors, translation services and cultural experts in LATAM.
Media Takedown Operations $1.5M/yr
[#13] Continuous worldwide memetic footage removal, legal takedowns, covert influence operations and associated cyber/legal budgets.
Research And Monitoring $1.2M/yr
[#22] Ongoing neuroscience research program costs (fMRI sessions, participant compensation, lab running costs).
Legal And Diplomatic $900K/yr
[#24] Counsel retainment, diplomatic compliance work, covert bilateral agreements, and payoff/clearing costs if local authorities obstruct operations.
Secure Data Access $875K/yr
[#3] Payments, legal/contract costs, and covert scraping costs to obtain elevated API access and platform cooperation.
Facilities Maintenance $750K/yr
[#15] Ongoing leases, upkeep, and small-site operating costs for international field offices / safehouses.
Recruitment And Training Premium $650K/yr
[#18] Increased compensation, relocation bonuses and specialized memetic-safety/language training due to nationality restrictions and limited candidate pool.
Logistics And Transport $625K/yr
[#16] Travel, covert courier of evidence to Facility-57, emergency medevac capacity and chain-of-custody logistics.
Estiben Compute Ops $500K/yr
[#2] ESTIBEN.aic ongoing compute/storage/ops: cloud GPUs/CPUs, continuous web crawling, storage, routine retraining and ops staffing.
Atacama Sensor Maintenance $500K/yr
[#19] Recurring maintenance, fuel, comms and logistics for the Atacama-region sensor network and field camps.
Emergency Reserve Maintenance $500K/yr
[#26] Annual refresh/maintenance of emergency mass-incident reserves (amnestic stockpile rotation, kit refresh).
Background Vetting $400K/yr
[#17] Ongoing deep background checks and enforcement of nationality/work-history policies.
Psychological Care And Followup $375K/yr
[#27] Counseling, memetic-exposure monitoring, rotation programs and long-term health surveillance for exposed staff.
Supplies And Consumables $325K/yr
[#11] Forensic lab recurring costs: evidence handling, air-gapped analysis consumables, digitization supplies.
Cybersecurity $275K/yr
[#25] Ongoing IDS/monitoring, red-team testing, software updates and secure ops for ESTIBEN and analysis systems.
Tactical Equipment Replenishment $250K/yr
[#7] Annual replenishment and replacement of consumable tactical/restraint kits and medical supplies.
Amnestic Pharmaceuticals $175K/yr
[#8] Manufacture/stockpile and administration supplies for chemical amnestics and related consumables.
Clothing Handling $125K/yr
[#21] Quarantine, decontamination, cataloging, and conservation of anomalous returned clothing.
Media And Forensic Supplies $0/yr
[]
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $35.2M/yr
55.0% probability / year
Normal operational year with continuous monitoring, regular small deployments, and no large-scale incident or expedition.
steady monitoring load routine MTF deployments no major memetic cascade
🚨 Minor Incident $39.3M/yr
30.0% probability / year +$4.1M vs baseline
Localized cluster of activations requiring elevated deployments, additional amnestics, increased PR payouts, and extra forensic work.
viral footage triggers multiple cases several field missions in a short window
🚨 Major Breach $60.8M/yr
7.0% probability / year +$25.6M vs baseline
Widespread activation or coordinated memetic spread requiring mass deployments, large PR/legal expenditures, and reserve drawdown.
mass memetic cascade multiple simultaneous activations across region
🚨 Expedition Ordered $90.8M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$55.6M vs baseline
Decision to mount a direct, high-risk expedition into SCP-4875-1 with heavy asset consumption and probable losses.
policy decision to attempt direct exploration high-risk research mandate
🚨 Political Exposure $45.8M/yr
6.0% probability / year +$10.6M vs baseline
Diplomatic or public exposure requiring large-scale legal/diplomatic payouts, emergency relocations, and enhanced covert operations.
leak or local-government obstruction high-profile public disclosure
👥 Personnel 76 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 25 [#5, #6] Ni-13 operatives maintained at readiness for rapid deployments; includes medics and memetic techs.
Intelligence Analyst / Media Triage 16 [#1, #2, #4] ESTIBEN alert triage, human verification, 24/7 coverage, Spanish/Portuguese fluency and memetic-awareness.
Nurse / Medical Officer 12 [#10] Ongoing care staff for indefinitely immobilized subjects at Facility-57; includes medical maintenance roles.
Research Scientist 6 [#22, #12] Neuroscience and memetic researchers conducting fMRI studies, countermeasure research, and memetic analysis.
Forensic Technician / Lab Technician 6 [#11] Evidence quarantine, film/media digitization, and air-gapped analysis station operators.
Engineer / Maintenance 4 [#19, #25] Field-sensor, drone and facility maintenance, cybersecurity ops support and generator/communications upkeep.
Administrative Staff / Program Manager 3 [#29] Program management, recordkeeping, internal audits and administrative overhead roles.
Psychologist / Medical Support 4 [#27, #4] Counseling and long-term health surveillance for personnel with memetic exposure; biweekly therapy for MTF members.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates are built from wide analyst ranges and large-uncertainty contingency items (notably expeditionary reserves). Many costs depend on incident frequency, classified operational decisions, and opaque platform/cooperation costs, so overall confidence is low.
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