SCP-4876 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-4876
Expected annual
$197K
One-time setup
$110K
Annual recurring
$195K
Personnel
5
One-time setup and contingency (~$110k) mainly driven by locker upgrades, air-gapped test hardware, forensic equipment, and a contingency fund; recurring annual costs (~$195k/yr) are driven by staff wages (research and IT), ongoing research/archival work, transport contingency, and consumables.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $110K
Contingency Containment Upgrade Fund $50K
[#16] Contingency reserve for escalation (temporary secure cell, hardening, emergency power/isolation booths).
Equipment $24K
[#2, #3, #4, #5, #7, #8, #9, #10] Faraday evidence bags/box; 2–4 air-gapped test laptops; virtualization/forensic workstation; USB write-blockers and monitoring tools; NAS for logs; camera/microphone hardware; initial PPE handling kit; initial evidence packaging materials (initial costs).
Facilities $20K
[#1] Secure storage locker refurbishment (reinforcements, environmental control, signage, shelving).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $8K
[#6, #15] One-time software licenses and initial research/training/SOP development costs (lab buildout and tooling for forensic/testing).
Cover Story Compensation $5K
[#18] PR/cover-story and property compensation fund (initial/recovery-dependent).
Record Destruction $3K
[#26] One-time secure destruction equipment (degausser/shredder) purchase.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $195K/yr
Staff Wages $130K/yr
[#11, #12, #13] Incremental security guard OT (custody/transport checks) + dedicated research hours (2 researchers @ ~0.2 FTE each) + technical specialist (IT/forensics support).
Research And Monitoring $27K/yr
[#6, #21, #22, #25, #26] Ongoing software maintenance/licenses; archival transcription and data processing; long-term digital archival migration; small research program budget for experiments/consumables/subject stipends; record-destruction maintenance.
Logistics And Transport $10K/yr
[#17] Emergency transport/armoured courier contingency budget for relocation or field recovery.
Cover Story And Legal $10K/yr
[#14] Ethics/oversight committee costs, legal review, informed-consent frameworks and occasional external counsel.
Supplies And Consumables $5K/yr
[#9, #10, #20, #27] PPE consumables and ESD supplies; evidence packaging replenishment; consumable electronics/replacement parts; minor administrative incidentals.
Psychological Support $4K/yr
[#24] Counseling and debriefing services for staff exposed to interviews/interactions.
Misc Administrative $3K/yr
[#27] Office supplies, travel between sites, and small incidentals.
Liability Insurance $2K/yr
[#23] Marginal increase in site insurance premiums attributable to anomalous testing/storage.
Training And Sop $2K/yr
[#15] Annual refreshers, SOP updates and staff training specific to SCP-4876 containment/testing.
Facilities Maintenance $800/yr
[#19] Routine electricity and modest HVAC/power overhead for test machines, NAS, and locker environmental control.
Storage Expansion $600/yr
[#7] NAS expansion, tape backups and storage growth for logs/recordings.
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $195K/yr
92.0% probability / year
Normal year with routine testing, no incidents or escalations.
routine_testing no_incidents
🚨 Minor Incident $200K/yr
5.0% probability / year +$5K vs baseline
Small procedural incident (corrupted recording, minor data loss, or small equipment replacement) requiring limited emergency spending.
limited_equipment_replacement data_recovery minor_protocol_violation
🚨 Major Breach $255K/yr
1.0% probability / year +$60K vs baseline
Containment/incident requiring activation of contingency fund and significant emergency response (secure cell, transport, major forensic efforts).
unexpected_anomalous_behavior prohibited_variant_encountered emergency_recontainment
🚨 Research Breakthrough Requiring Scale Up $295K/yr
2.0% probability / year +$100K vs baseline
Significant research finding prompts expanded testing program and equipment/staff scale-up.
promising_research_results need_for_additional_test_hardware temporary_hiring_or_contractors
👥 Personnel 5 total
Role Count Notes
Research Scientist 2 [#12] Two Level-3 researchers assigned part-time to SCP-4876 testing/studies (2 researchers at ~0.2 FTE each; headcount = 2).
Technical Specialist (IT/Forensics) 1 [#13] One technical specialist (0.1–0.25 FTE) responsible for air-gap integrity, imaging, and monitoring.
Security Officer / MTF Agent 2 [#11] Two security personnel providing incremental custody/transport overtime coverage for handoffs and restricted-area checks (rostered hours rather than dedicated 24/7 assignment).
📋 Confidence Notes
Many line items are given as wide ranges and depend on site-specific integration choices (e.g., locker refurbishment scope, laptop specs, contingency posture). Personnel and recurring items are better-defined but some contingency and incident probabilities are subjective.
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