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SCP-4910 Keter ? low confidence
SCP-4910
Expected annual
$18.4M
One-time setup
$52.9M
Annual recurring
$17.4M
Personnel
79
Initial capital expenditures are approximately $52.85M driven primarily by a high-containment laboratory buildout, R&D for non-compromised sensors, contingency reserves, and heavy equipment (vehicles/cremators). Annual recurring costs are roughly $17.42M, dominated by MTF personnel wages, facility operations, research, logistics (airlift/capture ops) and legal/cover operations.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $52.9M
Facilities $35.0M
[#10] High-containment laboratory/quarantine facility buildout (BSL-4 level modifications, negative pressure, incineration integration).
Contingency Reserve $10.0M
[#25] Reserve fund for uncontrolled outbreak scenarios, mass incineration/evacuation, and large-scale cover-up operations.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $3.8M
[#9, #11] One-time R&D program for resilient sensors/recorders and forensics/pathology suite modifications and specialized autopsy equipment.
Equipment $2.8M
[#6, #7, #5, #13, #18, #19, #20, #22] Mobile cremators, armored vehicles, initial PPE stock, secure vault, initial specialized weaponry stockpile, specialized containment canisters, initial redundant C2 hardware, and initial public-health stockpile equipment.
Lost Technology Contingency $1.0M
[#23] Contingency fund for assessment/replacement of compromised critical components and lost-technology mitigation.
Training Setup $250K
[#3] Initial training and mission-readiness setup (live-fire, surgical-simulation, decon training).
Storage Spill Containment $75K
[#4] Initial secure storage and spill containment infrastructure for specialized hydrochloric compound and neutralization.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $17.4M/yr
Staff Wages $5.1M/yr
[#1, #2, #15] MTF-ε "Tyrfing Black" salaries and hazard pay (36 operatives @ ~$90k/yr), contracted contingency surgeons (6 contractors), and core intelligence/analyst payroll (portion of #15).
Facilities Maintenance $3.5M/yr
[#10] Annual operations, utilities, specialized containment maintenance and running costs for the high-containment facility.
Research And Monitoring $2.2M/yr
[#21, #15] Ongoing epidemiology/containment research program and monitoring operations (research staff, data-mining, and tipline/translation budget).
Logistics And Transport $2.2M/yr
[#7, #6, #24] Airlift retainer, vehicle fuel/maintenance, mobile cremation operations fuel/maintenance, and recurring capture/containment operation budgets.
Cover Story And Legal $1.9M/yr
[#16, #26, #27] Legal/diplomatic liaison, cover-up/misinformation budgets, audits/compliance/insurance, and rapid disinformation response efforts.
Supplies And Consumables $1.4M/yr
[#4, #5, #8, #11, #12, #17, #13, #29] Chemical consumables (HF/PURE), PPE replacement, disposable field kits and replacement equipment contingency, forensics consumables, hazardous waste disposal, neutralizers and cleanup contractors (including emergency contingency), paper redundancy programs and miscellaneous baseline consumables.
Psychological Support $350K/yr
[#14] Counseling, trauma therapy, casualty compensation baseline for MTF casualties and families.
Public Health Coordination $250K/yr
[#22] Hospital training maintenance, stockpile sustainment, liaison and coordination with public healthcare partners.
Recruitment And Replacement $200K/yr
[#28] Ongoing recruiting, accelerated training pipelines, and replacement manpower costs.
Training And Mission Readiness $150K/yr
[#3] Quarterly tactical/medical/decon refresher training and replacement training for lost operatives.
Ammunition And Resupply $50K/yr
[#18] Ammunition resupply and replacement for specialized weaponry stockpile.
Redundant C2 Refresh $25K/yr
[#20] Annual refresh/maintenance of analog/hardened fallback communications and associated consumables.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $17.4M/yr
78.0% probability / year
Normal operational year without major incidents: routine deployments, training, research, maintenance, and standard capture attempts.
routine_deployments no_large_scale_outbreak regular_research_and_training
🚨 Minor Incident $19.4M/yr
20.0% probability / year +$2.0M vs baseline
Localized outbreak or difficult capture resulting in increased deployments, emergency disposal, extra legal/cover actions and temporary surge in resource use.
localized_outbreak failed_capture_with_public_exposure surge_in_incineration_and_cleanup
🚨 Major Outbreak $47.4M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$30.0M vs baseline
Widespread uncontrolled outbreak or major public exposure requiring mass incineration, emergency hospital coordination, mobilization of contingency reserves and large-scale cover-up.
widespread_transmission multiple_site_outbreaks major_public_exposure/coverage
👥 Personnel 79 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 36 [#1] Three rotational MTF-ε teams (12 operatives each), includes team leaders, medics and drivers; wages included in staff_wages.
Contracted Surgeons 6 [#2] On-call contracted surgical contingency; fees included in staff_wages as contractors.
Research Scientist 8 [#21] Research/epidemiology staff supported by research_and_monitoring budget.
Medical Officer 4 [#11, #22] Site medical staff to support autopsy/surgical windows and hospital coordination; supported by facility and supplies budgets.
Engineer / Maintenance 4 [#10] Facility engineers and maintenance personnel for high-containment operations.
Analysts / Intelligence 10 [#15] Multilingual analysts and tipline operators; core wages and tipline funding accounted in staff_wages and research_and_monitoring.
Operator / Logistics 6 [#7, #24] Vehicle/airlift operators, cremation operators and logistics support for deployments.
Administrative Staff 4 [#16, #26] Admin, legal liaison, and compliance support included in cover_story_and_legal and facilities budgets.
Site Director / Executive Staff 1 [#10] Executive oversight for program; part of facility operations and admin budgets.
📋 Confidence Notes
Costs are low-confidence due to anomalous, poorly-understood behavior of SCP-4910, wide ranges in analyst estimates, contractor vs. payroll distinctions, and uncertain likelihood/severity of outbreak scenarios.
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