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SCP-4912 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-4912
Expected annual
$1.3M
One-time setup
$955K
Annual recurring
$1.3M
Personnel
3
One-time setup (secure locker, access hardware, robotic manipulator, policy/legal setup, and a contingency reserve) totals about $955k; dominant recurring costs (~$1.26M/year) are personnel (all-female caretakers), legal/cover-up, incident/amnestic contingency and research.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $955K
Catastrophic Risk Reserve One Time $500K
[#18] Initial insurance-equivalent reserve to cover rare large-scale legal/amnestic/relocation costs (~$500k).
Facilities $265K
[#1, #20] Includes prefab Euclid-class locker (~$15k) and an allowance for a future containment/handling suite upgrade (~$250k).
Equipment $92K
[#6, #7, #8] Badge/readers and access hardware (~$12.5k), cameras/NVR (~$7.5k), and a remote manipulator/robotic handling unit (~$72.5k).
Legal Setup $45K
[#5] One-time legal policy review, waiver drafting and initial mitigation planning (~$45k).
Recruiting One Time $35K
[#4] One-time recruiting and clearance costs to find/qualify female-only candidates (~$35k).
Training Documentation Setup $9K
[#11] One-time SOP creation, training materials, and documentation production (~$9k).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $8K
[#19] One-time setup for data/sample storage and controlled test imaging / sample bank (~$8.5k).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $1.3M/yr
Amnestic And Post Event Contingency $300K/yr
[#14] Annual contingency reserve for retrievals, amnestics, therapy, cover-up and follow-up operations (~$100k–$500k/yr; midpoint used).
Research And Monitoring $250K/yr
[#13] Ongoing research budget for controlled experiments, analyses, and scientist time (~$100k–$400k/yr).
Staff Wages $225K/yr
[#3] Salaries + benefits for 3 all-female caretakers/technicians (3 × $75k = $225k/yr).
Incident Response Teams $150K/yr
[#15] Surveillance, field retrieval ops, trackers and MTF/tasking readiness (~$50k–$250k/yr).
Cover Story And Legal $75K/yr
[#5, #16] Ongoing legal support, HR compliance maintenance and public cover/PR efforts (~$5k–$25k legal + $25k–$200k PR; combined midpoint).
Emergency Response Oncall $50K/yr
[#9] On-call female responder pay, travel allowances and vehicle readiness for 24/7 rapid-response (~$20k–$80k/yr).
Osint And Concealment $42K/yr
[#21] Monitoring fandoms, conventions and social media; undercover coverage and intervention (~$10k–$75k/yr).
Per Incident Expected Amnestic Retrieval $40K/yr
[#14] Expected, annualized per-incident retrieval & amnestic costs (annualized estimate assuming infrequent incidents; per-incident range $10k–$150k).
Medical And Occupational Health $38K/yr
[#10] Regular medical checks and occupational health for caretakers (~$5k–$20k per staff; $15k–$60k total).
Facilities Maintenance $25K/yr
[#2] Pro-rated Site-64 overhead (space, HVAC, utilities, basic site security) allocated for locker + small staging area (~$25k/yr).
Recruitment And Retention $20K/yr
[#4] Premium/retention pay, recruiting refreshers and clearance renewals for gender-restricted roles (~$10k–$30k/yr).
Forensic And Pathology Expected $14K/yr
[#17] Annualized forensic/pathology costs assuming rare incidents (per-incident $5k–$50k; annualized expectation applied).
Access Control Maintenance $6K/yr
[#6] Annual audits, badge system upkeep and admin for access rosters (~$2k–$10k/yr).
Logistics And Transport $5K/yr
[#20] Expected small annual allowance for occasional female-only transport/transfer logistics (~$5k/yr).
Training And Documentation $5K/yr
[#11] Annual refresher training and drills (~$2k–$8k/yr).
Administrative Overhead $4K/yr
[#22] Paperwork, audits, chain-of-custody logs and small admin (~$1k–$8k/yr).
Cctv Maintenance And Storage $3K/yr
[#7] Camera maintenance, hardened storage and chain-of-custody retention (~$1k–$5k/yr).
Research Data Archival $3K/yr
[#19] Archival storage and controlled image/sample handling (~$1k–$5k/yr).
Supplies And Consumables $2K/yr
[#12] Textile-safe cleaners, PPE, hangers, conservator supplies (~$0.5k–$3k/yr, midpoint used).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $1.3M/yr
75.0% probability / year
Uneventful year with routine maintenance, staffing, legal upkeep, research and contingency replenishment; no major public incidents.
routine_maintenance scheduled_research no_public_incidents
🚨 Minor Incident $1.4M/yr
20.0% probability / year +$100K vs baseline
Single localized public incident requiring targeted retrieval, amnestic administration, limited forensic work and PR response.
single_public_incident localized_injury limited_media_attention
🚨 Major Incident $2.3M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$1.0M vs baseline
High-profile exposure or multiple casualties requiring large amnestic campaigns, legal settlements, large-scale PR and reserve drawdown.
mass_exposure multiple_casualties sustained_media_scrutiny
👥 Personnel 3 total
Role Count Notes
Technician / Caretaker 3 All-female handling and maintenance staff required by policy; compensation included in staff_wages [#3].
📋 Confidence Notes
Line-item costs (locker, hardware, staffing, research) are well bounded, but uncertainty in incident frequency/severity (which dominates variable costs) reduces confidence to medium.
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