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SCP-4913 Safe ? low confidence
SCP-4913
Expected annual
$6.9M
One-time setup
$8.0M
Annual recurring
$7.0M
Personnel
19
Initial capital outlay is dominated by purchase of the hotel (~$6.0M) plus containment and equipment (~$2.0M); annual operations are driven by staffing, lost revenue and R&D/contingency reserves (~$7.0M/yr).
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $8.0M
Facilities $6.3M
[#1, #3, #4, #14] Purchase of property ($6,000,000), immediate securing/boarding ($35,000), permanent containment modifications ($150,000), generator purchase ($90,000).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $580K
[#21, #12, #22] Initial R&D program and lab setup for memetic/anti-probability research ($500,000), initial medical/amnestic supplies ($60,000), archival/legal records system setup ($20,000).
Equipment $462K
[#5, #9, #10, #6] Surveillance hardware ($45,000), non-human entry systems/robotics ($225,000), specialized recording hardware/protocol setup ($112,000), secure/offsite archival hardware initial ($80,000).
Legal Contingency Reserve $300K
[#19] One-time legal/settlement reserve as contingency (~$300,000).
Public Records Suppression Initial Reserve $300K
[#26] Initial public records suppression / retroactive mitigation reserve (~$300,000).
Legal And Closing Fees $90K
[#2] Closing, expedited legal/zoning and title transfer fees (~$90,000).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $7.0M/yr
Opportunity Cost Lost Revenue $3.5M/yr
[#24] Foregone gross hotel revenue (126 rooms × ~$120 ADR × ~50% occupancy ≈ $3.5M/yr).
Staff Wages $1.8M/yr
[#7, #8] On-site security force and supervisors (~$1,000,000/yr) plus command/specialist staff (site director, researchers, memeticist, admin; ~$800,000/yr).
Research And Monitoring $650K/yr
[#21, #11, #10, #22] Ongoing R&D into antimemetic/anti-probability countermeasures ($500,000/yr), containment/testing budget allocation (~$100,000/yr baseline), specialized recording operations ($20,000/yr), long-term archival upkeep ($30,000/yr).
Cover Story And Legal $255K/yr
[#18, #19, #26] Cover operations/PR and local obfuscation (~$55,000/yr), insurance/liability/legal reserve (~$100,000/yr), public-records suppression top-ups and legal work (~$100,000/yr).
Facilities Maintenance $250K/yr
[#14, #15, #16, #17, #5, #6] Generator fuel/maintenance ($17,500/yr), utilities ($42,000/yr), routine maintenance/custodial/elevator/pest control ($84,000/yr), property taxes ($90,000/yr), surveillance maintenance/storage (~$6,000/yr), offsite archival storage/media rotation (~$10,000/yr).
Emergency Escalation Reserve $200K/yr
[#25] Annual set-aside for escalation/exclusion zone actions, temporary housing, coordination (~$200,000/yr).
Staff Training And Vetting $125K/yr
[#20] Ongoing background checks, specialized training programs and vetting (~$125,000/yr).
Psychological Support And Turnover $88K/yr
[#23] Counseling, turnover, replacement and continuity costs (~$88,000/yr).
Supplies And Consumables $42K/yr
[#12, #27] Medical/amnestic resupply and training ($15,000/yr), miscellaneous equipment replacement and consumables ($27,500/yr).
Logistics And Transport $40K/yr
[#9] Annual maintenance/repair and logistics for non-human entry systems/robotics (~$40,000/yr).
Forensic Incident Response Reserve $25K/yr
[#13] Annual reserve for forensic investigations and incident response per failed attempt (~$25,000/yr baseline).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $7.0M/yr
92.8% probability / year
Normal year with no major incidents; routine operations, staffing, maintenance, R&D and reserves funded as budgeted.
no breach no major exposure standard operations
🚨 Minor Incident $7.0M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$50K vs baseline
A localized failed-entry or equipment failure requiring investigation, small replacements and PR/legal attention.
failed entry incident equipment loss/damage
🚨 Major Breach $8.5M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$1.5M vs baseline
Significant containment event or exposure requiring evacuation, large legal/PR response, equipment replacement and accelerated R&D.
widespread exposure extended law enforcement/evacuation
🚨 Catastrophic Breach $12.0M/yr
0.2% probability / year +$5.0M vs baseline
Severe anomalous effect or public exposure (e.g., retroactive erasure event manifested publicly) requiring massive suppression, legal settlement and long-term scale-up.
public exposure retroactive/antimemetic cascade
👥 Personnel 19 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 12 [#7] Twelve guards (4 per shift) as primary 24/7 on-site security.
Security Supervisor / Sergeant 2 [#7] Two supervisors/shift leads.
Research Scientist 2 [#8] Two researchers assigned to SCP-4913 monitoring and sanctioned tests.
Memeticist / Specialist 1 [#8, #21] One memetic/senior specialist for antimemetic work and consultation.
Site Director / Executive Staff 1 [#8] One site director/manager responsible for operations.
Administrative Staff 1 [#8] One administrative/HR support for site logistics and cover operations.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates use mid-range assumptions from analyst ranges; key costs (R&D, suppression reserves, lost revenue) vary widely depending on whether antimemetic/retroactive effects are real, so uncertainty is high.
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