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SCP-4916 Euclid ? low confidence
SCP-4916
Expected annual
$177.7M
One-time setup
$509.9M
Annual recurring
$60.7M
Personnel
40
Initial acquisition and capture drive very large one-time mission costs (hundreds of millions) while ongoing monitoring, security, and research produce annual costs on the order of tens of millions; the primary drivers are mass uncertainty (mission sizing), custom capture hardware and launches, and contingency/legal/reserve funds.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $509.9M
Reentry Systems $150.0M
[#10] Sample-return or controlled deorbit/reentry hardware (heatshielded capsule, entry systems) for modest downmass.
Equipment $120.0M
[#4] Design & fabrication of capture/tug spacecraft (custom heavy-duty capture vehicle).
Orbital Disassembly Development $85.0M
[#11] Development of orbital disassembly tools, remote manipulators, and containment for in-orbit deconstruction.
Disaster Response Reserve $50.0M
[#19] Contingency fund reserved for evacuations, cleanup, disaster relief in worst-case fragmentation/reentry events.
Insurance Reserve $30.0M
[#20] Reserve for specialized insurance and program risk premiums for anomalous phenomena not covered commercially.
Debris Mitigation Reserve $20.0M
[#8] Contingency reserve for debris-mitigation, collision avoidance and potential compensation/cleanup per capture attempt.
Decommissioning Reserve $20.0M
[#24] Decommissioning/disposal reserve if long-term stewardship requires eventual costly disposal.
Orbital Security Contract $6.0M
[#16] Orbital security contracting/defense team fees per mission to protect assets in orbit or during capture.
Emi Hardening $5.5M
[#7] EMP/EMI hardening and shielding upgrades for spacecraft and ground communications.
Site17 Manipulators $5.5M
[#14] Specialized remote handling & robotic manipulators purchase and integration at Site-17.
Neutralization Rnd Setup $5.0M
[#23] One-time setup costs for containment R&D into neutralization/passivation (equipment, prototypes).
Facilities $2.5M
[#13] Site-17 storage adaptation (vault, Faraday cage, grounding, fire suppression) one-time upgrades.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $2.5M
[#9] Specialized scientific instrumentation for remote analysis (space-qualified sensors or purchase/integration).
Legal And Diplomatic Cover $2.5M
[#18] One-time legal/diplomatic mitigation, falsified filings, backchannels and initial payments if international agencies notice.
Transport Recovery $1.5M
[#12] Secure transport (heavy crane, convoy, specialized air/sea lift) from landing site to Site-17; per-recovery cost estimate.
Mission Simulation $1.2M
[#6] One-time simulations, training, and on-orbit testing preparation for rendezvous and capture.
Vault Upgrades $1.0M
[#22] Vault upgrades, background checks, monitoring and anti-theft measures for electrum material at Site-17.
Tracking Setup $600K
[#2] Initial setup for high-cadence orbital tracking (radar, spaceborne optical/IR, telescope time) and redundant sourcing.
Opsec Tooling $600K
[#17] Initial tooling for cyber censorship, webcrawlers, false-report generation and OPSEC infrastructure.
Remote Sensing Study $500K
[#1] One-time remote sensing study and mass-uncertainty modelling to narrow mass range prior to mission design.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $60.7M/yr
Loss Of Capability Opportunity Cost $15.0M/yr
[#21] Opportunity cost of dedicating FOS-19 assets to SCP-4916 pursuits (percent of FOS-19 annual budget).
Orbital Disassembly Per Mission $12.5M/yr
[#11] Per-mission recurring cost for orbital disassembly operations (tools, mission execution when performed).
Capture Propellant $10.0M/yr
[#3] Ongoing propellant and contingency refuels for FOS-19 station-keeping and capture maneuvers while active.
Staff Wages $5.8M/yr
[#6,#15,#16] Salaries for mission controllers, research staff, engineers, security and support personnel while active.
Public Safety Fund $5.0M/yr
[#19] Annual funding for preparedness, drills and smaller-scale public safety contingencies.
Research And Monitoring $2.5M/yr
[#15] Long-term materials analysis, exotic propulsion research program and monitoring campaigns.
Debris Response Fund $2.0M/yr
[#8,#19] Annual reserve for collision avoidance maneuvers, debris tracking and small cleanup responses.
Neutralization Rnd $2.0M/yr
[#23] Multi-year R&D program costs for passivation/neutralization experiments and prototypes.
Cover Story And Legal $1.2M/yr
[#17,#18] Ongoing cyber censorship, takedown/legal retainer, PR cover operations and monitoring.
Opsec Ops $1.0M/yr
[#17] Ongoing webcrawler updates, monitoring, takedowns and false-report operations to protect cover story.
Facilities Maintenance $800K/yr
[#7,#13,#14,#24] Ongoing maintenance for Site-17 systems, Faraday cage, EMI shielding upkeep and facility repairs.
Supplies And Consumables $500K/yr
[#11,#12,#14] Consumables, spare parts, hazardous-material handling supplies and routine replacements.
Logistics And Transport $500K/yr
[#12,#16] Routine secure transport, convoy readiness and logistics for recovered material and resupply.
Ground Security $500K/yr
[#16,#22] Terrestrial security staffing and secure-transport guards for storage and movement.
Tracking Operations $300K/yr
[#2] Ongoing high-cadence orbital tracking ops, telescope time, radar and data processing.
Emi Maintenance $300K/yr
[#7] Annual maintenance and testing for EMI/EMP hardening systems and surge protection.
Site17 Manipulators Maintenance $300K/yr
[#14] Upkeep and spare parts for remote handling/robotic manipulators at Site-17.
Monitoring And Stewardship $300K/yr
[#24] Ongoing perpetual monitoring, power and replacement of remote systems for long-term stewardship.
Site17 Storage Ops $200K/yr
[#13] Monitoring, power, inert gas suppression and electricity for Site-17 storage of SCP-4916.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $60.7M/yr
73.0% probability / year
Normal year with active monitoring, routine research, security, and readiness but no major capture or incident.
no_capture_campaign routine_monitoring no_public_incidents
🚨 Major Capture Campaign $591.7M/yr
20.0% probability / year +$531.0M vs baseline
Full-scale capture and/or return campaign in which major launches, custom tug fabrication, reentry systems and large debris reserves are expended.
active_capture_attempt custom_tug_fabrication multiple_launches
🚨 Catastrophic Fragmentation $260.7M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$200.0M vs baseline
SCP-4916 fragments or produces damaging reentry debris causing large-scale public safety response and cleanup.
uncontrolled_reentry widespread_debris large_public_impact
🚨 Political Exposure $101.7M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$41.0M vs baseline
International detection/attribution leads to legal/diplomatic crisis requiring expensive mitigation and payouts.
foreign_detection agency_reporting leak_of_information
👥 Personnel 40 total
Role Count Notes
Mission Control / Flight Controller 12 [#6] Real-time operators, flight controllers and mission planners for rendezvous and capture windows.
Research Scientist 6 [#9,#15] Materials analysis, spectroscopy, propulsion mechanism research and long-term study program staff.
Engineer / Maintenance 6 [#4,#11,#14] Engineers for spacecraft systems, remote manipulators, EMI hardening and site equipment maintenance.
Security Officer / MTF Agent 10 [#16,#22,#12] Armed security for orbital/ground operations, transport convoys and Site-17 storage protection.
Cyber OPSEC Analyst 2 [#17] Webcrawler monitoring, takedowns, cover-story operations and ongoing cyber censorship.
Administrative Staff 2 [#18] Legal/administrative support for diplomatic cover, filings and logistics.
Site Director / Executive Staff 1 [#13] Site-level oversight and coordination for storage and stewardship at Site-17.
Medical Officer 1 [#19] Medical readiness for recovery operations and potential public-safety incidents.
📋 Confidence Notes
Large uncertainty driven by unknown interior mass/composition of SCP-4916 and irregular plasma thrusting; wide ranges in mission design and contingent political/environmental costs make many estimates order-of-magnitude approximations.
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