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SCP-4938 Unknown ? low confidence
SCP-4938
Expected annual
$27.2M
One-time setup
$50.0M
Annual recurring
$26.3M
Personnel
124
Initial establishment and remediation infrastructure require large upfront capital (approximately $50M), driven primarily by acquisition/refining/waste-storage contingencies; recurring annual operations are sizeable (~$26.3M/yr) dominated by security, medical, logistics, and cover/legal costs.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $50.0M
Hmc Acquisition $10.0M
[#12] One-time purchase/rebranding/setup cost for Hallewell Mining Corporation cover acquisition (midpoint estimate of $5–15M).
Refining Plant $10.0M
[#13] Secure assay/refining facility construction and major metallurgy infrastructure to handle mixed heavy metals and low-level radioactivity.
Radioactive Waste Storage $10.0M
[#15] Contingency for licensed interim/permanent radioactive waste storage or costly off-site disposal (conservative contingency).
Contingency Reserve $10.0M
[#22] One-time emergency/contingency reserve to cover catastrophic response, legal settlements, or large disposal events (recommended $10M reserve).
Facilities $4.5M
[#3, #6, #8, #23, #24] Checkpoint construction and roadwork (#3), decontamination facility (#6), lead-lined surgical suite(s) (#8), energy generator/install (#23), and on-site vault (#24).
Equipment $3.5M
[#2, #18, #19, #20, #4] Armored/utility vehicles and patrol gear (#2), environmental sensors/towers/drones/servers (#18), communications/secure IT equipment (#19), armored transport/vehicle mods (#20), and initial radiation PPE procurement (#4).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $2.0M
[#17] Molecular biology/radiological analysis lab buildout and specialized instrumentation (#17).
Opportunity Revenue Offset $0
[#29] Not a cost — potential revenue from extracted metals noted but not counted here; retained for audit/reference.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $26.3M/yr
Staff Wages $10.6M/yr
[#1, #9, #16, #7] Perimeter security wages and benefits (~90 guards, hazard pay) (#1), medical staff wages (surgeons, nurses, techs) partial allocation (#9), research/scientific staff salaries (#16), and decontamination staffing portion (#7).
Cover Story And Legal $5.9M/yr
[#12, #11, #21, #25, #28] Ongoing HMC cover-operation operating costs/payroll (#12), resident stipends/incentives (#11), legal/intelligence/PR/cover upkeep (#21), insurance/indemnity/off-books overhead (#25), and public relations/media monitoring (#28).
Logistics And Transport $3.7M/yr
[#2, #10, #20] Recurring fuel/maintenance for patrol vehicles and transport equipment (#2), bi-weekly food/consumer goods deliveries for 634 residents (#10), and recurring secure transport/insurance costs for extracted metals (#20).
Refining Operations $2.5M/yr
[#14] Operational costs for refining/processing, energy, reagents, labor, monitoring, and contracted disposal of contaminated residues (#14).
Supplies And Consumables $1.2M/yr
[#5, #7, #9, #26] PPE replacement and consumables (filters, disposable outerwear) (#5), decon consumables and hazardous waste processing/disposal portion (#7), medical consumables/meds portion (#9), and recurring personnel training/medical surveillance costs (#26).
Contingency Fund Replenishment $1.0M/yr
[#22] Annual allocation to replenish the emergency/contingency reserve for rapid-response events (#22).
Facilities Maintenance $800K/yr
[#19, #23] Recurring maintenance for command/communications systems (#19), energy infrastructure fuel/maintenance (#23), and general facility upkeep.
Forensic Cleanup Teams $400K/yr
[#27] Recurring teams for smuggling detection, forensic risk mitigation, cleanup, and evidence scrubbing operations (#27).
Research And Monitoring $150K/yr
[#18] Calibration, data analysts, drone ops, and spare sensors for environmental and radiological monitoring network (#18).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $26.3M/yr
90.0% probability / year
Routine year with standard operations: security, medical care, refining at baseline, and ongoing cover/PR; no major incidents or regulatory exposure.
no breaches routine surgeries and refining steady cover operations
🚨 Minor Incident $31.3M/yr
8.0% probability / year +$5.0M vs baseline
Localized contamination event or small radiological leak requiring emergency response, increased medical care, temporary PR/legal expenditures, and limited disposal work.
localized radiation leak small-scale evacuation/cleanup temporary media exposure
🚨 Major Breach $51.3M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$25.0M vs baseline
Significant containment failure or discovery (e.g., substantial uranium yield, regulatory detection) requiring large-scale disposal, legal settlements, facility replacement, and extended emergency operations.
large uranium discovery major contamination event external regulatory/legal exposure
👥 Personnel 124 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 90 [#1] Perimeter checkpoints and roving patrols: ~90 guards covering 12 checkpoints, three shifts, hazard pay included.
Medical Officer / Surgical Team 18 [#8, #9] Surgeons, anesthesiologists, nurses, radiology techs and support required for on-site lead-lined OR(s) and continual medical care.
Research Scientist / Lab Technician 12 [#16, #17] Ongoing biological/radiological research staff and lab technicians to run studies and analyze samples.
Decontamination / HazMat Technician 4 [#6, #7, #4] Staff to operate decon showers, handle contaminated PPE, and manage hazardous effluent and waste processing.
📋 Confidence Notes
Many line items depend on unknown yields of radioactive/uranium material, covert cover costs, and disposal/regulatory risk; several major items are range-based or contingent, so overall cost confidence is low.
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