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SCP-4947 Keter ? low confidence
SCP-4947
Expected annual
$152.8M
One-time setup
$128.5M
Annual recurring
$146.4M
Personnel
28
Estimated one-time setup costs are approximately $128.5M driven by land acquisition, demolition/retrofit, civilian relocation and outpost conversion; annual recurring costs are ~ $146.4M dominated by covert/diplomatic budgets, a strategic reserve, biomedical care and remediation.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $128.5M
Facilities $56.8M
[#9, #12, #13, #24, #25] Outpost acquisition/conversion, demolition/condemnation, land acquisition, retrofit program for hinged doors, and perimeter/checkpoint construction (purchase/renovation/structural civil works).
Civilian Relocation $42.5M
[#14] Buyouts, relocation subsidies, temporary housing and community resettlement for affected households (one-time program costs).
Equipment $13.6M
[#1, #7, #8, #4, #26] Seismographic station array procurement & installation, MTF vehicles/equipment, subterranean robotics fleet, geophysical/GPR equipment purchase, and initial counter-UAS systems.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $6.8M
[#19, #16] Laboratory build-out and initial containment/R&D program initiation (materials science, prototypes, test facilities).
Heavy Rigs Purchase $4.0M
[#5] Purchase and mobilization-capable procurement of 2–3 drilling/excavation rigs (one-time capital).
Propaganda Campaign $2.8M
[#22] Targeted films/PR campaigns to discourage travel (initial campaign buy).
Training Range $1.1M
[#31] Construct initial training ranges, simulations and mock-ups for subterranean capture and door-network drills (one-time).
Data Backup Systems $550K
[#20] Hardened, air-gapped archival systems and offsite physical backups (one-time acquisition/integration).
Webcrawler Dev $325K
[#21] Development of social-media/webcrawler monitoring tools and classifiers (one-time dev).
Remote Sensing Integration $125K
[#3] One-time integration and setup for satellite/remote-sensing contracts and ingest pipelines.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $146.4M/yr
Strategic Reserve $100.0M/yr
[#33] Strategic reserve for containment escalation (annual budgeted reserve / readiness fund).
Cover Story And Legal $15.8M/yr
[#15, #32] Ongoing legal/diplomatic/covert program budgets and public/legal affairs / FOIA defense and disinformation mitigation (annual programmatic costs).
Biomedical Care $5.5M/yr
[#17] Hospitalization, chronic care, surgeries, outpatient follow-up and psychiatric care for affected patients (annual caseload costs).
Emergency Response Reserve $5.0M/yr
[#27] Annual replenishment/reserve for rapid response to sinkhole/sudden expansion events.
Staff Wages $4.9M/yr
[#6, #19] Salaries and hazard pay for deployed MTF operatives and research/lab staff (annual).
Leaf Point Remediation $2.8M/yr
[#11] Annual contingency for filling/stabilizing designated Leaf Points (concrete pours, engineered fill, geotechnical remediation).
Perimeter Security Staffing $2.0M/yr
[#25] Staffing and enforcement costs for checkpoints and rapid-response teams (annual).
Outpost Operations $1.8M/yr
[#10] Utilities, onsite guards/researchers, consumables and upkeep for converted SCP-4947-B outposts (ten-outpost estimate).
Containment Rnd Annual $1.5M/yr
[#16] Multi-year R&D spend for containment methods, prototypes, and materials science (annualized).
Fleet Operations $1.0M/yr
[#29] Fuel, maintenance and transport logistics for ground and air fleets (annual).
Industry Embedding $800K/yr
[#23] Agent salaries and shell-company operations to influence construction/tourism/housing (annual).
Personnel Health And Rotation $700K/yr
[#30] Rotation, counseling, and MEDEVAC insurance/arrangements for deployed personnel (annual).
Seismograph Network Maintenance $600K/yr
[#2] Ongoing calibration, replacement electronics, telemetry and cloud ingestion fees for the seismograph array.
Hazardous Waste Disposal $600K/yr
[#28] Annual disposal and hazmat contractor fees for contaminated soil, remains and demolition debris.
Remote Sensing Subscriptions $550K/yr
[#3] Annual high-resolution imagery/SAR contracts, archive access and tasking costs.
Propaganda Maintenance $550K/yr
[#22] Ongoing PR and behavioral-influence sustainment to discourage travel (annual).
Counter Uas Ops $550K/yr
[#26] Counter-UAS operations, contracts and maintenance (annual).
Ethics And Oversight $500K/yr
[#18] Ethics committee administration, legal counsel and euthanasia program administration (annual).
Land Maintenance $300K/yr
[#13] Taxes, maintenance and holding-company costs for Foundation-controlled lands (annual).
Geophysical Survey Campaigns $275K/yr
[#4] Recurring survey campaigns (GPR, borehole camera campaigns, contractor drilling per-survey costs).
Training Exercises $275K/yr
[#31] Recurring containment drills, simulations and exercises (annual).
Heavy Rigs Mobilization $250K/yr
[#5] Per-mobilization contract rates for drilling/excavation rigs (annual deployments/response).
Webcrawler Ops $175K/yr
[#21] Operations of webcrawler ƟU-947: analysts, compute and triage (annual).
Data Backup Maintenance $60K/yr
[#20] Annual maintenance and policy/COOP upkeep for hardened archival systems.
Facilities Maintenance $0/yr
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Supplies And Consumables $0/yr
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Research And Monitoring $0/yr
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Logistics And Transport $0/yr
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⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $146.4M/yr
79.0% probability / year
Routine year with no major incidents: monitoring, maintenance, programmatic operations and reserve replenishment.
no_major_incident routine_monitoring steady_program_spend
🚨 Minor Incident $148.9M/yr
15.0% probability / year +$2.5M vs baseline
Localized sinkhole or small expansion event requiring targeted mobilization, remediation and medical response.
localized_sinkhole single_mtfo_deployment small_patient_caseload
🚨 Major Breach $206.4M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$60.0M vs baseline
Significant multi-site sinkhole activity and cross-border complications requiring large mobilizations, demolition, relocation and expanded covert/diplomatic operations.
multiple_sinkholes cross-border_expansion mass_casualties
🚨 Containment Escalation $446.4M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$300.0M vs baseline
Catastrophic expansion requiring national/international engineering response, mass evacuation and major strategic reserve drawdown.
rapid_expansion international_mobilization full_scale_evacuations
👥 Personnel 28 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 20 [#6] Deployed specialized Mobile Task Force staffing (salaries, hazard pay and training).
Research Scientist 8 [#19] Laboratory research staff (molecular biology, pathology, imaging) whose salaries are included in staff_wages.
📋 Confidence Notes
Major uncertainties in spatial extent (area of SCP-4947-A), incident cadence, cross-border political constraints and the number/distribution of SCP-4947-B instances. Many line-item ranges are order-of-magnitude estimates; scenario probabilities are judgment calls rather than empirically derived.
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