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SCP-4957 Neutralized ~ medium confidence
SCP-4957
Expected annual
$264K
One-time setup
$1.2M
Annual recurring
$243K
Personnel
3.25
Costs are heavily front-loaded with one-time demolition, remediation, transport and vault upfit (~$1.23M); recurring annual costs are modest (~$243k/yr) driven by security, front-company overhead, and maintenance.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $1.2M
Facilities $700K
[#1, #2, #4, #9, #11] Demolition, site remediation/excavation, parking-lot construction/paving, repurposing/upfitting an existing Site-77 vault (shelving/racking, structural adjustments) and incremental HVAC/power capacity for the vault.
Recontainment Reserve $250K
[#25] Optional deeper remediation / recontainment budget if neutralization proves incomplete; set-aside starting point for major escalation.
Equipment $90K
[#10, #12] Vault security hardware (CCTV, sensors, electronic locks) and initial digital records infrastructure / secure servers and backups.
Contingency Fund $50K
[#13] Cash reserve for immediate recontainment work or unforeseen hazards discovered after transfer; used to contract specialists rapidly.
Secure Transport $35K
[#7] Secure convoy/armored transport, security escort, packaging/loading, logistics planning and transport insurance for transfer to Site-77.
Hazardous Waste Disposal $30K
[#3] Hazardous waste transport and disposal costs for excavated contaminated soil, tank residues, and materials removed during demolition.
Front Company Setup $30K
[#5] One-time front-company incorporation/setup, initial legal filings and marketing/backstory to justify demolition and parking-lot operations.
Initial Pr Legal Fees $30K
[#6] Initial PR/cover story legal fees, permit securing, record suppression/alteration where necessary, and small local payments.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $15K
[#8] Laboratory verification of neutralization and disposition testing (analytical testing, CBR checks, documentation).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $243K/yr
Staff Wages $165K/yr
[#15, #17, #19, #22] Front-company operating overhead (bookkeeping/admin contractors), dedicated security staff (2 FTE), compliance audits/inspections (annual compliance officer time), and small ad-hoc specialist/admin hours reserve.
Facilities Maintenance $40K/yr
[#14, #16, #18] Parking-lot ongoing operations & maintenance (lighting, snow removal, resurfacing reserve, property taxes), vault utilities and monitoring energy costs, and minor vault repairs/maintenance.
Cover Story And Legal $30K/yr
[#20, #23] Ongoing legal/PR monitoring & leak prevention retainer and liability/insurance reserve for the Site-77 allocation / front-company asset.
Supplies And Consumables $5K/yr
[#24] Miscellaneous minor disposals, courier services, small equipment replacements, and documentation errands.
Research And Monitoring $3K/yr
[#21] Long-term digital maintenance & cybersecurity (software updates, encryption key rotation) and small-scale monitoring of classified files.
Logistics And Transport $0/yr
[]
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $243K/yr
93.0% probability / year
Normal year with no incidents; routine storage, front-company operations, and scheduled maintenance.
no discovery of anomalies front-company operates as planned routine inspections only
🚨 Minor Incident $393K/yr
6.0% probability / year +$150K vs baseline
Localized discovery of residual contamination or minor legal/PR exposure requiring remediation, additional testing, or short-term contractor engagement.
small residual contamination discovered minor leak/exposure to public localized equipment failure requiring contractors
🚨 Major Recontainment $1.5M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$1.2M vs baseline
Neutralization proves incomplete or latent anomalous properties manifest, requiring emergency recontainment, large-scale remediation and engineering works.
evidence neutralization failed discovery of anomalous effects or personnel losses need for emergency engineering and large contractor mobilization
👥 Personnel 3.25 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 2 [#17] Two full-time-equivalent security/monitoring staff assigned to the vault (2 FTE, ~$60k each, incl. benefits).
Administrative Staff 1 [#15] Front-company operating overhead / bookkeeping / leasing admin (approx. 0.5–1.0 FTE budgeted; represented here as 1 staff for cost allocation).
Compliance Officer / Inspector 0.2 [#19] Periodic audits and annual inspections budgeted as part-time compliance officer time (annual cost ~$10k).
Contracted Specialist (occasional) 0.05 [#22] Small periodic research/admin reserve for one-off specialist or SME hours (budgeted ~$5k/year as contracted time).
📋 Confidence Notes
Line-item costs for demolition, remediation, transport and vault upfit are well-specified and give medium-high confidence in one-time estimates; recurring staffing and insurance estimates are reasonable. Major anomaly-related costs are highly uncertain, so overall confidence is medium.
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