SCP-4958 Unknown ? low confidence
SCP-4958
Expected annual
$9.9M
One-time setup
$3.4M
Annual recurring
$9.7M
Personnel
42
One-time setup costs are moderate-to-high driven by legal/administrative incorporation, secure research/IT build-out, and a contingency reserve; the main recurring drivers are clinician wages, counseling session funding, hotline/operations, research monitoring, and various per-incident travel/forensic costs.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $3.4M
Containment Contingency Reserve $1.2M
[#24] One-time emergency reserve/surge fund (midpoint of $500k–$2M).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $950K
[#9] Secure botanical/anomalous research lab & controlled greenhouse build-out (midpoint of $400k–$1.5M).
Program Setup And Legal Incorporation $500K
[#1] Administrative, legal, and international coordination program setup (midpoint estimate of $250k–$750k).
Case Management It Development $225K
[#13] One-time development of encrypted case database, telehealth integration, and mobile apps ($150k–$300k midpoint).
Equipment $191K
[#12, #22, #29] One-time purchase of field kits & PPE ($6,000), communications/hardware ($47,500), and small vehicle fleet purchase ($137,500).
Facilities $162K
[#11] One-time build/retrofit for climate-controlled evidence vaults (midpoint of $75k–$250k).
Training Program Development $75K
[#4] One-time development of counseling curriculum and trauma-informed protocols ($75,000).
Ethics Irb Setup $70K
[#16] One-time IRB/ethics board setup and consultant costs (midpoint of $40k–$100k).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $9.7M/yr
Staff Wages $4.0M/yr
[#2, #3, #23] Core clinician salaries (~30 clinicians × $100k = $3,000,000), field response agents (10 × $80k = $800,000), incident-mapping analysts/staffing (~$175k).
Counseling Session Costs $1.2M/yr
[#6] Direct client therapy funding (assumed caseload and average sessions; ~$1.2M/year baseline).
Research And Monitoring $910K/yr
[#9, #21, #16] Ongoing lab staffing & supplies for botanical/anomalous research (~$275k), longitudinal psychological research program (~$600k/year chosen midpoint), IRB/admin recurring (~$35k).
Reunification And Relocation Fund $625K/yr
[#17] Ongoing contingency pool for travel, temporary lodging, and emergency relocation (maintain midpoint reserve).
Logistics And Transport $532K/yr
[#5, #29] Travel & per-incident response baseline (~$500k/year) plus vehicle maintenance & fuel (~$32,500/year).
Cover Story And Legal $450K/yr
[#14, #15] Public perception management / PR baseline (~$125k) and international legal counsel/retainer (~$325k).
Administrative Overhead $325K/yr
[#30] HR, accounting, office rent, and utilities for program administration (midpoint $150k–$500k).
Hotline And Intake $300K/yr
[#7] 24/7 multilingual hotline staffing, intake triage, translation services and portal operation (~$200k–$400k; midpoint used).
Local Partnerships Contracting $300K/yr
[#26] Payments to partner clinics/hospitals for sessions or beds (baseline contracting budget midpoint).
Translation And Linguistic Analysis $250K/yr
[#8] Per-letter translation and forensic linguistic analyses (per-sample $500–$2,000; budgeted for recurring caseload).
Supplies And Consumables $186K/yr
[#12, #10, #22] Annual kit resupply (~$6k), research consumables/per-sample assays budget (~$150k), telepsychiatry service fees (~$30k).
Facilities Maintenance $165K/yr
[#11, #13, #9] Evidence vault power/maintenance (~$15k), case-management & IT hosting/maintenance (~$100k), basic lab/greenhouse utilities & upkeep (~$50k).
Insurance And Worker Coverage $150K/yr
[#25] Professional liability, travel insurance, and worker's compensation (midpoint $50k–$300k).
Forensic Testing $100K/yr
[#20] Formal forensic panels for ink/fiber/DNA per-case (budgeted for expected throughput).
Public Records And Exposure Response $100K/yr
[#27] Budget for handling leaks, FOIA requests, and journalist exposure (~$50k–$250k; midpoint chosen).
Security At Counseling Centers $60K/yr
[#18] Onsite guards / security at counseling centers (baseline one center, midpoint $40k–$80k).
Custodial Property Mitigation $50K/yr
[#19] Recurring budget for tile coverings / site mitigation interventions (per-intervention estimates aggregated).
Training Refreshers $40K/yr
[#4] Annual refresher workshops and protocol updates (~$40,000/year).
Decontamination And Waste Disposal $25K/yr
[#28] Biohazard/disposal fees per incident aggregated into annual baseline (~$25k).
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $9.7M/yr
81.5% probability / year
Normal year with steady operations, routine incidents, and no major exposure or surge.
routine_reports no major media exposure no large clusters
🚨 Minor Incident $10.1M/yr
15.0% probability / year +$350K vs baseline
Localized or moderately high-profile incident that requires extra travel, overtime, and modest PR/legal spending.
regional cluster single high-profile case increased travel and forensics
🚨 Major Incident $12.2M/yr
3.0% probability / year +$2.5M vs baseline
High-profile multi-jurisdictional outbreak requiring surge staffing, significant PR/legal response, and large forensic/research effort.
international media exposure multi-city clusters legal claims / large forensic caseload
🚨 Catastrophic Breach $19.7M/yr
0.5% probability / year +$10.0M vs baseline
Widespread simultaneous occurrences requiring emergency global surge, large-scale reunification, and full deployment of contingency reserves.
rapid global spike major political exposure simultaneous multi-site crises
👥 Personnel 42 total
Role Count Notes
Research Scientist / Lab Staff 0 [] Research lab staffing costs were allocated under research_and_monitoring, not staff_wages; headcount for these roles is not counted against staff_wages per analyst mapping.
Research Technician 0 [] Research lab staffing costs allocated to research_and_monitoring (not in staff_wages); headcount not included here.
Research Scientist / Data Analyst 2 [#23] Incident mapping & analytics staff (included in staff_wages estimate ~ $175k total).
Research Scientist 0 [] See research_and_monitoring for research staffing (not counted against staff_wages in this personnel breakdown).
Research Scientist / Psychologist 0 [] (No separate recurring wages in staff_wages beyond clinicians; research staff captured under research_and_monitoring.)
Research Scientist / Clinical Psychologist 30 [#2] Core counseling staff (clinicians) — 30 clinicians reflected in staff_wages (~30 × $100k).
Security Officer / MTF Agent 0 [] Security guard costs are budgeted under security_at_counseling_centers (recurring) but their wages are not included in the staff_wages core bucket for this headcount breakdown.
Security Officer 0 [] Security is budgeted as a recurring line item separate from staff_wages; not added to headcount here.
Security Officer / Guard 0 [] See security_at_counseling_centers recurring budget (not included in staff_wages headcount).
Security Officer / Guard (counted separately) 0 [] Duplicate role placeholder; security costs excluded from staff_wages headcount per instructions.
Security Officer (counseling centers) 0 [] Security costs handled separately.
Field Investigator / Agent 10 [#3] Field response agents — 10 agents reflected in staff_wages (~10 × $80k).
Administrative Staff 0 [] Administrative overhead budget exists but administrative salaries were not included in the staff_wages core bucket per the analyst mapping.
📋 Confidence Notes
Costs are built from analyst ranges and midpoints but rely on highly uncertain incident rates, variable per-incident costs, and unknown long-term research needs; object behaviour and occurrence frequency are not well-defined in source material.
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