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SCP-4964 Euclid ~ medium confidence
SCP-4964
Expected annual
$3.2M
One-time setup
$3.8M
Annual recurring
$3.1M
Personnel
3
One-time containment and technical setup costs are modest relative to episodic field campaigns; the dominant long-term costs are recurring staffing, research/monitoring, and large contingency reserves for emergency mitigation and strategic responses.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $3.8M
Undersea Campaign Per Campaign $1.5M
[#16] One-time cost estimate per deep-sea ROV research vessel campaign (charter, ROVs, crew, replacements/recovery).
Institutional Overhead One Time $881K
[#25] One-time institutional overhead (30% applied to direct one-time costs to account for facility overhead, audit, administrative setup).
Field Expedition Per Expedition $700K
[#15] One-time cost estimate per Himalayan/remote expedition (permits, guides, helicopter lifts, medevac insurance, travel, gear).
Tactical Operation Per Operation $300K
[#17] One-time cost per black-ops/tactical mission (teams, logistics, vehicles, medical evacuation & equipment replacement).
Medical Casualty One Time Reserve $200K
[#22] One-time reserve for casualty/medevac and immediate medical response tied to an expedition/operation.
Equipment $93K
[#2, #3, #7, #8] Climate-control/archival hardware, isolated playback workstation/screening booth, write-block duplicators/forensic hardware, initial on-site encrypted servers/storage.
Legal Action Cost Per Action $50K
[#20] One-time international action legal/diplomatic costs, permits or covert diplomacy per action.
Seismic Sensors Initial Purchase $45K
[#13] Initial purchase of a small pool of deployable seismic sensor stations for rapid response (multiple sensor stations).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $20K
[#7, #11] Lab buildout and initial instrumentation for forensic/memetic analysis (benches, secure workstations, instrumentation setup).
Access Screening Initial $20K
[#6] Initial background checks and memetic-safety training / psychological screening for authorized staff (first-year setup costs).
Facilities $9K
[#1] Hardened secure object locker / evidence vault (tamper seals, fire suppression, humidity control).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $3.1M/yr
Strategic Risk Reserve $1.0M/yr
[#24] Strategic recurring reserve for large-scale covert mitigation (mass evacuations, infrastructure reinforcement) - highly speculative but recommended.
Institutional Overhead Recurring $710K/yr
[#25] Recurring institutional overhead (30% applied to direct recurring costs to reflect administrative/indirect costs).
Emergency Response Reserve $500K/yr
[#18] Recurring contingency reserve to covertly fund evacuation/temporary shelter/mitigation per predicted seismic event.
Staff Wages $326K/yr
[#4, #5, #11] Salaries for research team (1 senior memeticist, 1 video analyst, 1 data scientist/seismologist contractor), daily viewing pro-rated time, and incremental security escort costs.
Medical And Casualty Reserve $200K/yr
[#22] Recurring reserve for medical treatment, rehabilitation, pensions and medevac readiness.
Cover Story And Legal $140K/yr
[#19, #20] Information suppression/cover-up running fund and baseline legal retainer for international operations and permits.
Research And Monitoring $122K/yr
[#7, #9, #12, #14, #23] Forensic analysis and archival duplication recurring analyst time/storage, continuous logging/incident reporting support, seismology collaboration, controlled testing budget, long-term archive migration/curation.
Logistics And Transport $50K/yr
[#13, #17] Recurring maintenance of rapid-deploy sensor pool, small-scale deployment logistics and transport readiness; routine tactical logistics overhead.
Psych Support And Counseling $12K/yr
[#10] Ongoing psychological support, counseling, debriefs and paid time off for exposed personnel.
It Ops And Storage $11K/yr
[#8] On-premises IT operations, encrypted archival storage maintenance, tape/SSD backup operations.
Access Screening And Training $4K/yr
[#6] Annual re-certification and memetic-safety training costs for authorized staff.
Supplies And Consumables $2K/yr
[#21] Consumables and replacement optical drives/media replacements and disposable players.
Facilities Maintenance $300/yr
[#2] Ongoing electricity/maintenance for climate control and archival environment (dehumidifier/mini-HVAC maintenance).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $3.1M/yr
92.5% probability / year
Normal year with standard containment, monitoring, and recurring research/operations but no major field campaigns or incidents.
routine_monitoring daily_viewings
🚨 Minor Incident $3.9M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$800K vs baseline
One episodic field investigation/expedition occurs (e.g., a Himalayan fact-finding expedition with moderate logistics and limited sensor deployments).
himalayan_expedition localized_seismic_prediction
🚨 Deep Sea Campaign $5.1M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$2.0M vs baseline
Deep-sea ROV research campaign to investigate ocean coordinates indicated by the disc, with risk of probe loss and high vessel costs.
undersea_campaign probe_loss_and_replacement
🚨 Major Mitigation $13.1M/yr
0.5% probability / year +$10.0M vs baseline
A predicted large seismic event requires mass covert mitigation (evacuations, infrastructure reinforcement, large-scale humanitarian/cover operations).
mass_evacuations infrastructure_reinforcement
👥 Personnel 3 total
Role Count Notes
Research Scientist / Memeticist 1 [#11, #4] Senior memeticist responsible for analysis and daily oversight (salary included in staff_wages).
Video Analyst 1 [#7, #11] Forensic video analysis and duplication specialist (salary included in staff_wages).
Data Scientist / Seismologist (contractor) 1 [#12, #11] Data scientist / seismology contractor for correlation analysis (contractor budget included in staff_wages / research_and_monitoring).
📋 Confidence Notes
Containment baseline and daily monitoring staffing are well-defined; large uncertainty remains around episodic expedition and deep-sea campaign costs, frequency of incidents, and scale of strategic mitigation required, producing medium overall confidence.
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