SCP-4965 — SCP-4965 | Cost Breakdown

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SCP-4965 Unknown ? low confidence

SCP-4965

Expected annual

$16.3M

One-time setup

$43.5M

Annual recurring

$14.4M

Personnel

Initial capital and covert deployment of the Dymphna monitoring system and secure facility buildout drive one-time costs (~$43.6M); ongoing yearly costs (~$14.4M) are dominated by staff wages, AI monitoring/feeds, research, and per-outbreak response expenses.

🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $43.5M

Dymphna Development And Deployment $16.0M

[#1] One-time software R&D, model training, secure hosting/integrations and covert deployment operations to partner governments.

Contingency Reserve One Time $10.0M

[#25] One-time contingency reserve allocation for worst-case remediation (maintained as an emergency fund).

Facilities $8.0M

[#9, #10] Construction of containment cells (25-cell capacity) and one-time site fit-out/concealment in a major urban area.

Initial Research And Lab Setup $5.5M

[#5] Lab fit-out and initial R&D campaign for biochemical/neurological/behavioral assays and validation studies.

Mobile Containment Units Purchase $1.5M

[#18] Purchase of trailers, mobile isolation pods, hazmat trucks and specialized carriers for rapid response.

Ppe Pool Purchase $1.0M

[#12] Purchase and initial inventory of Type-B HazMat suits (50–200 suit pool).

Security Technology Installation $500K

[#17] One-time installation of CCTV, badge/biometric access, Faraday rooms and EMP/ESD hardening for a secure site.

Standing Surveillance Establishment $400K

[#16] Establishing standing regional surveillance capabilities (drones, permanent CCTV, transit liaisons).

Emergency Generators And Ups $350K

[#11] Redundant generators and UPS systems for continuous negative-pressure/HVAC operation.

Autoclave Incinerator Purchase $300K

[#15] Onsite autoclave/incinerator procurement for biohazard waste inactivation/disposal.

Equipment $0

[]

🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $14.4M/yr

Staff Wages $5.2M/yr

[#4, #8, #18, #20, #2] Salaries and benefits for central analysis/ops, full-time security guards, rapid-response staffing, research team, and Dymphna ops personnel.

Research And Monitoring $2.0M/yr

[#2, #3, #5] Dymphna compute/GPUs, data feed licenses/subscriptions, model retraining, and ongoing validation/assay runs.

Long Term Housing $1.8M/yr

[#13, #19] Recurring secure housing, healthcare and amenities for long-term SCP-4965-1 internment (assumed 10 permanent subjects at ~$175k/person/yr).

Per Outbreak Mass Screening $1.5M/yr

[#6] Per-outbreak mass screening (assumed baseline 2 outbreaks/year at ~$750k per outbreak average).

Cover Story And Legal $700K/yr

[#21, #22] Ongoing government liaison teams, legal overhead, and baseline PR/influence operations to maintain the anthrax narrative.

Facilities Maintenance $500K/yr

[#10, #9, #11] Recurring rent/insurance/municipal fees, site maintenance and utilities/power draw for containment site.

Quarantine Enforcement Per Outbreak $400K/yr

[#7] Quarantine setup and short-term operations surge (annualized for baseline outbreak frequency).

Per Outbreak Legal And Cover $400K/yr

[#21] Per-major-outbreak payments, settlements and surge legal/cover costs (annualized expectation).

Insurance And Financial Overhead $400K/yr

[#26] Risk premiums, shell-company overhead and increased vendor insurance costs.

Auditing And Oversight $300K/yr

[#27] Internal auditing, memetic containment, redaction operations and oversight teams.

Supplies And Consumables $250K/yr

[#12, #15] Annual PPE replacement/consumables and routine biohazard waste handling contracts.

Standby Mobile Units Maintenance $250K/yr

[#18] Standby staffing, maintenance and readiness costs for mobile containment units.

Per Outbreak Surveillance Short Term $200K/yr

[#16] Short-term (72hr) transit/node monitoring and temporary CCTV/drones per outbreak (annualized).

Logistics And Transport $100K/yr

[#14] Routine secure transport and sample/equipment couriering (baseline annualized).

Per Outbreak Biohazard Disposal $100K/yr

[#15] Per-outbreak biohazard waste handling and disposal contracts (annualized).

Per Outbreak Transport And Logistics $100K/yr

[#14] Per-outbreak secure patient transfers and specialized logistics (annualized).

Contingency Fund Maintenance $100K/yr

[#25] Cost to manage and partially replenish contingency/reserve funds annually.

Security Technology Maintenance $80K/yr

[#17] Ongoing maintenance contracts for CCTV, biometrics, Faraday rooms and secure comms.

Training And Drills $75K/yr

[#23] Regular PPE drills, tabletop exercises and post-incident reviews per site.

Mortuary And Disposal $20K/yr

[#24] Annualized mortuary/termination/disposal costs and associated cover activities.

⚡ Cost Scenarios

📊 Baseline (baseline) $14.4M/yr

88.0% probability / year

Normal operational year with baseline outbreak frequency and no major containment failures.

2 outbreaks/year (baseline) no breaches routine research and monitoring

🚨 Minor Incident $16.4M/yr

8.0% probability / year +$2.0M vs baseline

Localized incident requiring additional outbreak response but contained without long-term expansion.

additional outbreak surge quarantine enforcement legal/PR spike

🚨 Major Breach $39.2M/yr

3.0% probability / year +$24.8M vs baseline

Significant containment breach or exposure requiring large-scale remediation and extended housing.

urban exposure mass screening and quarantine large legal/compensation payouts

🚨 Catastrophic Breach $114.4M/yr

1.0% probability / year +$100.0M vs baseline

Worst-case uncontrolled spread or public exposure requiring mass-fatality management, national remediation and political containment.

nationwide exposure political exposure mass remediation

👥 Personnel 66 total

Role	Count	Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent	30	[#8] 24/7 site guards (20–40 typical), includes overtime and hazardous-duty premiums.
Research Scientist	8	[#20] Full-time scientists & clinicians (6–12 team size) supporting studies and experiments.
Data Scientist / Analyst	8	[#4] Central analysis staff and alert analysts to triage Dymphna outputs (6–12 FTEs).
Engineer / Maintenance	4	[#11, #17] HVAC, power, UPS/generator and security systems maintenance staff.
Medical Officer	3	[#13] On-site medical personnel to provide secure medical care and routine checkups.
Administrative Staff	3	[#21] Liaison, legal-adjacent admin and cover-story coordination staff.
IT / DevOps	4	[#1, #2] Dymphna ops, model retraining, cloud/GPU management and secure integrations.
Rapid Response / Hazmat Team	6	[#7, #18] On-call hazmat and mobile containment team members for outbreak response.

📋 Confidence Notes

Estimates aggregate wide ranges from analyst notes, depend heavily on assumed outbreak frequency and covert deployment choices; SCP anomalous behavior and variable outbreak sizes reduce confidence.

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