SCP-5012 Unknown ~ medium confidence
SCP-5012
Expected annual
$6.1M
One-time setup
$5.5M
Annual recurring
$6.1M
Personnel
31
Initial capital expenditures are approximately $5.47M driven by land acquisition, robotics/remote-handling, and laboratory build-out; ongoing annual costs are ~ $6.08M driven primarily by security wages, research staffing, containment R&D and recurring operations.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $5.5M
Equipment $2.2M
[#2, #4, #5, #7, #8, #9, #14, #20, #21] Perimeter sensors/CCTV/hardware, UAV fleet, robotic harvest/remote-handling hardware, cold/dry storage units, incineration/neutralization system, initial PPE/decon infrastructure, armored vehicles, IT/security hardware, and backup-generator units.
Contingency Reserve $1.2M
[#17] One-time allocation to an incident-response/containment-breach reserve fund (set-aside).
Facilities $1.1M
[#1, #24] Site purchase/long-term lease and construction of custom enclosures integrated with trees (Casadua Amphitheater property + custom enclosure construction).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $650K
[#6] BSL-2/3-capable on-site laboratory and medical clinic build-out and associated secure lab infrastructure.
Cover Story Setup $100K
[#15] One-time costs to create a front organization (legal set-up, initial paperwork, formation of a plausible cover).
Media Control Setup $62K
[#16] Initial signage, PR and initial misinformation campaign/seeding to mitigate tourist interest.
Internal Security Setup $25K
[#18] One-time setup for insider-security systems (vetting infrastructure, electronic audit systems setup).
Psych Protocol Setup $20K
[#13] One-time development of psychological hazard protocols and initial staff training materials.
Archival Acquisitions $12K
[#23] Urgent archival purchases and one-off acquisitions of historical materials.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $6.1M/yr
Staff Wages $2.5M/yr
[#3, #11] On-site armed security cadre (24/7 coverage) and research personnel salaries/overhead (PI, researchers, techs).
Research And Monitoring $1.6M/yr
[#12, #6, #23, #25, #28] Sample analysis consumables and services (mass spec, sequencing, histology), lab utilities/consumables, archival research budgets, external scientific collaboration contracts, and containment R&D program.
Cover Story And Legal $315K/yr
[#15, #16, #29] Ongoing front organization upkeep, local liaison payments, PR/disinformation campaigns, and community mitigation/economic offsets.
Horticultural Services $260K/yr
[#10] Horticulture/arborist staffing and ecological control (2–4 specialists plus equipment).
Annual Audit $200K/yr
[#30] Independent audits, RAISA/oversight and project management overhead.
Internal Security $175K/yr
[#18] Ongoing insider-threat mitigation: background checks, audits, continuous monitoring.
Personnel Training $150K/yr
[#26] Ongoing anomalous-protocol training, onboarding and replacement costs; assumes ~30-person site cycle.
Insurance And Legal $150K/yr
[#27] Insurance premiums, legal reserves and periodic legal fees for covert operation liabilities.
Psychological Monitoring $105K/yr
[#13] Ongoing psych staff, pre/post-shift screening, monitoring for compulsion behavior and isolation management.
Utilities $105K/yr
[#21] Power, water, fuel for generators and general site utilities in alpine conditions.
Logistics And Transport $92K/yr
[#14] Armored transport vehicle running costs and medevac/standby contract.
Robotic Maintenance $65K/yr
[#5] Maintenance, parts and consumables for robotic harvest/remote-handling systems.
Waste Handling $65K/yr
[#22] Hazardous waste disposal contracts and environmental compliance / covert disposal.
Incinerator Disposal Contract $50K/yr
[#8] Fuel, disposal contracts or chemical neutralization recurring costs.
Forensic Reserve $50K/yr
[#19] Annual budget/reserve for missing-person operations, investigations and potential settlements.
It Hosting $42K/yr
[#20] Encrypted hosting, backups, translation/archival contracts and IT maintenance.
Supplies And Consumables $35K/yr
[#9] Consumable PPE, laundering and decontamination consumables.
Drone Ops And Repairs $28K/yr
[#4] Routine UAV operations, spare batteries, repairs and secure-comm maintenance.
Facilities Maintenance $20K/yr
[#2] Annual maintenance of perimeter hardening and structural site repairs.
Monitoring Calibration $20K/yr
[#24] Annual calibration and monitoring costs for sensor packages and custom enclosure sensors.
Cold Storage Energy $12K/yr
[#7] Energy, LN2 and upkeep for cold/dry storage and cryo-capacity.
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $6.1M/yr
94.0% probability / year
Normal operational year with routine research, maintenance and no major incidents.
no major incidents routine operations only
🚨 Minor Incident $6.6M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$500K vs baseline
Localized breach or single/multiple personnel exposure requiring extra response, quarantine, overtime and localized remediation.
single-person exposure limited containment breach missing sample or small-scale mass-hallucination
🚨 Major Breach $8.6M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$2.5M vs baseline
Large-scale public exposure or mass-exposure event requiring major quarantine, mass incineration/eradication, extensive forensic/legal response and political damage control.
widespread public exposure major SCP-5012-B activity requirement for orchard neutralization or large-scale quarantine
👥 Personnel 31 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 24 [#3] 24/7 armed security cadre (three shifts, quick reaction team, site commander); staffing sized per analyst estimate (18–30 personnel).
Principal Investigator 1 [#11] PI salary included in research personnel estimates.
Research Scientist 3 [#11] 2–4 researchers (botany/neurochemistry/anthropology) included in research salaries.
Lab Technician 2 [#11, #6] Lab technicians to support BSL-2/3 lab work and sample processing.
Medical Officer / Clinical Psychologist 1 [#6, #13] Clinical psychologist/medical officer for exposure management and psychological hazard mitigation.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line items and realistic ranges allowing mid-range estimates, but several anomalous unknowns remain (scale uncertainty of orchard, behavior of SCP-5012-B, political risks in Italy) so cost tails could be much larger.
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