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SCP-5013 Keter ~ medium confidence
SCP-5013
Expected annual
$13.5M
One-time setup
$40.0M
Annual recurring
$13.2M
Personnel
72
Estimated one-time capital expenditure is approximately $40.0M, with annual operating costs around $13.25M. Major drivers are security payroll and benefits, robotics procurement and replacement losses, and large contingency/reserve funds for legal/diplomatic and containment emergencies.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $40.0M
Facilities $10.1M
[#1, #2, #3] Land control, site construction (hardened base), and perimeter fortification including relocation/legal cover and concrete/installation works.
Catastrophic Response Reserve $10.0M
[#32] Minimum planning reserve for initial rapid response to catastrophic containment failure or mass exposure scenarios.
Containment Contingency Reserve $6.0M
[#25] Equipment caches, reserve mobilization funds, and temporary surge-capacity setup reserved for emergency response.
Equipment $5.8M
[#4, #10, #12, #13, #16, #17, #26] Onsite power hardware, robotics procurement, remote sensing hardware, secure communications hardware, initial PPE sets, vehicle purchases/outfitting, and one-time data backup hardware.
Legal Diplomatic Contingency Fund $3.0M
[#24] Reserved emergency fund for high-level diplomatic backchannels and host-nation negotiations.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $2.2M
[#14] Onsite cognitive-hazard-capable laboratory buildout, instruments, and initial lab fit-out.
Cover Story And Setup $1.8M
[#22] One-time establishment costs for cover story (forestry station/reserve), permits, initial payments/bribes and PR/legal setup to conceal operations.
Secure Vault And Archive $750K
[#15] Hardened memetic-resistant vault and redundant offsite archive construction.
Memetic Training Development $225K
[#29] One-time development of memetic/cognitohazard training courses, signage, filters and initial staff training.
Covert Logistics $150K
[#23] One-time costs to set up front companies, falsified paperwork, and initial shell-company/account setup.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $13.2M/yr
Staff Wages $4.3M/yr
[#6, #8] Security salaries for ~60 guards and command/scientific/medical/admin staff (12 personnel) including benefits where noted.
Logistics And Transport $3.3M/yr
[#9, #18, #23] D-class program operations (recruitment/transport/housing/supervision), air support / medevac contract, and ongoing covert logistics/falsified paperwork operational costs.
Research And Monitoring $1.6M/yr
[#14, #20, #21, #30] Ongoing lab operations, cognitive research program, outsourced environmental sampling/analysis, and memetic safety refresher training/audits.
Capital Replacement Allowance $1.0M/yr
[#31] Long-term capital replacement allowance (planning figure ≈10% of major capital per year).
Security Benefits Equipment Training $800K/yr
[#7] Security benefits, uniforms, weapons training, equipment replacement, ammunition, NVG, radios, and routine medical checks/certifications.
Supplies And Consumables $738K/yr
[#15, #16, #19, #27, #28] Vault maintenance, PPE replacement/consumables, medical/psychiatric supplies and quarantine materials, general consumables (ammo, food, batteries, lab reagents), and hazardous waste disposal.
Robotics Replacement $650K/yr
[#11] Annual replacement budget, spare parts, maintenance contracts and specialized technician contracts for remote robotics expected to be frequently lost.
Facilities Maintenance $535K/yr
[#5, #12, #13, #17, #26] Generator fuel & maintenance, remote-sensor maintenance, secure-comms upkeep and bandwidth, vehicle fuel/maintenance, and offsite data-storage upkeep.
Cover Story And Legal $300K/yr
[#22] Ongoing local government relations, cover payments/bribes, permits and legal/PR suppression costs.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $13.2M/yr
86.0% probability / year
Normal year with containment holding and routine operations; no major incidents.
stable containment routine robot losses and maintenance
🚨 Minor Incident $14.4M/yr
12.0% probability / year +$1.2M vs baseline
Localized incident causing accelerated robot/equipment losses, short-term surge in D-class operations and emergency response.
robotic losses localized cognitohazard exposure temporary increased patrols and D-class missions
🚨 Major Breach $20.2M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$7.0M vs baseline
Significant containment failure or host-government discovery requiring large emergency mobilization, diplomatic payments and rapid mass-response.
containment breach expanding cognitohazard widespread exposure host-nation detection / diplomatic crisis
👥 Personnel 72 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 60 [#6] 60 employed guards to provide 20-on-patrol rotating coverage (salaries accounted in staff_wages).
Site Director / Executive Staff 1 [#8] Site commander / executive.
Shift Supervisors / Command Staff 3 [#8] Deputy and shift supervisors included in command staff salaries.
Research Scientist / Technician 6 [#8] 4–8 scientists/technicians indicated in notes; midpoint used and paid at international rates.
Medical Officer 1 [#8, #19] Onsite medic included in command/scientific staff salaries; medical supplies recurring cost covers care.
Administrative Staff 1 [#8] Administrative and support staff included in command/scientific staffing estimate.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates are based on analyst ranges from containment planning and typical Foundation cost models; many line items (esp. diplomatic/legal reserves and catastrophic response) are intentionally broad and contingent, creating uncertainty. Staffing and predictable consumables are better-constrained than host-nation/bribe and catastrophic-reserve items.
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