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SCP-5034 Tiamat ? low confidence
SCP-5034
Expected annual
$6.7M
One-time setup
$251.7M
Annual recurring
$5.4M
Personnel
11
One-time capital and contingency needs dominate (initial kits, containment retrofit, large contingency and emergency appropriations totaling ~$252M); baseline annual operations are modest (~$5.43M/yr) driven by staff wages, legal/cover retainer, opportunity costs and equipment replacement risk.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $251.7M
Tiamat Emergency Appropriation $200.0M
[#24] Large-scale emergency/mobilization appropriation (Tiamat-class contingency; one-time emergency stabilization fund).
Contingency Reserve $50.0M
[#15] Dedicated contingency reserve for anomalous budget impacts (recommended prudent reserve; capital allocation).
Facilities $1.1M
[#7, #8] Containment vault retrofit (note 7) and initial long-term storage/warehouse installation (note 8). Estimate includes mid-range vault hardening and storage install.
Equipment $300K
[#2] Mobile experimentation kits: 3regional kits (aggregated mid-range estimate).
Secure Recordkeeping Initial $150K
[#18] Initial secure recordkeeping and information infrastructure (air-gapped servers, paper archives, initial seals, disaster recovery).
Legal Pr Cover Setup $75K
[#6] Initial legal/PR and cover-story development setup (one-time component of note 6).
Witness Buyouts $50K
[#4] One-time witness buyouts / immediate cover payments to owners/staff at discovery (per-incident allocation).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $0
[]
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $5.4M/yr
Opportunity Costs $2.0M/yr
[#21] Estimated diverted program budget / opportunity cost (affecting other projects; conservative mid-range recurring impact).
Staff Wages $1.2M/yr
[#9] Dedicated research team salaries (~11 FTE × ~$110k avg including benefits/overtime).
Equipment Replacement $500K/yr
[#22] Replacement and recovery costs for instruments, vehicles, and infrastructure lost or destroyed by anomalous effects (annualized expectation).
Cover Story And Legal $420K/yr
[#6, #20] Ongoing legal/PR retainer and routine evidence suppression / media-monitoring / takedown operations (recurring component).
Research And Monitoring $400K/yr
[#10, #13, #17, #25] External consultants, antique-market surveillance operations, memetic/cognitive protection training refresher, periodic audits and oversight.
Logistics And Transport $250K/yr
[#1, #3, #12, #23] Rapid-response deployments, on-site temporary security/crowd-control day rates, high-security transport escorts and localized jurisdictional payments (recurring baseline operations).
Facilities Maintenance $175K/yr
[#7, #8] Ongoing maintenance, climate control and security upkeep for containment vault and long-term storage (recurring component).
Supplies And Consumables $170K/yr
[#11, #19] Experimental consumables, destructive-testing consumables and hazardous disposal plus recurring emergency medical/decontamination supplies.
Financial Obfuscation Ongoing $125K/yr
[#14] Ongoing financial obfuscation and forensic accounting capacity (recurring retainers, shell maintenance, auditors).
Witness Monitoring $75K/yr
[#5] Ongoing witness monitoring / hush program: payments, renewals of NDAs, psychological care and travel reimbursements.
Insurance And Liability $75K/yr
[#16] Insurance premiums and indemnity coverage to limit third‑party liabilities and incident payouts (recurring premiums).
Secure Recordkeeping Maintenance $30K/yr
[#18] Recurring maintenance, backups and DR for secure recordkeeping systems (recurring component of note 18).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $5.4M/yr
79.5% probability / year
Normal year with routine deployments, research, monitoring, and no major budget-draining incidents.
routine_discoveries scheduled_testing regular_maintenance
🚨 Minor Incident $5.6M/yr
15.0% probability / year +$200K vs baseline
Localized leak or discovery that requires additional rapid responses, witness buyouts and short-term replacements.
single_major_leak multiple rapid deployments targeted legal/media action
🚨 Major Budget Drain $10.4M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$5.0M vs baseline
Repeated containment/interference attempts or equipment losses cause sustained budget hits and higher replacement/consultant costs.
recurrent_equipment_destruction extended legal disputes escalating replacement needs
🚨 Catastrophic Tiamat Event $205.4M/yr
0.5% probability / year +$200.0M vs baseline
An event where SCP-5034's anomalous effects cascade into institutional/national budget crises requiring emergency appropriation.
systemic_financial_cascade national_level_emergency_appropriation
👥 Personnel 11 total
Role Count Notes
Research Scientist 6 [#9] Physicists/memetics researchers/anthropologists; part of dedicated research team.
Technician / Administrative Staff 3 [#9] Lab techs, admin support included in research team FTE estimate.
Security Officer / MTF Agent 2 [#9] Embedded security detail attached to research team (recurring wages included in staff_wages).
📋 Confidence Notes
Wide ranges in analyst estimates, anomalous (budget-draining) behavior is poorly quantified and historical frequency is unclear; large-tail risks (Tiamat-class) dominate uncertainty.
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