SCP-5038 — SCP-5038 | Cost Breakdown

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SCP-5038 Unknown ~ medium confidence

SCP-5038

Expected annual

$25.7M

One-time setup

$159.1M

Annual recurring

$24.8M

Personnel

One-time capital requirements are dominated by acquisition/emplacement of four Class-6 SRAs and contingency sensor-scaling/R&D, while recurring annual costs are driven by MTF/Xi-8 personnel wages, a maintained emergency reserve, and ongoing SRA and detector operations (~$25M/yr).

🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $159.1M

Sra Purchase And Emplacement $110.0M

[#1] Purchase/acquisition and emplacement (manufacture, secure transport, heavy civil work and hardening) of four Class-6 SRAs.

Sensor Scaling One Time $23.8M

[#27] Contingency one-time cost to scale detectors city-wide (500-1,000 units) if access points proliferate.

Rapid Deploy Containment R And D $15.0M

[#20] One-time R&D program to develop mobile/rapid-deploy containment tech and prototyping/field trials.

Vehicles And Boats $2.8M

[#11] Purchase and conversion of armored vans, covert unmarked vehicles and shallow-draft patrol boats with comm suites.

Facilities $1.8M

[#5] Provisional Site FQ-1 lease/purchase buildout (soundproofing, EMP/physical hardening, comms/armory).

Equipment $1.7M

[#9] Initial issue of ballistic armor, weapons, NVG, comms, PPE and kits for operatives (80-operator baseline).

Field Detectors Purchase $1.4M

[#3] Procurement, weatherproof casing and covert installation of ~50 Class-II Bonfield-Carizza detectors (neighborhood deployment).

Property Acquisition $1.2M

[#17] Acquisition/control (purchase/lease/covert acquisition) of 722 Dumaine St and surrounding properties.

Initial Research And Lab Setup $800K

[#15] Secure lab buildout and scientific/geophysical test equipment for anomalous testing.

Secure Comms Capex $550K

[#13] Satellite/UHF relays, hardened comms hardware and secure offline sync infrastructure (initial capex).

Evidence Archiving Initial $125K

[#25] Initial secure redundant storage and physical backup systems for logs, video, and sensor data.

Legal Cover Initial Setup $100K

[#16] Initial setup for shell companies, NDAs, legal arrangements and PR setup.

🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $24.8M/yr

Staff Wages $10.0M/yr

[#7, #8] Continuous deployment wages: MTF Beta-2 (~24 personnel) and Xi-8 detachment (~40-60 personnel), benefits and hazard pay.

Emergency Reserve Allocation $6.0M/yr

[#19] Annual allocation to maintain a $10M–$100M contingency reserve for catastrophic breaches and large mobilizations.

Sra Operation And Maintenance $1.3M/yr

[#2] Continuous power, recalibration, firmware-equivalent updates and physical maintenance for four Class-6 SRAs; SLA/on-call engineering.

Research And Monitoring $1.3M/yr

[#14, #28] Salaries and vendor contracts for occult specialists, intelligence analysts, forensic/anthropological expertise and ongoing research into SCP-5038 and related threats.

Rapid Deploy R And D Sustainment $1.2M/yr

[#20] Ongoing sustainment, testing and field trial costs for rapid SRA/mass containment capability R&D.

Covert Payments $1.1M/yr

[#18] Covert payments, hush money, informant fees, and local asset payments to maintain cover and reduce investigations.

Medical And Medevac $600K/yr

[#21] Emergency medical contracts, medevac/airlift retainer, secure mortuary and trauma care support.

Supplies And Consumables $525K/yr

[#10, #29] Annual weapons lifecycle, ammunition, consumables, armor replacement, fuel/field rations, office consumables.

Municipal Coordination $525K/yr

[#26] Coordination funds for event closures, tourist rerouting and reimbursements to local businesses/authorities.

Facilities Maintenance $375K/yr

[#6] Provisional Site FQ-1 utilities, janitorial, property taxes/lease and on-site security contract operating costs.

Training And Exercises $375K/yr

[#23] Regular drills, live exercises, cultural/negotiation training and ammo/travel for Beta-2 and Xi-8.

Field Detector Maintenance $325K/yr

[#4] Calibration, replacement for vandalism/weather damage, and central monitoring/software support for deployed detectors.

Logistics And Transport $300K/yr

[#12] Vehicle and boat maintenance, servicing, mooring fees and fuel for patrols and rapid response.

Cover Story And Legal $300K/yr

[#16] Ongoing legal retainer, PR, permits and cover-story maintenance.

Mental Health And Reintegration $250K/yr

[#24] PTSD counseling, decompression programs, reintegration and recruitment/replacement training costs.

Decontamination And Hazmat $200K/yr

[#22] Decon unit readiness, hazardous waste disposal and scene cleanup following engagements.

Secure Comms Operations $125K/yr

[#13] Annual operations, bandwidth, satellite leases and secure data uplink costs for LoI-504 communications.

Evidence Archiving Ops $50K/yr

[#25] Ongoing secure archival storage, transcription and redundant backups for logs and sensor/video data.

Sensor Scaling Maintenance $0/yr

[#27] Recurring maintenance if city-wide scaling is implemented; baseline assumes not implemented (contingent scenario).

⚡ Cost Scenarios

📊 Baseline (baseline) $24.8M/yr

75.0% probability / year

Normal year with sustained containment posture and no major incidents.

steady monitoring routine maintenance no breaches

🚨 Minor Incident $26.3M/yr

20.0% probability / year +$1.5M vs baseline

Localized breach or engagement requiring medevac, decon, overtime, limited replacement of detectors/equipment and legal payouts.

small Sarkic incursion targeted equipment loss localized public exposure

🚨 Major Breach $36.8M/yr

5.0% probability / year +$12.0M vs baseline

Significant containment failure requiring extensive emergency reserve draw, large-scale mobilization, possible SRA redeployment and major public-closure costs.

widespread access point proliferation multi-team casualties city-level emergency response

👥 Personnel 80 total

Role	Count	Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent	24	[#7] Continuous Beta-2 deployment (multi-shift readiness; includes support/comms/med within the 24-personnel figure).
MTF Xi-8 (Specialized Operatives)	50	[#8] Xi-8 detachment for direct engagement with Sarkic/Darkwater Lodge entities (40-60 personnel; midpoint used).
Research Scientist / Occult Specialist	6	[#14] Dedicated research, intelligence and occult analysis team (4-8 specialists; midpoint used).

📋 Confidence Notes

Estimates use midpoints of wide ranges provided; high uncertainty remains due to classified costs (SRAs), political sensitivity of covert payments, and contingency choices (sensor scaling, reserve draw). Recurring wage and reserve estimates are better-constrained, but major incident costs are highly uncertain.

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