SCP-5107 Phenomenon ~ medium confidence
SCP-5107
Expected annual
$7.9M
One-time setup
$12.5M
Annual recurring
$7.5M
Personnel
27
One-time setup and reserves are substantial (~$12.5M) driven by secure archival vaults and contingency reserves; recurring annual costs are ~ $7.52M/yr, driven by personnel (security + long-term containment team), rapid-response readiness, and influence/legal programs.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $12.5M
Contingency Reserve $5.0M
[#15] Liquid contingency crisis reserve for major global exposures, emergency settlements, ad buys, diplomatic payments.
Facilities $4.0M
[#1] Climate‑controlled, fire/EMP‑resistant archival vault construction and fit‑out (several vault rooms, shelving, suppression, secure doors, access control).
Legal Defense Retainer Reserve $1.0M
[#23] One‑time legal retainer reserve for protracted international litigation / diplomatic incidents.
Equipment $950K
[#11, #12, #14, #18] One‑time equipment and systems: forensic/forgery lab setup (#11 $100k), secure digital/archive systems (#12 $150k), rapid response equipment/vehicles/startup kits (#14 $500k), backup power hardware/UPS/generators (#18 $200k).
Confiscation Operation Major $500K
[#4] Major historical recovery / confiscation operation (per event estimate provided as one‑time per operation).
Confiscation Operation Small $250K
[#4] Smaller takedown / seizure operation (per event estimate provided as one‑time per operation).
Ecclesiastical Relations Initiation $250K
[#9] One‑time initiation/diplomatic engagement with Church/Vatican institutions (travel, gifts, cultural projects).
Major Relocation Per Case $250K
[#16] One‑time cost for major witness relocation/reidentification per case (estimate per major case).
Legal Settlements One Off $200K
[#8] One‑off major retroactive legal settlements and related one‑time legal payouts.
Media Pr Setup $100K
[#7] One‑time setup for media/PR/digital influence firm onboarding and initial campaign infrastructure.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $0
[]
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $7.5M/yr
Staff Wages $2.2M/yr
[#3, #5] Annual salaries and benefits for dedicated Site‑51 archive security (~10–12 guards) and long‑term containment/cover team (12–15 FTEs; program director, researchers, archivists, counsel, PR, ops).
Program Overhead $1.3M/yr
[#22] Standard program overhead estimated at 20% of base recurring operational spend (computed on recurring line items), applied as administrative/contingency cushion.
Rapid Response Readiness $1.0M/yr
[#14] Annual readiness, training, standby pay, equipment sustainment for deployable crisis management task force.
Academic Influence $500K/yr
[#6] Grants, fellowships, journal/conference seed funding and sponsored publications to sustain hoax/illusion narrative.
Witness Management $500K/yr
[#16] Baseline annual witness management budget for relocations, compensation, new identities, psychological care and housing.
Front Companies Overhead $400K/yr
[#19] Maintenance and overhead for front companies, shell NGOs, accounting/legal expenses to funnel grants/payments.
Cover Story And Legal $350K/yr
[#8, #23] Ongoing legal retainers, small payouts, insurance premiums for cultural/legal liability (legal retainer/insurance combined).
Media Operations $300K/yr
[#7] Ongoing social media management, paid placements, SEO/DMCA operations, troll/astroturf management contracts and in‑house operators.
Research And Monitoring $280K/yr
[#10, #12, #13] Historical forensics/linguistic research and acoustic forensics (#10 $100k), digital backups/forensics maintenance (#12 $60k), field monitoring presence at Fátima and event surveillance (#13 $120k).
Public Cultural Management $250K/yr
[#20] Sponsoring exhibits, documentaries, and cultural projects to shape public memory and dampen miraculous interpretations.
Logistics And Transport $150K/yr
[#17] Regular travel, secure shipping of materials, courier insurance, armored transport when required.
Supplies And Consumables $120K/yr
[#2] Ongoing archival environmental control consumables, conservation supplies, periodic restoration materials.
Public Perception Research $120K/yr
[#21] Polling, focus groups, message testing and social research to measure and influence public opinion.
Facilities Maintenance $50K/yr
[#18] Backup power fuel contracts, periodic load testing, generator/UPS maintenance for archive resiliency.
Forensic Fabrication $50K/yr
[#11] Recurring cost for commissioned forgery/museum‑grade fabrication to produce counter‑evidence when required.
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $7.5M/yr
83.0% probability / year
Normal year with routine archival operations, monitoring, influence campaigns and readiness costs; no major exposures or large one‑off operations.
no major leaks routine operations only
🚨 Minor Incident $8.5M/yr
15.0% probability / year +$1.0M vs baseline
Small exposure or discovery requiring localized confiscation, short emergency legal/PR response and limited witness management/relocation.
small takedown localized leak limited legal/PR response
🚨 Major Breach $17.5M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$10.0M vs baseline
Major worldwide exposure or coordinated leak demanding large settlements, global ad buys, emergency diplomatic payments, mass relocations and intensive seizure operations.
large global leak mass witness exposure international legal crisis
👥 Personnel 27 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 12 [#3] Dedicated archive guards and on‑site armed response (approx. 10–12 guards; budgeted in staff wages).
Program Director / Executive Staff 1 [#5] Senior program leadership included in long‑term containment team salaries.
Research Scientist 7 [#5] Senior and junior researchers performing historical/linguistic/forensic analysis (part of long‑term team).
Archivist 3 [#5] Professional archivists responsible for evidence handling and preservation.
Legal Counsel 1 [#5] In‑house legal counsel as part of the containment/cover team (additional retainers budgeted separately).
PR Specialist 1 [#5] In‑house PR specialist supporting influence and media efforts.
Operations Coordinator 2 [#5] Operations coordinators managing logistics, liaison, and covert procurement.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes are detailed and granular for many line items, enabling a reasoned budget, but several costs are scenario‑dependent (per‑operation figures, reserve usage, overhead allocation) creating moderate uncertainty.
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