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SCP-5121 Unknown ~ medium confidence
SCP-5121
Expected annual
$7.2M
One-time setup
$32.7M
Annual recurring
$7.0M
Personnel
62
One-time capital costs are estimated at ~$32.7M driven by construction/site development, contingency reserves and emergency escrow; recurring annual costs are ~ $7.0M/yr driven primarily by staff wages (security + researchers), IT/communications, utilities and contingency buffers.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $32.7M
Containment Escrow $10.0M
[#24] Major-incident escrow fund for emergency containment scale-up, large remediation, or rapid procurement.
Facilities $8.6M
[#3, #17] Perimeter and hard-site construction costs (high-security fencing, barriers, gatehouses) plus site development/hardening and foundations. Estimate combines a multi-kilometer perimeter build and modest hardened facility construction.
Insurance Reserve $5.0M
[#23] Establishment of contingency/indemnity reserve fund to cover third-party claims and litigation contingencies.
Equipment $3.3M
[#4, #5, #8, #9, #10, #12, #13, #14] Surveillance/sensor hardware, patrol vehicles fleet, backup generators (unit cost), secure communications hardware, on-site server room equipment, cold-storage/freezers, decon/medical clinic equipment, and tactical team equipment.
Decommissioning $2.0M
[#25] Estimated decommissioning and remediation reserve in case site closure or destructive containment is required.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $1.5M
[#11] BSL-3 capable modular lab fit-out (negative pressure, HEPA, autoclaves) and initial scientific instrumentation for anomalous research readiness.
Land Purchase $1.0M
[#16] One-time land purchase or major site-lease buyout for rural Saskatchewan location (mid-range acreage/improvements).
Offsite Redundancy One Time $1.0M
[#26] Build or equip alternate command center / small mirrored site to support staff relocation and redundancy.
Legal Setup $200K
[#15] Initial legal retainers, cover-story company setup, contracts and PR/liaison establishment.
Initial Vetting And Training $100K
[#21] Initial background checks, psychological screening and onboarding training costs.
Environmental Permitting $60K
[#18] One-time environmental impact studies, permitting and initial compliance paperwork fees.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $7.0M/yr
Staff Wages $5.1M/yr
[#1, #2, #6, #13] Salaries and benefits for perimeter armed guards, static control-room/security staff, on-site researchers/technicians/admin and medical staffing. Chosen staffing profile reflects 12–30 guards, 5–15 static security and ~20–60 non-security personnel.
Facilities Maintenance $515K/yr
[#4, #7, #8, #12, #22] Ongoing maintenance for perimeter sensors and surveillance, site utilities (power/heating/water/sewage), generator maintenance/fuel handling operations, cold-storage upkeep and general grounds/HVAC/snow removal contracts.
It And Communications $290K/yr
[#9, #10] Hardened LAN and secure comms maintenance, encrypted radio networks, satellite bandwidth, cyber-security staff hours, off-site backups and cloud/colocation fees.
Tactical Training And Ops $200K/yr
[#14] Recurring training, certification, ammunition, and operational training cycles for emergency response/tactical teams.
Research And Monitoring $160K/yr
[#11, #18] Recurring lab certification/maintenance and routine environmental monitoring/compliance sampling and reporting.
Cover Story And Legal $160K/yr
[#15, #27] Annual legal retainers, PR/cover-story upkeep, local-government liaison and monitoring/rumor-control subscriptions.
Supplies And Consumables $150K/yr
[#20] Recurring PPE, lab consumables, sample vials, filters, cleaning supplies, kitchen/office consumables.
Contingency Buffer $150K/yr
[#28] Miscellaneous contingency for unexpected repairs, overtime, emergency travel and small unplanned procurements.
Logistics And Transport $120K/yr
[#5] Vehicle fuel, maintenance, insurance and routine logistics costs for patrol and site support fleet.
Hazardous Waste Disposal $50K/yr
[#19] Annual regulated disposal and sanitation costs for contaminated materials, biological/chemical waste pickups and treatment.
Offsite Redundancy Maintenance $50K/yr
[#26] Annual costs to keep alternate command center ready and small-scale staff relocation readiness maintained.
Vetting And Clearances $30K/yr
[#21] Recurring background-check renewals, periodic psych screening and security-clearance processing.
Property Taxes $20K/yr
[#16] Ongoing property tax payments for rural Saskatchewan site (mid-range estimate).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $7.0M/yr
88.0% probability / year
Normal operational year with no major incidents; regular maintenance, staffing and planned research activity.
steady operations no breaches routine maintenance
🚨 Minor Incident $7.7M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$750K vs baseline
Localized equipment failure or small perimeter breach requiring rapid-response, repairs and limited legal/PR work.
localized breach sensor/vehicle loss limited contamination event
🚨 Major Breach $12.0M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$5.0M vs baseline
Significant containment failure or large-scale incident requiring deployment of additional MTF/tactical assets, large remediation, and use of escrow/reserve funds.
major perimeter breach large remediation/cleanup extended evacuation/relocation
👥 Personnel 62 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 18 [#1] Armed perimeter patrol staffing across three shifts plus overstaffing for leave/training; chosen mid-range guard count.
Control Room / Static Security Officer 8 [#2] CCTV operators, access-control officers and security supervisors staffing control-room and alarm coordination.
Security Supervisor 3 [#1, #2] Supervisory roles to manage patrols, shifts and incident coordination.
Research Scientist 10 [#6, #11] Core research staff for anomalous and baseline research; BSL-capable lab operations.
Technician / Lab Tech 10 [#6, #11] Technical staff for lab support, sample handling and equipment maintenance.
Engineer / Maintenance 4 [#7, #22, #8] Facilities engineers and maintenance crew for HVAC, generators, snow removal and general site upkeep.
Medical Officer 2 [#13] On-site medical staff to manage decontamination and clinic operations.
Administrative Staff 6 [#6, #15] HR, admin and liaison staff to manage site operations and cover-story/legal coordination.
Site Director / Executive Staff 1 [#6] Single site leadership position (director/exec oversight).
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide line-item ranges and clear categories, enabling a reasonable mid-range budget; uncertainty remains high for perimeter length, chosen BSL level, and the true anomalous risk (which drives escrow/reserve sizing), so estimates are medium confidence.
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