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SCP-5141 Unknown ~ medium confidence
SCP-5141
Expected annual
$3.3M
One-time setup
$1.8M
Annual recurring
$3.2M
Personnel
17
One-time capital (facility, vehicles, command trailer, sensors) ≈ $1.84M; recurring annual operations dominated by staffing, contingency reserves, legal/municipal costs and research ≈ $3.228M/year.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $1.8M
Facilities $1.1M
[#6] Purchase/fitout option for climate-controlled, high-security garage (midpoint of $750k–$1.5M).
Equipment $550K
[#4, #8, #9, #10, #11, #12, #20] Escort fleet purchase/outfitting ($290k), mobile command purchase ($150k), comms hardware ($15k), drone purchase ($15k), specialized sensors ($35k), one-time signage/barricade supply ($10k), secure server hardware ($35k).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $100K
[#19] One-time research equipment and consumables (midpoint of $50–150k).
Vehicle Restoration $62K
[#7] One-time major restoration/conservation campaign (midpoint of $25–100k).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $3.2M/yr
Staff Wages $1.5M/yr
[#1] MTF Gamma-1 baseline personnel 12 FTE @ ~$125,000 fully loaded/year = $1.5M/year.
Contingency Escalation Reserve $500K/yr
[#24] Reserve for anomalous escalations and extraordinary responses (recommended $250–1,000k; midpoint used).
Research And Monitoring $435K/yr
[#19] Research team salaries (2–3 researchers + technician) and recurring research consumables/field research (~$300–500k salaries + $20–50k/year consumables; midpoint used).
Liability Reserve Per Event $200K/yr
[#18] Set-aside reserve for property damage/personal injury per event (range $100–500k; conservative $200k assumed).
Cover Story And Legal $120K/yr
[#15, #17] Annual legal retainers/municipal liaison and PR monitoring (combined midpoint: legal $100k + monitoring $20k).
Administrative Overhead $100K/yr
[#22] Project accounting, audits, liaison staff time and internal compliance (~$50–150k/year; midpoint used).
Amnestic Treatment Contingency $50K/yr
[#16] Contingent per-event amnestic treatment costs (range extremely wide; conservative contingency $50k assumed).
Insurance Admin $50K/yr
[#18] Annual insurance administrative/actuarial costs (~$25–75k/year; midpoint used).
Local Law Enforcement Reimbursements Per Event $45K/yr
[#3] Per-event municipal overtime/resource reimbursements (range $35–55k; midpoint $45k; annualized for one event/year).
Vehicle Maintenance And Fuel $42K/yr
[#5] Annual maintenance/insurance for escort vehicles (~$8–12k/vehicle/year × 4 ≈ $40k) plus per-event fuel/wear; midpoint used.
Facilities Maintenance $25K/yr
[#6] Annual utilities/security/ongoing facility costs for purchased storage (estimated $20–30k/year).
Training Exercises $25K/yr
[#21] Regular joint exercises with local law enforcement (2–4/year; $10–40k/year; midpoint used).
Heavy Equipment Contracts $20K/yr
[#14] Availability contracts for heavy equipment (~$10–25k/year; midpoint used).
Secure Data Storage $20K/yr
[#20] Secure storage, IT overhead and classified archival services (~$10–30k/year; midpoint used).
Mobile Command Operation $15K/yr
[#8] Annual maintenance/operation for mobile command unit (~$10–20k/year).
Aerial Surveillance $12K/yr
[#10] Per-event aerial oversight (helicopter rental midpoint ~$11k) plus drone operator costs (~$1–2k); annualized for one event/year.
Supplies And Consumables $10K/yr
[#23] Misc consumables and petty expenses (estimated $5–15k/year).
Contractor Standby Per Event $10K/yr
[#14] Tow trucks/heavy equipment contractors on standby (~$5–15k per event; midpoint used).
Cover Story Per Event $10K/yr
[#15] Per-event PR/cover-story campaign and labor (~$5–20k per event; midpoint used).
Misc Consumables $10K/yr
[#23] Food, batteries, spare parts, small purchases (~$5–15k/year; midpoint used).
Logistics And Transport $8K/yr
[#2] Per-event MTF overtime and per-diem (~$8k per annual event).
Temporary Sensor Rental Per Event $6K/yr
[#11] Temporary camera/LiDAR/telemetry rentals (~$3–10k per event; midpoint used).
Medical Standby Per Event $5K/yr
[#13] Ambulance/EMT hiring per event (range $1–10k; conservative midpoint used).
Permit And Admin Per Event $5K/yr
[#17] Per-event permit/municipal admin costs (~$2–10k per event; midpoint used).
Communications Service $2K/yr
[#9] Per-event airtime/rental and recurring comms service ($500–2k per event; annualized).
Signage And Barricade Replacements $2K/yr
[#12] Consumable replacements for signage/barricades (~$1–3k per event; annualized).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $3.2M/yr
87.5% probability / year
Normal year with single annual transit and no major incidents; all recurring programs operate as budgeted.
single_annual_transit no_incident standard_municipal_cooperation
🚨 Minor Incident $3.3M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$100K vs baseline
Small route deviation, minor collision or localized infrastructure damage requiring extra contractor work, limited settlements and extra PR/legal time.
minor_collision route_deviation localized_property_damage
🚨 Major Breach $4.0M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$750K vs baseline
Significant incident with multiple injuries, substantial property damage, larger settlements, expanded emergency response and more extensive investigations.
multi-victim_collision major_infrastructure_damage extended_litigation
🚨 Catastrophic Breach $5.7M/yr
0.5% probability / year +$2.5M vs baseline
Rare catastrophic event causing mass casualties, major litigation, long-term investigations, emergency program scaling and major reputation/cover-story efforts.
mass_casualties major_litigation national_media_exposure
👥 Personnel 17 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 12 [#1] MTF Gamma-1 baseline team maintained for readiness (command, drivers, medics, logistics, liaison).
Research Scientist 2 [#19] Research staff (part of recurring research budget).
Technician / Conservator 1 [#7, #19] Vehicle conservator/mechanical specialist (periodic maintenance/restoration).
Administrative Staff 2 [#22, #17] Project accounting, municipal liaison and administrative overhead.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed per-event and annual ranges for most items (staffing, municipal reimbursements, equipment), but many values are ranges and there are alternative program choices (lease vs purchase, contingency usage, amnestic policy) that produce wide variance; estimates use midpoints and conservative reserves.
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