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SCP-5152 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-5152
Expected annual
$1.4M
One-time setup
$703K
Annual recurring
$1.3M
Personnel
8
One-time setup costs are modest-to-moderate (~$703k) driven by lab upgrades and instrumentation; recurring annual costs are larger (~$1.33M/yr) driven by staff wages, site overhead, ongoing research (neuroimaging, monitoring), legal/cover costs and incident reserves.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $703K
Initial Research And Lab Setup $450K
[#11, #12] Materials-analysis lab upgrades and specialized containment (glovebox, cryo, custom sample windows) and sensor R&D (micro/implant-free sensors) to enable material sampling and non-invasive instrumentation development.
Equipment $211K
[#2, #5, #8, #10, #18, #22, #23, #24] Initial equipment purchases: environmental sensors/HVAC setup (#2 initial), transport crate (#5 crate $2k), neurophysiological rigs (#8 purchase), secure/air-gapped data storage initial setup (#10 initial), personnel-vetting/HR database initial (#18 initial), IT/hardened endpoints initial (#22 initial), replacement/replica masks (#23), initial voice/linguistic analysis tools/services (#24 initial).
Sop Development And Training $30K
[#17] Initial SOP development, staff training sessions and initial drills to establish containment and access procedures.
Facilities $12K
[#1] Purchase and installation of a Class-1 anomalous-object container (secure metal safe, tamper sensors, mounting, EMI shielding, alarm integration).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $1.3M/yr
Staff Wages $450K/yr
[#4, #6, #7] Security guards for access/testing, on-site medical monitoring personnel and research staff salaries (2–3 guards allocated; med tech + psychiatric/psych support; 1–3 FTE researchers).
Facilities Maintenance $200K/yr
[#3] Prorated Site-29 overhead (security, utilities, building amortization) allocated to maintaining SCP-5152.
Research And Monitoring $183K/yr
[#8, #9, #11, #14, #15, #16, #24] Annual research costs: neuroimaging access contract hours (#9), recurring materials-analysis campaign budgets (#11 campaigns), neurophys equipment maintenance (#8 maintenance), subject recruitment/compensation (#14), psychometric licensing and scoring (#15), long-term follow-up/counseling services (#16), ongoing voice/linguistic analysis services (#24 recurring).
Cover Story And Legal $125K/yr
[#19] Legal counsel, FOIA/records management, law-enforcement liaison and cover-story maintenance budget.
Opportunity Cost $125K/yr
[#27] Accounting for lost opportunity/priority cost of dedicating senior research staff, imaging time and lab space to SCP-5152.
Incident Response Fund $100K/yr
[#20] Annual allocation to an incident-response contingency fund (rapid remediation/relocation, emergency costs).
Insurance And Risk Management $50K/yr
[#26] Internal insurance/reserve budgeting for staff adverse events and legal exposure.
It Cybersecurity Maintenance $30K/yr
[#22] Annual IT/security operations: SIEM, endpoint hardening, logs and remote access vetting maintenance.
Secure Data Storage Maintenance $15K/yr
[#10] Ongoing costs for air-gapped encrypted storage, redundancy and audit logging maintenance.
Energy Costs $15K/yr
[#25] Incremental electrical costs attributable to additional equipment, servers and HVAC loads.
Supplies And Consumables $12K/yr
[#13, #28] Ongoing consumables and small incidentals: PPE, single-use electrodes, batteries, courier fees, small repairs.
Personnel Vetting Maintenance $10K/yr
[#18] Annual maintenance/audits for personnel vetting and amnestic-history tracking system.
Logistics And Transport $9K/yr
[#5] Per-move logistics and escorted transport when SCP-5152 is moved for testing (assumed ~3 moves/year at ~$3,000 per move).
Sop Refresh Training $6K/yr
[#17] Annual refresher training and periodic drills for SOP enforcement and access control.
Environmental Monitoring Maintenance $200/yr
[#2] Annual maintenance/calibration for temperature/humidity monitors and small HVAC/desiccant systems.
Clinical Trial Reserve $0/yr
[#21] Placeholder for clinical-trial-level evaluation budget; large multi-year costs only incurred if Foundation elects to pursue trials (see 'research_scale_up' scenario).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $1.3M/yr
83.0% probability / year
Normal operational year with no major incidents: routine testing, maintenance, and scheduled research activities at modest cadence.
routine_testing scheduled_imaging_sessions standard_maintenance
🚨 Minor Incident $1.4M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$50K vs baseline
Small adverse event (single-subject acute reaction, minor equipment failure, small data incident) requiring extra medical follow-up, investigations and limited remediation.
adverse_psych_reaction equipment_failure limited_data_leak
🚨 Major Breach $1.7M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$400K vs baseline
Significant containment/operational incident requiring relocation, large-scale remediation, mass amnestic administration, and legal/cover operations.
containment_breach large_media_exposure mass_administration_of_amnestics
🚨 Research Scale Up $2.1M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$750K vs baseline
Foundation elects to pursue clinical-trial-style evaluation and advanced materials programs (Phase I/II-style trials, expanded imaging and multi-site studies).
pursue_clinical_trials major_materials_analysis_campaign multi-site_imaging_and_monitoring
👥 Personnel 8 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 3 [#4] Dedicated guards for access control and testing escorts (2–3 guards allocated; count reflects site allocation).
Medical Officer (med tech) 1 [#6] On-site medical monitoring during tests (med tech present for vitals and emergency response).
Psychiatrist / Psychologist 1 [#6, #15, #16] Clinical oversight, psychometric evaluation and counseling/long-term follow-up (on-call or part-time clinical role).
Research Scientist 2 [#7] Behavioral/neuroscience staff (1–3 FTE typical; count chosen to match recurring research wages).
Administrative Staff 1 [#14, #18, #19] Admin support for subject recruitment/consent, HR vetting records and legal/cover liaison coordination.
📋 Confidence Notes
Midpoint estimates were used from wide analyst-provided ranges; many costs depend on programmatic choices (e.g., pursuit of clinical trials, imaging cadence) and site-specific allocations, so uncertainty is moderate.
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