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SCP-516 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-516
Expected annual
$1.1M
One-time setup
$2.8M
Annual recurring
$1.1M
Personnel
10
One-time capital/setup costs are approximately $2,812,000 driven primarily by construction of a blast-rated vehicle containment bay, ballistic upgrades, magazine fit-out, heavy lifting equipment and remote tooling. Recurring annual costs are approximately $1,087,000/yr driven by staff wages (security, containment technicians, researchers, EOD), program overhead, testing/logistics and ongoing monitoring/maintenance.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $2.8M
Facilities $1.8M
[#1, #4, #5, #20, #28] Includes construction of the Anomalous Vehicle Containment Bay (#1), ballistic/fragment containment and berming fit-out (#4), hardened ammunition magazine (#5), initial hazardous-materials abatement on intake (#20) and secure vault fit-out for removed turrets/components (#28).
Equipment $515K
[#2, #16, #17, #19, #21] Overhead gantry/crane and rigging installation (#2), remote handling/robotic tooling (#16), CCTV/sensor hardware one-time purchase (#17), environmental-control installation hardware (#19) and backup power/UPS generator purchase/installation (#21).
Extraordinary Mitigation Operation $150K
[#35] One-time major operation reserve for extraordinary mitigation (permanent armament removal, demilitarization, disposal, site rehab) if strategy changes.
Incident Response Reserve $100K
[#26] One-time recommended reserve funding for incident response, casualty care, cleanup and cover-up expenditures.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $45K
[#18, #32, #24] Dedicated monitoring/analysis room and secure servers setup (#18), initial digital archiving setup (#32), and initial training/setup component of training budget (#24).
Initial Ammunition Procurement $40K
[#6] Initial test ammunition inventory budgeting (inert practice rounds and limited live rounds) for controlled testing.
Initial Spares Inventory $40K
[#9, #10] Initial stock of specialist maintenance spares and parts inventory (tracks, road wheels, seals, consumables) per analyst note split (#9 split; #10 initial stock).
Legal And Cover Setup $40K
[#22] One-time legal/compliance setup, cover-story/front-company setup and associated legal fees for weapons/explosives custody and cover organization setup.
Initial Recovery And Transport $30K
[#3] Heavy-haul transport and initial recovery (lowboy, escorts, crane rental, permits) for retrieval.
Initial Training Setup $12K
[#24] Initial training/setup costs for remote maintenance procedures, EOD coordination and live-fire safety certifications (split from #24 which also has recurring training).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $1.1M/yr
Staff Wages $657K/yr
[#8, #12, #13, #14, #15] Bi-weekly routine maintenance labor and/or specialist mechanics (#8), on-site security staff salaries (3 guards + premiums) (#12), containment/operations team salaries (technicians, logistics coordinator, site manager) (#13), research/test team salaries (#14), and EOD/ordnance specialist retainer or part-time salary (#15).
Program Overhead $100K/yr
[#34] Opportunity cost and institutional overhead allocation (central command, administrative accounting, cross-department charges) apportioned to this asset.
Cover Story And Legal $90K/yr
[#22, #27] Ongoing legal/compliance retainer and PR/cover maintenance (#22), plus liability/insurance-equivalent and contingency set-aside (#27).
Logistics And Transport $40K/yr
[#29] Budget for periodic heavy-lift rentals and specialist contractor operations for turret replacement/removal or major repairs (#29).
Live Fire Testing $40K/yr
[#25] Budget for occasional live-fire testing range rental, targets, EOD support and live ammunition for controlled test series (per-test variability budgeted annually).
Research And Monitoring $36K/yr
[#17, #18, #32, #33] Annual maintenance/monitoring for CCTV and sensor network (#17), IT ops for monitoring/secure servers (#18), ongoing data analysis/storage and archival analyst time (#32), and annual conservator/preservation monitoring (#33).
Facilities Maintenance $32K/yr
[#19, #21, #31] Ongoing environmental-control and HVAC energy/maintenance (#19, #31), generator fuel and maintenance (#21), and general site/facility maintenance.
Spares Replenishment $25K/yr
[#9, #11] Annual replenishment of specialist spares and ad-hoc parts fabrication for obsolete components (split of #9; see #11).
Ammo Disposal Services $20K/yr
[#7] Ammunition handling, EOD services and certified disposal/hazardous waste processing for expended rounds and residues (annual budget based on test frequency).
Personnel Recruitment And Premiums $20K/yr
[#23] Additional recruitment costs, background-screening and salary premium due to containment policy restrictions (no personnel with military history).
Training And Certifications $15K/yr
[#24] Annual training, drills and safety certifications (remote maintenance, live-fire safety, EOD coordination, emergency response).
Supplies And Consumables $6K/yr
[#30] Consumables and small tools (lubricants, hydraulic fluids, filters, PPE, welding supplies).
Hazardous Waste Handling $6K/yr
[#20] Ongoing hazardous-waste handling and disposal budget for residual fuel/oils and contamination following operations (#20 recurring component).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $1.1M/yr
94.0% probability / year
Normal uneventful year with routine maintenance, monitoring, occasional parts replenishment and scheduled training/testing only.
routine_maintenance scheduled_testing no_incidents_or_breaches
🚨 Minor Incident $1.2M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$150K vs baseline
Localized accidental discharge or small containment incident requiring EOD response, medical care, cleanup, minor repairs and legal/PR response.
accidental_discharge minor_equipment_failure EOD_response_and_cleanup
🚨 Major Breach $2.1M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$1.0M vs baseline
Serious containment failure or public incident (fatalities, infrastructure damage) leading to extended investigations, casualty response, legal liability, major repairs/upgrades and possible demilitarization.
unexpected_mass_discharge public_exposure_or_fatalities prolonged_investigation_and_legal_action
👥 Personnel 10 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 3 [#12] On-site security staff (rotating guards) to control access to bay and magazine; includes wage premium due to personnel restrictions.
Containment Technician / Vehicle Mechanic 2 [#8, #13] Full-time containment technicians/vehicle mechanics for bi-weekly maintenance, checks and parts replacement.
Logistics Coordinator 1 [#13] Coordinates parts, heavy-lift operations, transport and testing logistics.
Site Manager / Executive Staff 1 [#13] Site-level manager overseeing containment and operations.
Research Scientist 2 [#14] Ballistics/R&D personnel to run controlled tests and analyze autonomous behavior.
EOD Specialist 1 [#15] Ordnance specialist consultant or part-/full-time staff responsible for ammo handling and safe disposal.
📋 Confidence Notes
Line items are well-scoped with concrete cost ranges for physical infrastructure and personnel, but uncertainty remains in frequency of testing, live-fire activity, and potential major incidents which cause larger cost variance.
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