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SCP-5191 Neutralized ~ medium confidence
SCP-5191
Expected annual
$2.6M
One-time setup
$2.2M
Annual recurring
$2.6M
Personnel
8
Estimated one-time capital and setup costs are approximately $2.23M driven largely by contingency/reserve funding and equipment/cryostorage setup; ongoing annual costs are about $2.57M/yr driven by staff wages, a modest research/monitoring program, legal/cover operations, and operational support.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $2.2M
Contingency Reserve $1.0M
[#19] Contingency reserve held for worst-case redevelopment attempts, large-scale raids/seizures, or extended emergency operations.
Equipment $705K
[#2, #8, #17, #10] X‑ray/portable CT and high-res scanners, gloveboxes and secure cabinets; cryostorage hardware; CCTV/access control installation; initial secure server/air-gapped backup setup.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $200K
[#11] Initial small wet-lab / sequencing/epigenetics instrumentation and setup for a seed research effort.
Facilities $175K
[#2, #8, #9] Facility fit-out for secure mail processing (secure room fit-out), redundant power/generator purchase and associated infrastructure work.
Legal Setup $100K
[#3] One-time legal/arrangement setup fees for covert mail diversion/interception and initial counsel to establish agreements.
Major Decontamination Reserve $50K
[#12] One-time major purge / deep decontamination reserve to be used if a facility/lab purge is required.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $2.6M/yr
Staff Wages $761K/yr
[#1, #4, #8] Dedicated monitoring agents (3 FTE) and rapid-response/on-call operators (2–4, modeled at 3 FTE) and embryology technicians (modeled at 2 FTE). Includes benefits/overhead.
Research And Monitoring $500K/yr
[#5, #11, #14] Baseline forensic/lab contracts, OSINT/monitoring tools and personnel, and a modest seed research program into mechanisms (sequencing/epigenetic work).
Inflation Buffer $336K/yr
[#25] Budgetary buffer for inflation/unexpected cost growth (modeled at 15% of recurring + admin).
Administrative Overhead $292K/yr
[#23] Program management, legal liaison, procurement, accounting and HR (modeled at 15% of base recurring costs).
Cover Story And Legal $200K/yr
[#3, #7, #20] Ongoing legal retainer and covert service payments, per-incident cover/settlement budgets, and public relations/misinformation capability.
Facilities Maintenance $126K/yr
[#8, #9, #10] LN2 supply and cryostorage maintenance, electricity for equipment/freezers/servers/HVAC, generator maintenance/testing, managed IT infrastructure costs (ongoing).
Amnestic Procedures $75K/yr
[#6] Expected annual cost to perform amnestic procedures on sources/associates (modeled from planned contingency: up to ~10 persons over 2 years).
Logistics And Transport $70K/yr
[#15, #21] Routine secure couriering for samples/evidence and travel & lodging for cross-jurisdiction investigations.
Psychological Care $50K/yr
[#22] Follow-up psychiatric care and reintegration budgets for amnesticized subjects (modeled expected cases).
Archive And Corporate Storage $30K/yr
[#16] Document/legal storage of corporate assets and dormant corporate shell maintenance fees.
Forensic Per Incident $25K/yr
[#5] Expected annual spend on occasional detailed forensic analyses (fingerprints, DNA, inks, etc.) for suspicious letters.
Training And Exercises $25K/yr
[#18] Regular training on mail-handling, evidence preservation, amnestic administration protocols and drills.
Biohazard Disposal $24K/yr
[#12] Routine biohazard disposal and decontamination consumables/contracted disposals.
Personnel Screening $20K/yr
[#13] Ongoing background reinvestigations, polygraphs, and counterintelligence screening for assigned staff.
Compliance And Audit $20K/yr
[#24] Periodic third-party audits, contractor insurance and indemnity costs.
Supplies And Consumables $10K/yr
[#2] Consumables and filters for mail-scanning equipment and routine consumables for handling mail evidence.
Security Monitoring $10K/yr
[#17] Annual monitoring and maintenance subscriptions for CCTV/access control and intrusion detection.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $2.6M/yr
89.0% probability / year
Normal uneventful year with routine monitoring, upkeep, and occasional small forensic tasks; no major incidents.
routine monitoring periodic forensic tasks no leak or redevelopment attempt
🚨 Minor Incident $2.7M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$165K vs baseline
Occasional suspicious letter(s) leading to deployments, forensic work, limited amnestic use, and localized legal/PR activity.
suspicious incoming order small-scale law enforcement/deployment one amnestic event and forensic surge
🚨 Major Breach $5.6M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$3.0M vs baseline
Significant redevelopment attempt or public exposure requiring large-scale raids, extended research/quarantine, major legal/PR campaign and activation of contingency reserves.
attempted recreation / open redevelopment major public leak or coordinated actor multi-site law enforcement and research response
👥 Personnel 8 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 3 [#1] Three full-time monitoring agents covering addresses/shifts, included in staff_wages.
Rapid Response / MTF Operator 3 [#4] On-call investigative/deployment team modeled at three operators, included in staff_wages.
Embryology Technician 2 [#8] Cryostorage/embryology technicians to maintain gamete banks and compliance, included in staff_wages.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line items and ranges; estimates here pick midpoints and policy-driven allocations (e.g., 15% admin/inflation). Uncertainty remains due to wide ranges for legal/contingency, unknown frequency of incidents, and whether gamete banks remain in Foundation custody.
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