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SCP-5230 Unknown ~ medium confidence
SCP-5230
Expected annual
$1.1M
One-time setup
$2.4M
Annual recurring
$1.1M
Personnel
18
Upfront capital and acquisition costs dominate (property purchase, renovation, contingency fund), while ongoing payroll, specialized monitoring, and front‑company operations drive annual expenses. Total one‑time capital is large (~$2.47M) and annual operations are ~ $1.11M.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $2.4M
Facilities $1.6M
[#10, #11, #17] Land/property purchase (#10), full renovation/code compliance (#11), and orphanage perimeter/CCTV/security installation (#17).
Contingency Reserve Fund $500K
[#26] Standby reserve for sudden escalation: large MTF mobilization, mass amnestic rollout, cross‑site relocations, emergency funding.
Front Company And Pr $150K
[#12] Front company formation, legal cover, PR, website/charity registration and local lobbying/initiation costs.
Equipment $70K
[#2, #8, #19, #21, #20] Tamper/environmental monitoring hardware (#2), remote fire‑suppression & response tools purchase (#8), vehicle purchase (#19 one‑time), records/server setup (#21 one‑time), and replica/cover props (#20).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $50K
[#7] Forensic and materials analyses of the dollhouse and fire residue (lab tests, mass spec, radiography, etc.).
Initial Recovery Operation $40K
[#5] Initial MTF recovery & field operation costs (transport, equipment, lodging, overtime, casualty readiness).
Legal Adoption And Custody Initial $25K
[#25] Initial legal fees for adoption/custody paperwork and covert social services interactions.
Initial Amnestics And Witness Care $20K
[#6] Initial amnesticization and witness management costs (amnestic medication, psychiatric aftercare, clinic time for ~10 subjects).
Investigative Response Per Incident $20K
[#9] Investigation of storage disappearance / containment breach response — rapid forensic sweep and temporary lockdown (per incident estimate).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $1.1M/yr
Staff Wages $510K/yr
[#4, #13] Two full‑time researchers + two security officers (item #4) plus orphanage staffing payroll (manager, carers, cleaners, admin) (item #13).
Long Term Custodial Option $300K/yr
[#16] Contingency recurring cost if Foundation elects to keep children in secure off‑site Foundation care (alternative to orphanage staffing/placement).
Research And Monitoring $183K/yr
[#3, #8, #15, #21, #27] Tamper/sensor maintenance & data hosting (#3), remote suppression maintenance (#8 recurring), specialized anomalous monitoring & research on children (#15), records/IT hosting (#21 recurring), and ongoing research program funding (#27).
Cover Story And Legal $45K/yr
[#22, #23, #24] Ongoing amnestic follow‑ups & witness management (#22), local community outreach & PR budget (#23), insurance/compliance renewals and licensing fees (#24).
Child Medical Care $30K/yr
[#14] Child medical care, neonatal support and routine pediatric consumables for baseline three children.
Facilities Maintenance $22K/yr
[#1, #18] Secure storage allocation/site overhead for Site‑20 storage and locker admin (#1) and orphanage site security maintenance & monitoring/repairs (#18).
Supplies And Consumables $15K/yr
[#28] Miscellaneous operational overheads and consumables (PPE, janitorial supplies, office supplies, small replacements).
Logistics And Transport $8K/yr
[#19] Vehicles fuel/maintenance and transport costs for artifact/staff transfers (recurring).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $1.1M/yr
92.0% probability / year
Normal year with front company operating, regular monitoring, no major incidents or escalations.
routine_monitoring regular_front_company_operations
🚨 Minor Incident $1.2M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$50K vs baseline
Localized disappearance from storage or small breach requiring site investigation and targeted response.
locker_disappearance site_investigation amnestic_followups
🚨 Major Breach $2.0M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$905K vs baseline
Significant containment failure requiring major MTF mobilization, legal/PR emergency, possible relocation and contingency fund drawdown.
mass_breach large_MTF_mobilization contingency_fund_use
🚨 Custodial Activation $1.1M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$20K vs baseline
Foundation elects to keep children in secure custody rather than operate the front orphanage, increasing annual care/security costs.
secure_custody_decision policy_change
👥 Personnel 18 total
Role Count Notes
Research Scientist 2 [#4, #27] Two full‑time researchers assigned to observation/experiments and funded research program support.
Security Officer / MTF Agent 4 [#4, #18, #19] Two site security officers for containment (item #4) plus additional security/transport staff for orphanage shifts and vehicle ops (#18, #19).
Orphanage Manager / Site Coordinator 1 [#13] Manager to run front company orphanage operations and licensing compliance.
Caregiver / Nurse 6 [#13, #14, #15] Childcare staff for day‑to‑day care, medical support, and participation in anomalous monitoring protocols.
Cleaner / Maintenance 2 [#13, #11] Cleaning and basic maintenance staff required for a functioning front facility (also supports renovation upkeep).
Administrative Staff 1 [#13, #21, #12] Admin/accountant/HR to handle payroll, background checks, and records/cover documentation.
Medical Officer 1 [#14, #15] Pediatric/medical officer responsible for child medical care, vaccinations, and anomaly‑specific medical monitoring.
Engineer / Maintenance 1 [#11, #17] Technical/engineering support for renovation compliance, fire suppression systems, and security hardware maintenance.
📋 Confidence Notes
Notes provide many line‑item estimates but several components (anomalous behaviour frequency, long‑term child outcomes, need for repeated large mobilizations) are uncertain; numbers are midrange estimates grounded in the analyst's itemized inputs.
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