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SCP-5301 Neutralized ~ medium confidence
SCP-5301
Expected annual
$1.6M
One-time setup
$1.1M
Annual recurring
$1.6M
Personnel
16
One-time upfront costs of approximately $1.08M cover extraction, containment construction, equipment, cover-story staging and contingency; recurring annual costs are roughly $1.59M driven primarily by medical ICU care, security wages, and lab/research staffing and consumables.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $1.1M
Contingency Reserve $275K
[#23] Capital reserve for unforeseen escalation: emergency relocation, surge security/medical costs, urgent legal actions.
Facilities $246K
[#2, #10] Containment chamber construction/retrofitting at Site-24 (#2) plus property hardening/fencing and off-grid sensor power (#10).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $140K
[#15] Forensic instrumentation and controlled-synthesis access (GC/MS, LC/MS, NMR access, controlled-synthesis suite) needed as one-time capital for amnestic/reagent analysis.
Equipment $101K
[#3, #7, #18, #20] Chamber medical devices and diagnostics (#3), PPE and entry gear stock (#7), small-fire response kit (#18), and one-time IT/security hardware (#20 one-time).
Demolition Option $80K
[#24] Optional one-time demolition and remediation of the Kellhoff house if chosen (demolition + remediation).
Cover Story Staging One Time $72K
[#12] One-time staging of 'gas explosion' cover: contractors for staged damage, permits, press coordination and temporary cleanup crews.
Extraction Operation $55K
[#1] One-off extraction: 8–10 person team, armored/medical transport, sedation/ventilation equipment, PPE, fuel, overtime and mission planning.
Amnestic Administration One Time $55K
[#13] One-off procurement/administration of Class-A amnestics for witnesses (estimate assumes 20–50 witnesses at midpoint).
Local Compensation One Time $42K
[#27] One-off neighbor/owner compensation, settlements, hush money, or property-owner acquisition payments.
Initial Training And Sop $18K
[#6] One-time extraction training, SOP development, rehearsals, facility rental and contractor instructors.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $1.6M/yr
Staff Wages $1.0M/yr
[#4, #5, #16, #25] Ongoing wages: ICU nursing/physician portion (#4 split), dedicated security staff (#5), forensic lab staffing (#16), and ongoing research/behavioral personnel (#25).
Research And Monitoring $270K/yr
[#11, #15] Remote monitoring operations and contracted patrols/monitor maintenance (#11) and recurring forensic/research consumables, access and analytical costs (#15 recurring).
Supplies And Consumables $186K/yr
[#4, #8, #17, #26] Medical consumables and ICU supplies portion of #4, PPE replacement/consumables (#8), hazardous waste disposal (#17), and routine observation consumables for the house (#26).
Cover Story And Legal $38K/yr
[#14] Ongoing legal retainer and municipal liaison to maintain the cover story and handle local-government interactions.
Psychological Support $25K/yr
[#21] Counseling, staff monitoring, EAP services and occasional amnestic/therapy after exposure to chanting/aggression.
Facilities Maintenance $16K/yr
[#9, #19] Ongoing Kellhoff property maintenance/insurance/taxes and fire-safety inspection/coordination contracts.
Logistics And Transport $9K/yr
[#22] Regular travel between Site-24 and Kellhoff for inspections, evidence-gathering and family liaison (vehicle/fuel/occasional flights).
It Security Maintenance $6K/yr
[#20] Ongoing hosting, encrypted backups, bandwidth and maintenance for secure comms and video archive.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $1.6M/yr
92.0% probability / year
Normal year with no major incidents: ongoing medical care, security, research and property monitoring continue as planned.
no_unexpected_escalation successful_cover_story_maintenance
🚨 Minor Incident $1.6M/yr
6.0% probability / year +$50K vs baseline
Localized incident such as a small combustion/demanifestation causing emergency response, a handful of new witnesses, and short-term repairs.
small_fire additional_witnesses sensor_or_power_fault
🚨 Major Breach Or Public Exposure $3.1M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$1.5M vs baseline
Significant cover-story failure or demolition/large public incident requiring mass amnestics, demolition/remediation, legal action and emergency relocation.
public_exposure mass_witness_event deliberate_demolition_or_large_fire
👥 Personnel 16 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 6 [#5] 24/7 dedicated security staff for the humanoid hold (4–6 guards; midpoint used).
Critical-Care Nurse 3 [#4] 24/7 ICU-level nursing (approx. 3 FTE nurses rotating shifts).
Medical Officer 1 [#4] Periodic physician rounds and oversight for comatose patient.
Research Scientist 3 [#16, #25] Analytical chemists and behavioral researchers covering forensic analyses and phenomenology studies.
Lab Technician 1 [#16] Lab technician supporting analytical instrumentation and sample prep.
Engineer / Maintenance 1 [#10, #20] Site/IT maintenance for remote sensors, cameras, and off-grid power.
Administrative Staff / Legal Liaison 1 [#14, #12] Ongoing legal/municipal liaison and support for cover-story administration.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line items and sensible ranges, enabling mid-range point estimates; however several items (lab staffing vs. recurring analysis, witness counts, optional demolition) are uncertain and ranges are wide, so confidence is medium.
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