SCP-5302 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-5302
Expected annual
$677K
One-time setup
$782K
Annual recurring
$664K
Personnel
7
First-year one-time setup is approximately $781,500 driven by property acquisition, research lab setup and contingency/legal reserves; baseline recurring operating costs are about $663,700/year driven primarily by staff wages, ongoing research, and legal/cover expenses.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $782K
Research Escalation Fund $250K
[#24] Optional/contingent one-time fund to enable rapid scale-up (clinical trial/startup costs) if healing properties are pursued; included here as a recognized possible one-time expense.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $126K
[#8, #9] -80°C freezer, biosafety cabinet, refrigerators/smaller lab items, secure evidence lockers, plus initial analytical method development / baseline assays budget for biochemical characterization.
Incident Legal Reserve $100K
[#23] One-time reserve set aside for immediate incident legal defense, emergency PR, or buyouts in the event of a serious civilian harm/leak.
Facilities $64K
[#1, #2, #18] Purchase/lease alternative taken as purchase here; includes property acquisition/title work, initial chain‑link fence installation and minor carpentry/electrical upgrades (lockable doors, reinforced windows, service hatch).
Gravestone Coffin Replacements $60K
[#13] One-time purchase/placement costs for replacement gravestones and coffins for initial set of graves (example: 10graves used as baseline).
Equipment $58K
[#2, #3, #4, #5, #7, #16, #17, #19] Capital CCTV/NVR/sensors/UPS, patrol vehicle purchase, initial security uniforms/gear, initial PPE kit, evidence management software, initial consumables stock, surveillance NAS.
Containment Upgrade Fund $50K
[#22] One-time contingency fund established for major containment upgrades or emergency replacements (reserve fund).
Legal Setup $20K
[#12] One-time legal/regulatory setup costs (negotiations, filings, one-off payments to obtain/establish cover arrangements with coroner/health authorities).
Medical Setup $20K
[#10] One-time field medical setup: triage kits, stretcher, basic on-site emergency medical equipment.
Community Goodwill $15K
[#14] One-time initial goodwill payments/donations to local officials/cemetery staff to establish cooperation and reduce scrutiny.
Training $10K
[#20] Initial SOP development and staff training program development costs.
Website Takedown $8K
[#15] Initial cyber takedown and jurisdictional host work to remove public advertising site(s).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $664K/yr
Staff Wages $385K/yr
[#4, #6] Security staffing (contracted minimal/rotational coverage), and on-site research/containment team salaries (2 containment techs + prorated senior researcher).
Research And Monitoring $100K/yr
[#9] Ongoing analytical research budget (GC‑MS/HPLC/proteomics follow‑ups, outsourced assays or in‑house consumables and run costs).
Cover Story And Legal $60K/yr
[#12, #13, #14] Legal retainer/ongoing regulatory liaison, cemetery cooperation payments, and community hush/compensation budget (annualized).
Medical Services $40K/yr
[#10] Recurring medical staffing/standby, outsourced hospital coordination and periodic clinic/monitoring costs.
Incident Legal Replenish $25K/yr
[#23] Annual replenishment budget for incident legal/PR reserve after use or retention of funds.
Logistics And Transport $10K/yr
[#5, #21] Vehicle fuel/maintenance/registration and secure courier costs for sample transport to off‑site labs.
Contingency Replenish $10K/yr
[#22] Annual replenishment target for containment upgrade contingency/reserve.
Evidence Management $6K/yr
[#16] Ongoing admin, chain‑of‑custody documentation, photography, and evidence storage administration costs.
Monitoring Services $5K/yr
[#3] Outsourced camera/network monitoring and incident logging (alternative to a full‑time monitoring tech).
Miscellaneous Operating $5K/yr
[#25] Utilities (electricity for lights/CCTV/servers, water), office supplies, food for staff, and small repairs.
Supplies And Consumables $4K/yr
[#7, #17] Recurring PPE replenishment, single‑use serving items, sanitizers, labels, and cleaning materials.
Training $4K/yr
[#20] Annual refresher training, SOP updates, and annual drills.
Biohazard Disposal $3K/yr
[#11] Annual biohazard waste treatment and regulated medical waste disposal contracts.
Online Monitoring $3K/yr
[#15] Ongoing web scraping, repost takedowns, and DMCA/host engagement to suppress public advertising and reposts.
Surveillance Storage $2K/yr
[#19] Cloud redundancy and encrypted archival storage costs for footage, logs, and research data.
Facilities Maintenance $1K/yr
[#2, #3, #19] Annual fence/camera/physical infrastructure maintenance and small repairs; includes camera hardware upkeep.
Research Escalation Recurrent $0/yr
[#24] Recurring research scale-up costs set to zero in baseline (contingent — only incurred if translational/clinical program is initiated).
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $664K/yr
93.1% probability / year
Normal uneventful year with established site operations, monitoring, routine research and no major incidents or escalation.
no breaches no legal incidents normal research cadence
🚨 Minor Incident $689K/yr
4.0% probability / year +$25K vs baseline
Small vandalism or localized containment damage requiring fence replacement/repair, modest legal/PR response and overtime.
vandalism/broken fence small public attention
🚨 Major Breach $864K/yr
1.0% probability / year +$200K vs baseline
Civilian harm, significant leak, or high‑visibility exposure requiring major legal defense, PR campaign, emergency repairs and cemetery remediation.
civilian injury or death public exposure/leak
🚨 Research Escalation $1.2M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$500K vs baseline
Discovery of validated therapeutic effect triggers rapid translational/clinical scale‑up: one‑time scale funding and elevated recurring R&D/production costs.
validated healing properties decision to pursue clinical trials
👥 Personnel 7 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 4 [#4] Rotational/contracted guards covering shifts (FTE equivalence).
Research Scientist 1 [#6, #9] Senior researcher (prorated visits / oversight of biochemical analyses).
Research Technician 2 [#6, #8] On-site containment techs/technicians handling sampling, serving and routine monitoring.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes are detailed for facility, staffing, and research ranges allowing a reasonable estimate, but uncertainty remains around staffing model choice (contracted vs. hires), probability of incidents, and whether research escalation occurs.
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