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SCP-5342 Keter ? low confidence
SCP-5342
Expected annual
$8.3M
One-time setup
$14.0M
Annual recurring
$8.0M
Personnel
224
Initial one-time CAPEX is dominated by infrastructure, vehicles, sensors and a contingency reserve (approx. $14.0M USD). Annual recurring operations (security wages, covert operations, research, maintenance, community compensation and information control) are about $8.02M USD, driven mainly by seasonal security staffing and ongoing intelligence/legal/cover operations.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $14.0M
Contingency Fund $6.2M
[#23] Dedicated escalation/contingency reserve (baseline kept at lower-end reserve) to fund rapid build-out, mass buyouts, or county-scale remediation if SCP activity expands.
Equipment $3.4M
[#2, #3, #5, #6, #15, #16, #17] Purchase of patrol vehicles (25), temporary barrier kits for ~50 hotspots, sensor suite installs for ~50 sites (CCTV/thermal/acoustic), drone unit procurement, one armoured vehicle purchase for extraction, per-site comms kits and solar/battery hardware.
Facilities $1.5M
[#4, #7, #14, #24] One-time physical work: permanent road-closure/civil works where required, fit-out of a forward operating base secure storage, and retrofit secure detention/evidence suite. Large-scale permanent remediation (item #24) assumed not executed in baseline (no additional large per-km earthworks budget included here).
Initial Training And Vetting $1.2M
[#19] One-time intensive training, vetting and security clearance costs for seasonal staff (~200 hires pro‑rated).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $812K
[#8] Specialist containment/research lab fit-out and initial instrumentation for extradimensional analysis.
Landowner Buyouts $625K
[#11] One-time targeted purchase/buyout of critical properties (key entrances) to control access; not a full-county buyout program in baseline.
Amnestic Production Setup $125K
[#9] One-time setup costs for secure amnestic production/storage infrastructure and cold storage if required.
Cultural Alteration One Time $25K
[#22] Discrete, one-off cultural/historical edits or archival purchases to seed the cover narrative for initial deployment.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $8.0M/yr
Staff Wages $4.3M/yr
[#1, #6, #8, #9, #13, #25] Seasonal security teams (~200 seasonal guards pro‑rated for 3 months), undercover/infiltration operatives (6), research staff and technicians (lab PI/postdocs/techs), medical staff for amnestic administration, drone pilots and small year-round monitoring team.
Administrative Overhead $890K/yr
[#26] Administrative overhead (finance, HR, program management) budgeted at ~12.5% of operational recurring costs.
Community Compensation $625K/yr
[#12] Ongoing payments and disruption mitigation to affected residents/landowners for access loss, housing, parking and reparations in the monitored region.
Supplies And Consumables $419K/yr
[#9, #18] Ongoing amnestic doses (seasonal treatment ~200 civilians), medical consumables, PPE, ammunition, batteries and disposable evidence materials.
Incident Cleanup Reserve $375K/yr
[#27] Annual reserve to cover incident cleanup, medical/legal fallout and PR damage control on an episodic basis.
Cover Story And Legal $319K/yr
[#10, #11, #21, #22] Cover-story media production and distribution, legal retainers, information suppression/takedown operations, and ongoing cultural/historical influence budgets.
Logistics And Transport $270K/yr
[#2, #6, #15, #17] Seasonal vehicle fuel/operation (~25 vehicles), drone operational maintenance and BVLOS hire, helicopter/air/sea standby contracts and emergency transport capability, and generator fuel contracts.
Research And Monitoring $219K/yr
[#8, #20, #5] Data analysis, archiving, long-term research budgets and monitoring analytics (analysts, archival storage, publication suppression costs).
Facilities Maintenance $198K/yr
[#2, #3, #5, #7, #16, #17] Annual maintenance and replacement: vehicle insurance/maintenance, barrier kit upkeep (~10%/yr), sensor upkeep and site comms, forward base lease and fit-out maintenance, and generator/service contracts.
Psychological Care $156K/yr
[#28] Ongoing counselling and long-term mental health care for staff and treated civilians (estimated for ~100 people/year).
Per Detainee Handling $156K/yr
[#14] Recurring detainee handling, medical/legal and holding costs for detained PoIs and seized items (assumed modest annual throughput).
Training Recurring $125K/yr
[#19] Ongoing/refresher training for seasonal staff and new hires.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $8.0M/yr
79.0% probability / year
Uneventful year with seasonal monitoring and no major incidents; normal recurring operations only.
seasonal monitoring only no breaches or public exposure
🚨 Minor Incident $8.5M/yr
15.0% probability / year +$500K vs baseline
Localized breach or exposure requiring targeted cleanup, legal payouts and increased suppression efforts.
localized breach small-scale public exposure targeted legal/PR response
🚨 Major Breach $10.5M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$2.5M vs baseline
Significant containment failure requiring helicopter/armour deployments, expanded buyouts, large legal settlements and temporary lab surge.
multi-site breach major public exposure large-scale legal/municipal action
🚨 Catastrophic Breach $17.3M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$9.3M vs baseline
Region-scale escalation forcing use of contingency funds: mass evacuations, permanent closures, full facility build-out and long-term national operations.
persistent/resurgent activity beyond season political exposure forcing public operations need for county-scale remediation or national response
👥 Personnel 224 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 200 [#1, #25] Seasonal road-entry checkpoint guards and patrol teams pro-rated for the 3-month active season; also includes some overlap for readiness and rotations.
Undercover intelligence / Infiltration Operative 6 [#13] Deep-cover operatives mapping syndicates and identifying entrances; high-risk, long-term assignments.
Research Scientist / Lab Staff 6 [#8, #20] PI, postdocs and technicians staffing the specialist research/containment lab year-round.
Long-term monitoring staff / Analysts 6 [#25, #20] Small year-round team maintaining off-season monitoring, data analysis and tip handling.
Drone Pilot / UAV Operator 4 [#6] Seasonal pilots and remote operators for routine aerial monitoring and rapid checks.
Medical Officer 2 [#9] Medical staff to administer A-class amnestics, oversee adverse events and maintain secure storage.
📋 Confidence Notes
Scope and number of entrances are indeterminate and scale roughly linearly with cost; many line items are presence-dependent (permanent closures, buyouts, contingency spend). Estimates use example scaling (50 monitored sites, 25 vehicles, ~200 seasonal staff) and mid-range assumptions, so overall uncertainty is high.
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