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SCP-5370 Thaumiel ~ medium confidence
SCP-5370
Expected annual
$22.4M
One-time setup
$80.3M
Annual recurring
$21.9M
Personnel
52
One-time capital/setup is approximately $80.3M (dominated by facility buildout and a large contingency reserve); recurring annual operating costs are approximately $21.9M/yr, driven primarily by specialized personnel (BLUE TEAM salaries, security) and ongoing research/containment operations.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $80.3M
Extraordinary Contingency Reserve $50.0M
[#31] Speculative reserve for catastrophic expansion / reality-hazard mitigation (placeholder for large emergency response if triggered).
Facilities $14.9M
[#1, #4, #5, #7, #13, #23, #25] Secure data-center buildout, generator/UPS setup, precision cooling installation, initial archival vault setup, initial medical stocking, TEMPEST/Faraday hardening, and initial on-site amenities/quarantine construction.
Life Insurance And Casualty Reserve $5.5M
[#14] Seed capital for life-insurance/casualty compensation reserve fund (one-time capitalization).
Legal Risk Contingency Seed $5.5M
[#21] One-time seed for legal risk reserves / contingency planning fund (site-level contingency capitalization).
Equipment $3.6M
[#2, #28] Initial Perfect Blue mainframe/HPC cluster purchase and high-assurance logging hardware / timekeeping roots of trust (initial procurement).
Initial Candidate Screening $312K
[#15] One-time cost for initial psychiatric/pre-assignment screening for current on-site personnel (assumes ~52 candidates at mid-range per-candidate screening).
Training Course Development $300K
[#16] One-time bespoke course and certification development for diplomatic/ethics/grief-counselling and anomalous-negotiation training.
One Off Problem Campaigns $275K
[#17] Occasional funded problem-distribution or targeted outreach campaigns (one-offs).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $0
[]
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $21.9M/yr
Staff Wages $11.8M/yr
[#9, #11, #12, #13, #26] Salaries and hazard premiums for BLUE TEAM core personnel, security staff, support engineers/sysadmins/devs, on-site medical staff, and oversight personnel.
Research And Monitoring $3.9M/yr
[#18, #19, #20, #22] Ongoing research & strategy budget, formal verification / model-checking staffing and tooling, safe-mode / suspension maintenance, and data analysis/logging operations for forensic replay and research.
Cover Story And Legal $1.2M/yr
[#10, #30] Legal counsel, FOIA/liaison efforts, front organizations, and ongoing PR/misinformation containment operations.
Life Insurance Provisioning $1.1M/yr
[#14] Annual provisioning/replenishment to sustain casualty compensation and survivor support (ongoing provisioning into reserve).
Cybersecurity And Airgap Assurance $650K/yr
[#8] Dedicated red-team/blue-team cybersecurity staff, tooling, audits, SIEM, and air-gap assurance efforts.
Contingency Replenishment $600K/yr
[#21] Annual replenishment contributions to legal/contingency reserves.
Recruitment Pipeline $600K/yr
[#29] PhD/postdoc sponsorships, stipends and pipeline-building activities to maintain specialist availability.
Recruitment And Liaison $550K/yr
[#17] Outreach, honoraria, conference travel, and liaison activity with external mathematical organizations.
Facilities Maintenance $522K/yr
[#4, #5, #6, #23, #25] Ongoing generator/UPS fuel & maintenance, HVAC/CRAC servicing and PUE overhead, electricity blending with facility ops, TEMPEST/Faraday maintenance, and amenities/quarantine upkeep.
Psychiatric Care $500K/yr
[#15] Ongoing mental-health care, grief counseling and long-term psychiatric services for staff and survivors.
Specialized Training Recurring $200K/yr
[#16] Recurring per-candidate / continuing education and certification costs.
Logistics And Transport $175K/yr
[#24] Secure transport protocols, armored/secure movement of personnel and occasional hardware/archives.
Hardware Refresh Program $145K/yr
[#3] Planned hardware refresh cycle amortization and spare-parts program to avoid downtime.
Archival Vaulting And Verification $28K/yr
[#7] Off-site / cold backup vaulting, tape rotation and periodic integrity verification (annual costs).
Logging Maintenance $18K/yr
[#28] Annual maintenance for tamper-evident logging systems and secure timestamps.
Supplies And Consumables $0/yr
[]
Insurance And Actuarial $0/yr
[#27] Commercial insurance is likely unavailable / unaffordable; costs assumed absorbed into internal reserves (see #14 and #21).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $21.9M/yr
77.9% probability / year
Normal operational year with no major incidents beyond planned refreshes and scheduled research activity.
routine_operations scheduled_hardware_refresh normal_research_cycles
🚨 Minor Incident $22.4M/yr
20.0% probability / year +$500K vs baseline
Localized hardware failure, limited data corruption, or brief downtime requiring repairs, overtime, and small contingency draws.
hardware_failure minor_data_corruption limited_containment_incident
🚨 Major Breach $31.9M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$10.0M vs baseline
Significant containment incident or state-change requiring emergency response, expanded containment measures, casualty compensation and legal action.
containment_breach significant_casualties state_change_requiring_expansion
🚨 Catastrophic Breach $221.9M/yr
0.1% probability / year +$200.0M vs baseline
Reality-impacting or global-scale hazard triggered by SCP-5370 requiring large-scale cross-Site mobilization and extraordinary mitigation.
reality_impacting_move global_hazard mass_containment_expansion
👥 Personnel 52 total
Role Count Notes
Research Scientist / BLUE TEAM 12 [#11] Core senior mathematicians/players (with hazard premiums included in salaries).
Security Officer / MTF Agent 25 [#9] On-site armed guards across shifts (assumed midpoint staffing for 24/7 coverage).
Research Engineer / Systems Administrator / Software Dev 9 [#12] Support technical staff for Perfect Blue maintenance and simulation engineering.
Medical Officer 3 [#13] On-site medics and trauma-response personnel (staffing consistent with medical recurring budget).
Administrative Staff 2 [#12] Site administrative and logistics support (included in support staffing estimates).
Site Director / Oversight Staff 1 [#26] Dedicated ethics/oversight coordinator (partial FTE captured in oversight recurring costs).
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates are assembled from analyst-provided ranges and midpoint assumptions; many line items (personnel hazard premiums, contingency sizing, and catastrophic-response costs) are highly uncertain by nature, so totals are indicative rather than precise.
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