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SCP-5390 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-5390
Expected annual
$770K
One-time setup
$1.6M
Annual recurring
$721K
Personnel
7
Initial setup and contingency reserves drive year-one costs (~$1.56M), dominated by a contingency for containment expansion, cryogenic storage purchase/installation, and cover-story setup/vendor buyouts; ongoing annual costs (~$721k) are driven primarily by covert enforcement staff wages, research/forensic work, and legal/cover-story maintenance.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $1.6M
Containment Expansion Contingency $1.0M
[#22] Contingency for leasing/constructing a temporary or expanded secure facility in the event of escalation (high variance).
Equipment $185K
[#4, #5, #8] Purchase of rapid response vehicle(s) (armoring/comm suite), covert camera network installation, and cryogenic storage hardware (LN2 system).
Cover Story Setup $100K
[#1] One-time legal/lobbying/setup to draft and entrench municipal ordinance and initial payments to establish the cover story.
Vendor Buyouts $80K
[#2] One-time buyouts/compensation program for tamale/food vendors (20–50 vendors, phased buyouts/micro-grants).
Initial Reserve Legal Cover $75K
[#17] Initial reserve/hush-money fund to handle immediate legal inquiries, fines, or low-level payoffs.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $30K
[#10, #15] Initial pathology/research lab buildout, microscopy and sample-prep apparatus, and basic analytical equipment to begin SCP-5390 study.
Facilities $25K
[#8] Room modifications, explosion-proofing, oxygen monitoring, alarms, and safety systems for cryogenic storage.
Public Relations Setup $20K
[#6] One-time PR campaign setup, paid placements, and initial influencer/press management to seed the anti-drug narrative.
Chain Of Custody System $15K
[#11] One-time development/integration of specimen database, secure logging, and hardened server setup.
Personnel Onboarding One Time $15K
[#16] One-time vetting/onboarding costs for local operatives (background checks, initial counter-intel work).
Database Access Setup $8K
[#21] One-time setup/privileged access fees or payments to enable fingerprint/DNA database queries.
Amnestic Training $6K
[#7] Initial training/certification for safe amnestic administration and medical oversight.
Signage And Permits $5K
[#19] Physical signage, fake permit placards, and municipal markings to reinforce the cover ordinance.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $721K/yr
Staff Wages $410K/yr
[#3, #10, #5] Salaries/benefits/overhead for covert enforcement operatives (core 4-person team), Site-30 pathologist & forensic technician time, and minimal monitoring staff rotations.
Research And Monitoring $145K/yr
[#10, #14, #15] Pathology/forensic analysis and consumables, budgets for exhumation/forensic re-investigation contingency, and investigative research program funding.
Cover Story And Legal $105K/yr
[#1, #6, #17, #18, #23, #24] Ongoing lobbying/renewals/payoffs to maintain the cover ordinance, PR/media management, legal contingency fund, local informant stipends, cultural advisor contracts, and audit/compliance reserve.
Supplies And Consumables $28K/yr
[#5, #7, #13, #20, #25, #11, #21] Cloud/storage/bandwidth for surveillance, amnestic consumables per-treatment, biohazard cleanup/disposal, PPE/field kits, miscellaneous per-incident incidentals, hosting/maintenance for chain-of-custody, and ongoing database access fees.
Logistics And Transport $16K/yr
[#4, #12] Vehicle maintenance/fuel/insurance and per-transport secure shipment costs (estimated incident frequency).
Personnel Retraining $10K/yr
[#16] Recurring training, rechecks, and security vetting for operatives.
Facilities Maintenance $8K/yr
[#9, #19] Cryogenic room maintenance/backup generator fuel & maintenance and signage/permit upkeep.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $721K/yr
83.0% probability / year
Routine year with standard monitoring, maintenance, research, and occasional recoveries; no major incidents or escalation.
normal manifestation rate no public exposure no major legal incidents
🚨 Minor Incident $781K/yr
15.0% probability / year +$60K vs baseline
A year with a cluster of manifestations or a small public incident requiring extra transports, exhumations, legal payouts, and increased amnestic operations.
multiple recoveries (above-average year) one or two exhumations local press interest requiring extra PR/legal payouts
🚨 Major Breach $2.7M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$2.0M vs baseline
Significant public exposure or simultaneous multiple manifestations requiring rapid large-scale amnestic operations, mass containment measures, and activation of the containment expansion contingency.
public exposure / media leak simultaneous clustered manifestations requirement to lease/activate temporary containment expansion
👥 Personnel 7 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 4 Core covert enforcement operatives patrolling evenings, amnestic administration and recoveries. (Mapped to #3)
Pathologist 1 Site-30 pathologist for intake, autopsy, and specimen analysis. (Mapped to #10)
Forensic Technician 1 Support for specimen processing, DNA/fingerprint prep, and cataloguing. (Mapped to #10)
Surveillance Technician 1 Monitors covert camera feeds and maintains sensor network. (Mapped to #5)
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates are built from analyst ranges in the notes; core recurring items (staff wages, cryo maintenance, PR/legal) are reasonably constrained, but wide variance in vendor buyouts, contingency expansion, and incident frequency introduces uncertainty.
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