SCP-5470 Neutralized ~ medium confidence
SCP-5470
Expected annual
$2.1M
One-time setup
$2.5M
Annual recurring
$2.0M
Personnel
17
One-time neutralization and remediation costs are substantial (~$2.49M) driven by raids, legal/compensation reserves and contingency; recurring annual costs (~$1.99M/yr) are dominated by staff wages (research, analysts, security), ongoing monitoring, and medical care.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $2.5M
Compensation Reserve $500K
[#15] Reserve for civil liabilities, settlements, property loss compensation (one-time reserve).
Contingency Reserve $500K
[#22] Liquid rapid-deployment reserve for unforeseen escalation (raids, medical evacuations, large-scale suppression).
Raid Operation $400K
[#8] Covert multi-team raid and evidence seizure of server farm (planning, tactical assets, travel, breach/evidence preservation).
Facilities $275K
[#4, #16] Construction of an air-gapped secure test chamber and associated engineering/certification plus site demolition/remediation (hazmat/asbestos removal, disposal).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $200K
[#3] Isolated lab environment for reverse engineering (secure VMs, licenses, specialist labor/hardware for analysis).
Amnestic Administration $150K
[#13] One-time mass amnesticization costs for witnesses (medical + logistics + aftercare).
Public Coverup And Pr $150K
[#14] Legal mitigation, settlements, false documentation and coordination with local authorities (one-time public-facing incident costs).
Equipment $100K
[#10] Replacement of destroyed/quarantined machines, specialized lab gear, spare parts and secure virtualization hardware.
Cyber Takedown Legal $50K
[#2] Legal retainer and takedown operations (registrar/host coordination, emergency outreach, covert payments as needed).
Training Development $50K
[#19] Development of SOPs and training materials for anomalous software/virtual-dimension events (one-time development).
Decommissioning $50K
[#25] Formal demobilization costs after neutralization (shutdown, destruction/safekeeping of images, staff reassignment, record sealing).
Evidence Transport $25K
[#9] Secure courier transport, initial climate-controlled evidence vault storage and forensic imaging (one-time portion).
Extraction Transport $25K
[#17] Covert extraction and transport of PoI to secure facility (sedation, medical support, travel).
Archival Setup $10K
[#18] Secure archival/documentation setup (physical/digital secure logging and backups initial setup).
Insurance Setup $5K
[#24] One-time internal audit/accounting setup and insurance-like write-off procedures to mask anomalous asset disposition.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $2.0M/yr
Staff Wages $1.4M/yr
[#1, #7, #12] Burdened wages for 3 analysts (~$300k), research team (4 researchers + 2 technicians ≈ $720k), and security guards (8 × $50k ≈ $400k).
Medical Care Long Term $250K/yr
[#5] Annualized specialized outpatient/long-term monitoring and care for affected long-term patients (~$250k/yr per patient; budgeted for one patient).
Research And Monitoring $170K/yr
[#1, #20, #21, #18, #19] Compute/crawling/archive retention ($15k), red-team/memetic modeling ($75k), URL/darknet monitoring ($60k), archival maintenance ($5k), and periodic training refreshers ($15k).
Long Term Rehabilitation $75K/yr
[#6] Ongoing physiotherapy and neurorehabilitation for affected personnel (budgeted average severity for one patient).
Facilities Maintenance $35K/yr
[#11] Energy, cooling and datacenter costs for persistent simulation/virtualization nodes and small facilities maintenance.
Psychological Care $25K/yr
[#23] Counseling and memetic-exposure follow-up for staff (PTSD care, debriefing, replacements coverage).
Logistics And Transport $10K/yr
[#9] Ongoing secure evidence vault storage and courier logistics (recurring portion).
Cover Story And Legal $3K/yr
[#24] Ongoing audits/accounting and minimal legal maintenance to mask budget anomalies.
Supplies And Consumables $0/yr
[]
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $2.0M/yr
85.0% probability / year
Normal, uneventful year with only routine monitoring, research staffing, and upkeep.
no re-hosting no new exposures routine audits
🚨 Minor Incident $2.1M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$150K vs baseline
A re-hosted copy or small-scale accidental execution resulting in a handful of exposures or public attention.
site reupload single-person execution localized media mention
🚨 Major Breach $3.5M/yr
4.0% probability / year +$1.5M vs baseline
Significant reappearance or exposure requiring raid, large medical/legal response, and remediation.
discovery of active server farm multiple-person exposure public leak requiring settlements
🚨 Catastrophic Breach $7.0M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$5.0M vs baseline
Large-scale or mass-exposure event (mass uploads or coordinated executions) requiring extensive emergency response, long-term care, and large settlements.
mass re-distribution coordinated executions national/media exposure
👥 Personnel 17 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 8 [#7] 2 guards per shift (24/7) → ~6–8 FTEs; budgeted as 8 guards.
Research Scientist 4 [#12] Multi-disciplinary research team (4 researchers) as specified.
Technician 2 [#12] 2 technicians supporting research operations.
Analyst / Threat Intel 3 [#1] 3 analysts for ongoing monitoring, OSINT and backlog analysis.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates are based directly on analyst line-item figures but require assumptions about counts (patients, security scale) and incident probabilities; neutralized status reduces near-term risk but uncertainties in legal/compensation outcomes and unknown scale of potential re-uploads lower confidence.
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