SCP-5515 Unknown ~ medium confidence
SCP-5515
Expected annual
$760K
One-time setup
$1.1M
Annual recurring
$715K
Personnel
12
One-time containment, relocation, and research expenses are estimated at $1,105,000 driven primarily by facility fit-out, initial research, monitoring equipment, and relocation/amnestic costs; recurring annual costs are estimated at $715,000 driven by security wages, ongoing research/monitoring, staff care, lost productivity, and administrative overhead.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $1.1M
Initial Research And Lab Setup $300K
[#8] Initial targeted research program to study mechanism and mitigation (lab time, equipment, researcher/technician start-up costs).
Facilities $200K
[#1] Construction of a secure visual-isolation cell (opaque walls/doors, vestibule airlock, secure restraint fittings, fail-safe lighting, HVAC mods, anti-self-harm fixtures).
Subject Neutralization Relocation $150K
[#14] Relocation/resettlement package for subject (immigration/legal counsel, travel, housing, stipend, identity/security services).
Equipment $120K
[#2] Non-visual monitoring hardware (audio, thermal/IR, LIDAR/depth), secure servers, and integration work.
Amnestic Administration $75K
[#7] Selective amnestic courses and medical oversight for multiple personnel/subject at neutralization (drug acquisition, administration, monitoring).
Legal Cover One Time $60K
[#13] One-time legal/cover-story costs for public-facing neutralization and associated concealment actions.
Incident Emergency Reserve One Time $50K
[#16] Emergency reserve for sudden sedation/medical evacuation/forensic response (one-time reserve set-aside).
Staff Mental Health Initial $30K
[#6] Initial counseling/therapy for affected staff (example: 10staff × 20 sessions × $150/session).
Secure Transport One Event $25K
[#3] Secure, non-visual transfer logistics (domestic/intermediate transport estimate for a single major transfer event).
Data Archive Setup $25K
[#9] Secure archive setup (classified/air-gapped drives, encryption, secure print/archival).
Medical Intake And Stabilization $15K
[#5] Initial intake medicals, psychiatric evaluation, stabilization and intake medical costs.
Training Sop Development Initial $15K
[#10] SOP development and initial training on no-visual-contact procedures, emergency response, and documentation.
Ethical Oversight One Time $15K
[#19] Independent ethical/legal review and human-rights mitigation audits (one-time reviews, consultation fees).
Archival Disposition $12K
[#20] Administrative close-out and secure archiving/sanitization costs at termination.
Ppe Initial $8K
[#11] Initial blindfolds/opaque face shields, secure restraints, sedation supplies and disposable medical PPE/equipment purchases.
Travel Quarantine One Time $5K
[#15] Travel/quarantine/testing costs associated with relocation (PCR, quarantine housing) for the relocation event.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $715K/yr
Staff Wages $270K/yr
[#4] Dedicated security staffing: 6guards on rotation at ~$45,000/yr each (base wages; overhead handled separately).
Research And Monitoring $130K/yr
[#8, #2, #18] Ongoing research staff and lab time (~$100k/yr) plus non-visual monitoring maintenance/software updates and routine post-neutralization monitoring (~$10k + $20k/yr).
Administrative Overhead $111K/yr
[#12] HR/payroll/insurance/benefits and organizational overhead applied to recurring personnel/equipment costs (~30% applied to recurring wages and research payroll).
Lost Productivity $100K/yr
[#17] Lost workdays, reassignment costs, and temporary replacements due to mental-fatigue/intrusive thoughts among staff.
Staff Mental Health Recurring $35K/yr
[#6] Ongoing counseling, EAP services, monitoring, and follow-up therapy for affected staff.
Facilities Maintenance $20K/yr
[#1] Ongoing upkeep of visual-isolation cell, HVAC, lighting-control fail-safes, and structural maintenance.
Data Handling And Moderation $20K/yr
[#9] Labor and operations for secure redaction, handling, and classified-data moderation/archiving.
Supplies And Consumables $8K/yr
[#11] Consumables and PPE replacements, disposable medical supplies, sedation consumables.
Training Refreshers $6K/yr
[#10] Annual refresher training and drills for personnel on cognitive-hazard protocols.
Logistics And Transport $5K/yr
[#3] Routine logistics and minor transport costs (does not include major single-event transfers which are budgeted one-time).
Cover Story And Legal $5K/yr
[#13] Ongoing small retainer for legal/PR maintenance if needed (major cover operations are one-time/contingent).
Ethical Oversight Recurring $5K/yr
[#19] Ongoing legal/ethical oversight and periodic reviews/audits (smaller recurring budget for continued compliance).
Incident Emergency Reserve Replenishment $0/yr
[#16] Annual replenishment not assumed in baseline; emergency reserve treated as one-time set-aside unless expended.
Long Term Containment Estimate $0/yr
[#21] Contingent estimate for indefinite high-security containment (1–3M/yr) not included in baseline recurring; captured as a scenario below.
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $715K/yr
92.0% probability / year
Normal uneventful year after neutralization with routine monitoring, staffing, and research continuing.
no incidents routine monitoring standard staff turnover
🚨 Minor Incident $790K/yr
6.0% probability / year +$75K vs baseline
Isolated incident requiring incident response: temporary medical interventions, limited legal/PR action, one major transfer or overtime-heavy response.
single containment/medical incident emergency transfer limited legal/forensic response
🚨 Major Breach Or Indefinite Containment $2.7M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$2.0M vs baseline
Neutralization fails or long-term high-security cognitive containment is required, necessitating full dedicated facility and specialized staff.
neutralization failure need for permanent high-security cognitive containment large-scale research and medical operations
👥 Personnel 12 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 6 [#4] Six guards on rotation providing 24/7 coverage with specialized training to avoid visual contact.
Research Scientist 2 [#8] Research staff conducting mitigation/mechanism studies (part of recurring research budget).
Research Technician 1 [#8] Technical support for lab work and equipment calibration (IR/thermal, LIDAR).
Medical Officer 1 [#5, #7] Medical oversight for intake, ongoing care, sedation/amnestic administration.
Mental Health Counselor / Therapist 1 [#6] Ongoing counseling and support for staff affected by intrusive thoughts.
Administrative Staff 1 [#9, #12] HR/payroll/records and secure-data handling coordination; overhead applied in budget.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed itemized ranges and a historical neutralization event, allowing reasonably informed point estimates; several items still have wide ranges (e.g., amnestic totals, relocation scope, lost productivity, long-term containment), so confidence is not high.
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