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SCP-5523 Unknown ~ medium confidence
SCP-5523
Expected annual
$5.9M
One-time setup
$16.4M
Annual recurring
$5.7M
Personnel
11
Initial capital for a single 100 km² cordon is estimated at $16,360,000, driven mainly by land easements/purchase, major laboratory upgrades, and optional aircraft purchase. Annual operating costs are estimated at $5,730,000/yr, driven by staffing, administration, legal/PR, monitoring, and contingency/top-up costs.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $16.4M
Land Acquisition And Easements $5.0M
[#18] Land access negotiations, easements or purchase for a 10,000 ha / 100 km² program (one-time capital, conservative lower-bound selected).
Aircraft Purchase $5.0M
[#23] Option to purchase helicopter/fixed-wing aircraft (capital purchase option included).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $3.3M
[#8, #9] Field research station / biosecure field lab ($275k) and main research facility upgrade / instrumentation ($3,000k).
Facilities $1.2M
[#1] Perimeter fencing construction for a single 100 km² cordon (~40 km perimeter).
Contingency Reserve Seed $1.0M
[#30] Seed contingency / emergency reserve fund (one-time).
Equipment $330K
[#4, #6, #13] Sensor network installation ($50k), drone fleet purchase ($100k), vehicles & ATVs purchase ($180k).
Data Infrastructure $325K
[#27] Hardened servers, encrypted comms, satellite terminals and redundancy (one-time capital).
Remote Power Systems $140K
[#15] Remote power systems (solar + batteries + backup generator) one-time capital.
Personnel Vetting Initial $40K
[#29] Initial personnel vetting (~$2k/person for ~20 persons) one-time.
Cold Storage Freezers $25K
[#12] -80°C freezers and LN2 storage capital cost (one-time).
Signage And Roadblocks $25K
[#17] Public safety signage, roadblocks and trail closure one-time installation costs.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $5.7M/yr
Staff Wages $900K/yr
[#3, #10] Site security staff (~7 guards incl. benefits) and research personnel (4 specialists at ~$120k all-in).
Administration And Program Management $900K/yr
[#26] Containment policy, oversight bureaucracy, program managers and travel ($300k–$1.5M/yr).
Cover Story And Legal $500K/yr
[#20, #21] Legal/regulatory counsel and cover-story management (~$300k/yr) plus PR/misinformation & outreach (~$200k/yr).
Incident Response Team $500K/yr
[#22] Maintain rapid-response team (training, equipment, readiness; $300k–$1M/yr range). Activation per-call costs treated in scenarios.
Contingency Reserve Topup $500K/yr
[#30] Annual replenishment of contingency / emergency reserve (~$500k/yr assumed minimal top-up).
Restoration And Active Management $500K/yr
[#31] Active interventions to limit spread, sapling removal, mechanical barriers (~$50k–$1M/yr; midpoint used).
International Coordination $500K/yr
[#32] Coordination, translation, diplomacy and contracting across jurisdictions (~$100k–$2M/yr).
Research And Monitoring $475K/yr
[#24, #25] Analytical lab consumables / external testing (~$175k/yr) and long-term ecological monitoring (~$300k/yr).
Logistics And Transport $280K/yr
[#7, #14, #23] Drone operation & pilots (~$100k/yr), vehicle operations/fuel (~$55k/yr), and modest helicopter charter (~$125k/yr).
Data Hosting And Cybersecurity $150K/yr
[#28] Ongoing SOC, backups, licenses and intrusion detection ($50k–$250k/yr).
Personnel Support And Insurance $110K/yr
[#29] Ongoing vetting / training / EAP / insurance for staff (~$3k–8k/person/yr; scaled to ~20-person program).
Land Use Payments $100K/yr
[#19] Ongoing land-use payments / community compensation (~1% of initial land cost/yr; conservative lower-bound used).
Skeletal Site Monitoring $100K/yr
[#33] Long-term sequestration and monitoring of skeletal sites (~$25k–$200k/yr; midpoint used).
Facilities Maintenance $60K/yr
[#2] Perimeter fence maintenance and repairs (~5% of construction cost/yr).
Sensor Connectivity And Data $60K/yr
[#5] Cellular/satellite subscriptions, data ingestion, storage and edge compute ($20–100k/yr; midpoint used).
Supplies And Consumables $50K/yr
[#11] Veterinary/necropsy consumables, PPE, sample vials and cold-chain supplies.
Generator And Power Maintenance $35K/yr
[#16] Generator fuel, battery replacement cycles, inverter maintenance ($10k–$60k/yr).
Cold Storage Power And Maintenance $10K/yr
[#12] Electricity & maintenance for freezers and LN2 handling (~$5k–$15k/yr; midpoint used).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $5.7M/yr
78.0% probability / year
Normal year with routine monitoring, maintenance, and operations only.
routine_maintenance scheduled_monitoring no_major_incidents
🚨 Minor Incident $6.1M/yr
20.0% probability / year +$400K vs baseline
Localized mass mortality or illicit intrusion requiring activation of response team and elevated lab/testing/restoration.
localized_mass_mortality illegal_intrusion small_scale_public_exposure
🚨 Major Breach $10.7M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$5.0M vs baseline
Large-scale spread, major public exposure or multi-site legal/operational emergency requiring mass remediation and international coordination.
widespread_spread national_public_exposure major_litigation_or_diplomatic_crisis
👥 Personnel 11 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 7 [#3] 24/7 coverage with mobile patrols and gate attendants; ~7 guards to cover shifts (wages/benefits included in staff_wages).
Research Scientist 4 [#10] Ecologists, botanists, veterinary pathologists; ~4 specialists per regional program (salaries included in staff_wages).
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line-item ranges allowing midpoint estimates, but major drivers (land acquisition, frequency of incidents, and whether aircraft are purchased) are highly variable, so overall confidence is medium.
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