SCP-5585 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-5585
Expected annual
$6.9M
One-time setup
$19.8M
Annual recurring
$6.6M
Personnel
31
Initial one-time capital, site hardening, custom suits and R&D are the main cost drivers (~$19.8M one-time). Annual operations (staff, R&D, maintenance, contingencies) run roughly $6.6M/yr, with risks of episodic escalations.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $19.8M
Facilities $7.5M
[#1, #2, #14, #15] Purchase of the Salem estate and physical site works: estate acquisition (#1), provisional perimeter construction and hardening (#2), site power installation components and generator installation portion (#14), and initial hardened communications route installation (#15).
Equipment $4.7M
[#4, #6, #16, #19] Capital hardware purchases: Force-Euclidean Hazard Suits (#4), specialized mapping hardware primary hardware (#6), secure data storage hardware and archival systems (#16), and vehicle purchases (#19).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $4.1M
[#7, #12, #17, #25, #26] Research program and lab buildout: R&D program setup for mapping/sensors (#7), BSL-3 laboratory buildout (#12), initial training program setup (#17), specialized sensor R&D program setup (#25), and initial records digitization and archival systems (#26).
Containment Cell And Field Rigs $1.0M
[#20] Prototype containment/capture systems for SCP-5585-1 study (field generators, light/field rigs, phased grids) including engineering/prototyping costs.
Contingency $1.0M
[#30] Miscellaneous one-time contingency / escalation buffer for unforeseen capital or anomalous failures during initial setup.
Airlock And Manipulator Bay $750K
[#3] Front-door airlock, shielded observation suite and manipulator bay (full antechamber + remote manipulator hardware installation).
Incident Casualty Reserve $500K
[#22] One-time incident casualty reserve to seed insurance/compensation pool for deaths/disappearances and initial settlement funds.
Cover Story Setup $200K
[#23] One-time legal/cover story setup, local coordination, initial covert payments and record adjustments.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $6.6M/yr
Staff Wages $2.5M/yr
[#8, #9, #10] Ongoing salaries + benefits: on-site security guards (#8), tactical/response team & leadership (#9), research staff, technicians and site admin salaries (#10).
Research And Monitoring $1.7M/yr
[#7, #20, #24, #25, #26, #29] Continuing R&D and monitoring: ongoing mapping R&D and experiments (#7), containment testing and prototype power/testing costs (#20), long-term theoretical research contracts (#24), specialized sensor upgrades/testing (#25), records archival operations (#26), and psychological/behavioral studies (#29).
Facilities Maintenance $570K/yr
[#12, #14, #15, #16, #27, #28] Annual facility and infrastructure upkeep: BSL-3 operations/maintenance (#12), generator fuel/maintenance (#14), communications maintenance (#15), data backup/archival operations (#16), perimeter landscaping/camouflage maintenance (#27), and structural monitoring/repair contingency (#28).
Emergency Response Fund $500K/yr
[#21] Dedicated high-risk retrieval / emergency response contingency fund for breaches, rescue sorties and rapid contractor procurement (#21).
Insurance And Compensation $300K/yr
[#22] Annual insurance premiums, life/compensation top-ups and budgeted replacement hiring after losses (#22).
Fehs Maintenance $250K/yr
[#5] Maintenance, consumables, certified overhauls and spare parts for Force-Euclidean Hazard Suits (#5).
Escalation Buffer $250K/yr
[#30] Miscellaneous recurring overhead and escalation buffer for accelerated replacement, contractor surges, or rapid scale-up (#30).
Supplies And Consumables $200K/yr
[#6, #13, #18] Consumables and disposables: tether/beacon replacements and mapping consumables (#6), sample storage/cold chain and hazardous waste disposal contracts (#13), PPE/suit filters/batteries/sampling kits (#18).
Medical Services $190K/yr
[#11] On-site medical, emergency and psychological services, counseling and emergency supplies (#11).
Cover Story And Legal $100K/yr
[#23] Ongoing legal/cover story, local coordination, covert PR and liaison costs (#23).
Logistics And Transport $25K/yr
[#19] Vehicle maintenance, fuel and insurance for armored/secure transport and on-site utility vehicles (#19).
Training And Simulation $25K/yr
[#17] Annual refresher training, simulator time and supervised entry runs for FEHS operators and mapping crews (#17).
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $6.6M/yr
81.0% probability / year
Normal operational year without major incidents; routine maintenance, scheduled R&D and staff operations.
routine_operations scheduled_research no_major_incidents
🚨 Minor Incident $6.9M/yr
15.0% probability / year +$300K vs baseline
Localized equipment/sensor failures, one or two FEHS suit failures, small structural repairs or consumable losses requiring mid-size replacements.
suit_failure sensor_loss localized_structural_damage
🚨 Major Breach $11.6M/yr
3.0% probability / year +$5.0M vs baseline
Significant containment breach or catastrophic equipment failure resulting in major repairs, large-scale recovery operations, casualty payouts and external consultants.
personnel_loss major_structural_damage widespread_equipment_loss
🚨 Research Breakthrough Requiring Scale Up $16.6M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$10.0M vs baseline
Discovery or emergent behavior forces rapid scale-up to full Site-level containment and major capital expansion/R&D scale-up in a single year.
emergent_dangerous_behavior decision_to_scale_up major_research_findings
👥 Personnel 31 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 16 [#8] 24/7 perimeter and internal security coverage (three shifts, vacations and training).
Tactical Response Operator 4 [#9] Tactical/response team (3 operators + 1 lead) with higher pay and specialized allowances.
Research Scientist 5 [#10] Principal investigator (Dr. Breen) + 4 researchers conducting mapping and theoretical studies.
Technician 4 [#10] Four technicians supporting research, suits, and on-site experiments.
Administrative Staff / Site Admin 1 [#10] Site administrative support for operations and coordination.
Medical Officer 1 [#11] On-site medic/EMT and psychological support coordination (medical services budgeted separately).
📋 Confidence Notes
Line items and unit estimates are explicitly provided by analyst notes, giving reasonable granularity, but the anomalous nature of SCP-5585 (unpredictable spatial/temporal effects and iterative R&D failures) creates material upside risk to both capital and recurring estimates.
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