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SCP-5586 Keter ~ medium confidence
SCP-5586
Expected annual
$112.9M
One-time setup
$22.1M
Annual recurring
$109.6M
Personnel
50
Initial capital outlays are dominated by specialized containment chambers, laboratory buildouts, incineration and toxicology facilities and imaging equipment (~$22.2M one-time). Recurring annual costs are driven by a large R&D program to develop Procedure 5586-Revelation, specialized Visionary personnel payroll and global covert operations/contingency reserves (~$110M/yr).
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $22.1M
Equipment $9.1M
[#2, #7, #9, #10, #19, #22] Includes backup power/UPS and redundancy (~$225k), fMRI/MRI scanner hardware and installation (~$6.0M), clearing-kit initial stockpile (~$275k), countermemetic IT & censoring initial development (~$1.25M), PPE/visual-shield fleet procurement (~$125k), and secure-communications/dev tooling (~$400k).
Facilities $7.7M
[#1, #11, #12, #13, #20] Includes one Cognitohazard chamber retrofit/construct (~$2.75M), long-term patient suite buildout for 10 suites (~$1.0M), toxic/hazardous incinerator structural/installation (~$0.9M), toxicology lab buildout (~$3.0M), and controlled greenhouse establishment (~$50k).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $3.6M
[#13, #30] Research instrumentation and study startup: toxicology/analytical instrument purchases and initial research study/strategic planning one-time costs (~$3.0M + $625k).
Visionary Vetting $900K
[#3] One-time vetting/recruitment screening costs for initial Visionary staffing (estimated ~$20–40k per individual × ~30 hires).
Visionary Creation $825K
[#4] One-time surgical/prosthesis/training creation cost if used to produce additional 5586-Visionary personnel (midpoint of $0.4–1.25M for a 50-person program).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $109.6M/yr
Research And Monitoring $38.9M/yr
[#6, #7, #13, #24, #30] Primary multi-year R&D (Procedure 5586-Revelation) annualized midline (~$36M/yr), fMRI maintenance/study budgets (~$600k/yr), toxicology lab ops (~$300k/yr), epidemiological/cultural monitoring (~$1.75M/yr), and recurring strategic-planning updates (~$250k/yr).
Contingency Reserve $25.0M/yr
[#23] Liquid contingency reserve funding to respond to rapid escalations, cross-site evacuations, or AK-class developments (midline reserve).
Cover Story And Legal $20.0M/yr
[#17] Baseline annual reserve for legal, PR, and cover-up operations and legal counsel for foreseeable incidents (midline reserve).
Staff Wages $7.0M/yr
[#3, #5, #7] Salaries/premium pay for ~30 specialized Visionary staff (~$3.75M) plus ~20-person rapid-response Visionary force (~$3.0M) and radiography/technical staff (~$300k).
International Liaison $5.0M/yr
[#27] Covert payments, foreign clinic/partner payments, and covert operations support for overseas interventions.
Field Surveillance $3.0M/yr
[#16] HUMINT networks, field informants, and regional detection programs (mid-scale global program estimate).
Amnestic Program $2.1M/yr
[#8] Class-C amnestic production, storage, administration and monitoring (treating ~1,000 individuals/year midpoint).
Long Term Patient Care $1.8M/yr
[#11] Ongoing staffing, care, and monitoring for ~10 level-4 countermemetic isolation patients (midpoint ~$1.75M/yr).
Training And Exercises $1.0M/yr
[#18] Ongoing training, tabletop and live drills for Visionary guards, field teams, and containment site staff (multi-site program midline).
Mass Amnestics Readiness $1.0M/yr
[#21] Annual readiness/reserve for scalable mass-amnestic deployment logistics and stockpiles (capability maintenance).
Logistics And Transport $950K/yr
[#5, #22] Travel, staging and per-raid average operational logistics (average raids/year) and operational comms logistics for Visionary field teams.
Mortuary Contingency $750K/yr
[#15] Annualized contingency for covert mortuary processing, forensic cleanup and stock for incident response.
Personnel Replacement Fund $625K/yr
[#26] Annual reserve to replace Visionary personnel lost to attrition, disability, or mortality and maintain recruitment pipeline.
Public Health Coordination $500K/yr
[#28] Baseline readiness to coordinate/divert civilian public-health responses in outbreak scenarios.
Facilities Maintenance $395K/yr
[#1, #2, #12] Annual maintenance and inspection for Cognitohazard chambers (~$150–300k midpoint), backup power/HVAC upkeep (~$30–60k), and incinerator operational upkeep (~$125k).
Medical Services $350K/yr
[#14] Routine medical/psychiatric services, counseling and dedicated mental-health program support for exposed personnel.
Toxicology Lab Ops $300K/yr
[#13] Consumables, animal-model maintenance, PPE, and specialist salaries for toxicology/atmospheric analysis.
Countermemetic It Operations $275K/yr
[#10, #22] Ongoing operations, threat intelligence, and operations staff maintaining countermemetic IT, content filters and censoring infrastructure.
Secure Storage $188K/yr
[#25] Classified transport, sealed archives, guarded transfers and redaction/logistics for sensitive physical media.
Red Team Testing $150K/yr
[#29] Independent countermemetic red-team audits and penetration testing of Visionary-only controls and containment.
Hazardous Disposal Ops $125K/yr
[#12] Annual operations, permits, and emissions mitigation for incineration/disposal facilities.
Communications Ops $100K/yr
[#22] Operations and maintenance for Visionary-safe communications systems.
Supplies And Consumables $80K/yr
[#7, #9, #19] Per-scan consumables and operational consumables for fMRI studies, clearing-kit consumables replacement, and PPE replacement.
Clearing Kit Restock $30K/yr
[#9] Annual replacement/consumables for Clearing Kits distributed to chambers and field teams.
Botanical Program $2K/yr
[#20] Ongoing maintenance and testing supplies for Syrian rhubarb propagation and controlled greenhouse testing.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $109.6M/yr
86.5% probability / year
Normal operational year with ongoing R&D, routine detections, and no major public breaches.
no major outbreak scheduled research activity routine field operations
🚨 Minor Incident $112.6M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$3.0M vs baseline
Localized cult discovery requiring multiple raids, several containment/amnestic operations, and a small cover-up.
localized outbreak multiple field raids small public exposure requiring cover-up
🚨 Major Breach $159.6M/yr
3.0% probability / year +$50.0M vs baseline
Significant uncontrolled outbreak / larger cult resurgence requiring mass-amnestic deployment, emergency patient care and substantial cover operations.
large public ritual/exposure failure of local containment mass casualties or high-profile media attention
🚨 Catastrophic Breach $409.6M/yr
0.5% probability / year +$300.0M vs baseline
AK-class cascading memetic spread requiring global suppression, emergency R&D scale-up, repeated mass amnestic operations and full contingency deployment.
widespread rediscovery rapid memetic transmission simultaneous multi-region outbreaks
👥 Personnel 50 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 20 [#5, #3] Visionary-trained guards and 20-person rapid response force; salaries included in staff_wages.
Research Scientist 15 [#3, #6] Senior researchers working on monitoring and Procedure 5586-Revelation; premium pay accounted in staff_wages and R&D budgets.
Technician / Radiographer 5 [#7] fMRI/MRI operators and lab technicians supporting identification protocols; salaries included in staff_wages and research budgets.
Medical Officer 5 [#4, #8, #14] Medical staff for Visionary creation, amnestic administration, and ongoing clinical care; costs partly in medical_services and one-time surgical creation.
Administrative Staff 5 [#25, #26] Admin, logistics and program management supporting classified transport, personnel replacement and liaison operations.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes are comprehensive and provide ranges for most major items, enabling reasonable midline estimates; however many items (R&D success, contingency reserve sizing, incidence rates) remain highly uncertain, producing medium confidence.
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