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SCP-5650 Unknown ~ medium confidence
SCP-5650
Expected annual
$3.6M
One-time setup
$1.9M
Annual recurring
$3.5M
Personnel
8
Baseline one-time setup roughly $1.9M driven by specialized equipment, HPC, lab buildout and incineration; annual operations roughly $3.48M driven by staff salaries, cover/legal/academic influence operations, contingency reserves, and maintenance.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $1.9M
Equipment $1.6M
[#3, #5, #6, #7, #8, #9, #22] Purchase of walk-in refrigeration, two precision cutting rigs, imaging/CT hardware, air-gapped HPC hardware, secure archival hardware, incinerator + scrubber, and initial secure comms hardware. Estimates are midpoints of provided ranges.
Facilities $288K
[#4, #13] Lab/wet-room buildout and one-time secure-room/security upgrades for containment and controlled ventilation; subtotal reflects midpoint estimates for construction/modification and secure-room upgrades.
Initial Vetting $60K
[#14] Initial background checks/clearances for ~10-person program (initial per-person costs aggregated).
Book Acquisition $20K
[#19] One-time purchase/forensic/conservation costs for 'Angles of Salmon' copies; midpoint of provided range.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $0
[]
Long Term Research Escalation Capital $0
[#25] Contingency scaling capital (1–5M) is not included in baseline one-time build; costed only in escalation scenario.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $3.5M/yr
Staff Wages $1.3M/yr
[#12] Salaries + benefits for core research team (1 senior mathematician, 2 mathematicians, 1 computational scientist, 1 culinary scientist, 2 lab technicians, 1 project manager). Midpoint of provided range.
Cover Story And Legal $825K/yr
[#16, #17, #18] Legal suppression, academic influence, covert institute/fellowship costs, and active monitoring/censorship/memetic mitigation; combined midrange of provided ranges to reflect ongoing covert influence program.
Emergency Contingency Fund $600K/yr
[#20] Annual reserve/red-team/rapid-response fund for accidental dissemination, replication attempts, or emergent derivative methods; midpoint of provided range.
Security And Access Control $250K/yr
[#13] Recurring security personnel/equipment/operations (guards, CCTV, tamper detection, training). Midpoint of provided range.
Facilities Maintenance $191K/yr
[#3, #6, #9, #11] Annual maintenance/calibration and facility service contracts: walk-in refrigeration maintenance, imaging calibration, incinerator fuel/monitoring contributions, and general routine maintenance (8–15% equipment capital used as basis).
Research And Monitoring $109K/yr
[#7, #8, #19, #22] Annual software licenses/patching for HPC, secure archive storage/environmental controls, active book/edition monitoring, and secure communications/audit operations (recurring portion).
Utilities And Energy $60K/yr
[#23] Electricity and energy for HPC, refrigeration, incinerator, HVAC and climate control; midpoint estimate.
Supplies And Consumables $50K/yr
[#5, #10] Precision-cutter calibration consumables and routine PPE/food-handling consumables; midpoint totals.
Logistics And Transport $44K/yr
[#2, #21] Cold-chain refrigerated courier service and cover logistics plus covert travel/outreach and conference operations; combined midpoint estimates.
Background Checks $15K/yr
[#14] Recurring periodic reinvestigations and vetting costs for access personnel (per-year aggregated midpoint for ~10 people).
Environmental And Regulatory $15K/yr
[#24] Periodic environmental testing and regulatory compliance budgeting (recurring monitoring/legal readiness).
Biohazard Disposal $12K/yr
[#9] Fuel and emissions monitoring costs for on-site incineration and biohazard disposal (recurring).
Medical Surveillance $12K/yr
[#15] Occupational medical surveillance, vaccinations, and periodic testing; midpoint of provided range.
Salmon Procurement $1K/yr
[#1] Monthly 5 kg salmon procurement (food/safety testing); midpoint of provided monthly range.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $3.5M/yr
91.0% probability / year
Uneventful operational year with routine research, maintenance, cover operations, and reserves; no major incidents or scaling actions.
normal_research_activity no_breach no_scaleup
🚨 Minor Incident $3.7M/yr
6.0% probability / year +$200K vs baseline
Localized contamination or lab incident requiring medical response, targeted containment, extra testing, and use of contingency funds.
foodborne_contamination localized_release minor_regulatory_attention
🚨 Containment Breach $4.7M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$1.2M vs baseline
Significant containment failure or public exposure triggering large emergency response, regulatory/legal costs, replacement capital and major misinformation campaign.
public_exposure regulatory_investigation large_scale_replication_attempt
🚨 Research Breakthrough Requiring Scale Up $7.5M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$4.0M vs baseline
Decision to scale research following a breakthrough — includes initial capital for fabrication/facility expansion plus elevated ongoing operational costs in the year of scale-up.
derivative_method_scalable O5_directive_to_scale strategic_material_production
👥 Personnel 8 total
Role Count Notes
Senior Mathematician / Theorist 1 [#12] Lead researcher responsible for conceptual oversight.
Mathematician / Geometer 2 [#12] Research staff for theoretical work and derivation.
Computational Scientist 1 [#12] HPC/algorithm development and computational experiments.
Culinary Scientist / Food Technologist 1 [#12] Food-handling expertise, taste-testing protocols, and safety.
Lab Technician 2 [#12] Wet-lab operations, cutting rigs operation, sample prep and disposal.
Project Manager 1 [#12] Program management, reporting, and coordination with security/legal.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line-item ranges allowing midpoint aggregation, but many items (academic influence, contingency usage, escalation decisions) are policy-dependent and highly variable; estimates use midpoints and reasonable allocations — hence medium confidence.
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