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SCP-5679 Unknown ? low confidence
SCP-5679
Expected annual
$2.8M
One-time setup
$10.8M
Annual recurring
$2.3M
Personnel
4
One-time program/setup costs are dominated by a worst-case contingency reserve and occasional vessel acquisition/decommissioning (~$10.8M). Recurring annual costs are dominated by monitoring staff, research programs and logistics (approx $2.26M/year).
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $10.8M
Worst Case Reserve $10.0M
[#24] Reserved contingency fund for worst-case large-vessel / politically-sensitive incidents.
Vessel Acquisition $250K
[#4] Purchase/forced acquisition of an affected vessel (representative small-medium case selected from ranges in note #4).
Decommissioning And Disposal $250K
[#11] Decommissioning, surveys, tow to scrapper, hazardous waste disposal (one-time per vessel).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $120K
[#3, #18] Initial monitoring/integration/software setup ($20k–$100k) and initial sea-operations/boarding training courses (#18) as one-time setup costs.
Equipment $107K
[#1, #6, #15, #19] Ruggedized GPS tracker hardware and implantation (#1), unmanned monitoring hardware/installation (#6), remote-deterrent installs (#15), initial spare trackers (#19).
Legal And Regulatory One Time $50K
[#12] One-time legal/registration fees, flag/ownership paperwork and initial counsel related to acquisition/cover.
Pr And Documentation One Time $20K
[#16] Per-incident archival/document fabrication / initial PR/legal cover story creation costs.
Facilities $0
[]
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $2.3M/yr
Research And Monitoring $750K/yr
[#8, #17, #21] Veterinary/animal-behaviour research programs (#8), long-term containment/neutralization research (#17), and dedicated intelligence/archival analysis budgets (#21).
Logistics And Transport $420K/yr
[#9, #13, #14, #5] Interim manning costs for crewed deployments (#5), interdiction/rapid-response deployments (#9), port/berthing/pilotage fees (#13) and fuel/provisioning while vessels are manned (#14).
Staff Wages $400K/yr
[#3, #21, #20] Monitoring/operations analysts and routine program staff to run 24/7 monitoring dashboards, incident review and coordination.
Administrative Overhead $295K/yr
[#20] Program management, accounting and procurement overhead (15% of direct recurring program costs).
Cover Story And Legal $195K/yr
[#12, #16, #23] Recurring insurance premiums/legal retainers and ongoing PR/cover operations (#12, #16) and routine diplomatic/political engagement contingency budgeting (#23).
Salvage And Environmental Response $100K/yr
[#10, #22] Annualized small-to-medium salvage and environmental mitigation / hazard mitigation for sinkings and nearby affected vessels.
Security And Anti Interference $40K/yr
[#15] Contracted security retainer, remote deterrent maintenance and anti-salvage/anti-interference measures while vessels are unmanned.
Contingency Reimplant And Spares $25K/yr
[#19] Yearly contingency for tracker replacements and occasional re-implantation operations (spares + field ops).
Training And Certification Recurring $20K/yr
[#18] Annual refresher training and certification costs for sea operations, boarding teams and HAZMAT recertification.
Supplies And Consumables $15K/yr
[#7, #2] Consumable feeding (tinned tuna) and sedation supplies (#7) plus telemetry/data subscription uplink (#2) and minor consumables.
Facilities Maintenance $0/yr
[]
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $2.3M/yr
74.0% probability / year
Normal year with continuous tracking, routine research, one typical manifestation managed at small/medium scale and no major incidents.
routine_tracking scheduled_manning_cycle no_unexpected_breach
🚨 Minor Incident $2.6M/yr
25.0% probability / year +$300K vs baseline
Unexpected demanifest or early manifestation requiring additional interdiction, salvage and one-off vessel acquisition or emergency operations.
unexpected_demanifest rapid_response_deployment minor_salvage
🚨 Major Breach $52.3M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$50.0M vs baseline
Manifestation on a large/commercial/military vessel requiring large-scale acquisition, salvage, diplomatic settlements and high-level political mitigation.
large_vessel_manifest international_diplomatic_crisis major_salvage_operation
👥 Personnel 4 total
Role Count Notes
Monitoring Analyst / GPS Operator 4 Four 24/7 monitoring/operations analysts (covered by staff_wages recurring budget).
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates are order-of-magnitude: vessel values, salvage scale, and diplomacy drive most uncertainty. Historical incidence is sparse and per-incident costs span several orders of magnitude, so confidence is low.
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