SCP-5748 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-5748
Expected annual
$6.7M
One-time setup
$8.9M
Annual recurring
$6.6M
Personnel
18
Initial one-time capital costs are substantial (approximately $8.9M) driven by hardened vault construction, redundant backup facility, specialized destruction equipment and containment systems; annual recurring operating costs are large (roughly $6.6M/yr) driven by research programs, off-site redundancy staffing, security wages, and legal/cover operations.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $8.9M
Facilities $4.3M
[#1, #2, #20, #24] Construction and structural work: dedicated anomalous-item vault build-out, integrated HVAC/negative-pressure infrastructure hard-piping, emergency quarantine / mobile isolation ward setup, and duplicate off-site facility shell.
Equipment $2.8M
[#3, #4, #6, #7, #8, #17, #25, #26, #27] Installed hardware and systems: fixed gas-detection network, mobile negative-pressure transport trailer, PPE fleet, decontamination hardware, on-site neutralization unit, refrigerated/cryogenic specimen racks, AAC device stock, rapid-deploy incident kits, and IT/data-security hardware.
Insurance Reserve $1.0M
[#19] Initial insurance/indemnity reserve to cover large unexpected liabilities or settlement costs.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $575K
[#9] Forensic laboratory upgrade and initial scientific instrumentation (GC-MS/LC-MS access, fumehood modifications, NMR access fees and safe sample handling upgrades).
Clearances Initial $150K
[#18] Initial costs for background investigations and security clearances for key hires supporting containment operations.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $6.6M/yr
Research And Monitoring $2.4M/yr
[#3, #9, #22, #30] Calibration/analysis for gas-detection, forensic lab staffing/consumables, multi-year antidote/mitigation research program, and public-health surveillance/epidemiology liaison.
Offsite Backup Operations $1.0M/yr
[#24] Ongoing staffing and operational costs to maintain redundant off-site secure storage and duplicate capability.
Staff Wages $900K/yr
[#5] Armed security staffing and access control (24/7 staffing, multiple shifts, supervisors and overtime).
Cover Story And Legal $300K/yr
[#14] Legal, regulatory compliance, and cover-story management (legal teams, regulatory interfacing, record redaction coordination).
Emergency Medical Readiness $200K/yr
[#20] Mobile quarantine readiness, ICU preparedness, paramedic-level teams and readiness staffing costs.
Civilian Compensation Reserve $200K/yr
[#21] Annual reserve / expected amortized payouts for potential civilian compensation and long-term disability support.
Personnel Replacement And Overtime $200K/yr
[#28] Temporary hires, overtime and cross-training contingency in case staff exposures reduce available workforce.
Utilities And Energy $180K/yr
[#29] Continuous power, generator fuel and maintenance for negative-pressure systems, scrubbers, monitoring and refrigeration.
Supplies And Consumables $168K/yr
[#6, #7, #23, #17, #26, #25] PPE consumables/cartridges, decontamination consumables and waste disposal, hazardous waste contractor fees, sample storage recertification, incident-kit replenishment, and AAC device maintenance.
Public Relations And Misinformation $150K/yr
[#15] Media monitoring, rapid-response PR, paid commentary and small-scale misinformation operations to support cover stories.
Amnestic Stockpile And Administration $150K/yr
[#11] Stockpiling, production and qualified medical staff for amnestic administration and monitoring.
Logistics And Transport $125K/yr
[#4] Ongoing costs for transfers of SCP-5748-1 (fuel, escorts, overtime) estimated assuming multiple transfers per year.
Insurance Replenishment $100K/yr
[#19] Ongoing replenishment / contribution to indemnity reserves.
Personnel Clearance Retention $100K/yr
[#18] Retention premiums / bonuses for key cleared personnel to reduce insider risk.
Medical Monitoring And Long Term Care $100K/yr
[#10] Baseline medical monitoring, diagnostics and budgeted ongoing care / monitoring for staff exposures (excludes catastrophic long-term settlements).
Training And Drills $90K/yr
[#13] Annual specialized hazmat training, full-scale breach response drills and medical triage exercises.
It And Data Security $75K/yr
[#27] Ongoing audits, encrypted backups, air-gapped maintenance and secure communications upkeep.
Record Falsification And Admin $60K/yr
[#16] Administrative overhead, IT systems and staff time to maintain falsified medical and incident records.
Psychological Support $60K/yr
[#12] Counseling, rehabilitation and stress-management services for staff handling SCP-5748.
Facilities Maintenance $32K/yr
[#2] Maintenance and servicing of HVAC, scrubbers, negative-pressure systems and periodic certification / pressure-monitoring upkeep.
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $6.6M/yr
94.0% probability / year
Normal operational year with no major incidents; routine research, maintenance, staffing and monitoring costs only.
no breaches routine transfers standard research activity
🚨 Minor Incident $7.2M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$600K vs baseline
Localized containment incident requiring on-site neutralization, limited forensic investigation, temporary increased legal/PR activity and modest compensation.
small release during handling single-device contamination limited civilian exposure
🚨 Major Breach $15.6M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$9.0M vs baseline
Large containment failure with multiple civilian exposures, large-scale remediation, mass legal settlements and emergency research/scale-up response.
vault compromise wide-area release mass exposures requiring long-term care
👥 Personnel 18 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 15 [#5] Armed officers performing 24/7 vault access control and roving patrols; count derived from wage budget and typical shift coverage.
Armed Security Supervisor 3 [#5] Senior supervisors and background-vetted supervisors overseeing vault operations and escorts.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates are medium confidence: containment infrastructure costs and major recurring items are reasonably characterized, but large uncertainty remains around incident frequency, number of devices handled/transferred, and potential long-term care/settlement magnitudes which drive tail risk.
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